Winless in her last five starts, Ms Messi does at least return to a familiar trip and conditions, and her 56 rating nudges above the official mark of 51; however, only one placing in recent starts and a burden of 134 lb make progress hard to foresee.
Form last 6980-30
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR56RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, with three unplaced efforts among them, Aiteall is hard to fancy on these figures and his 8th last time out, just seven days ago, offers little encouragement; he has run over today's trip and going before, which is the one small positive to cling to.
Form last 605008
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
41SR47RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Folk Warrior faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 29 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, but his recent string of mid-to-tail-of-field efforts makes him hard to fancy at 124 lb.
Form last 6-54756
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR48RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Wild Berries lands a repeat bid in fine heart after winning last time out, and her experience on today's going is a further plus; the weight of 140 lb is the one query, but her current form makes her our pick here.
Form last 6-07001
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR61RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, Vervain at least showed a placed effort two runs back and has experience over today's trip and conditions, though carrying 138 lb and ranking ninth of fourteen on speed ratings leaves her with plenty to find.
Form last 6-44254
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR55RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and returning on a quick five-day turnaround, Sonny Corleone does have experience over today's trip and going to call upon, but a ninth last time out and ranked sixth of fourteen on our figures makes this a tough ask at 135 lb.
Form last 60-4479
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR59RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Chopsticks has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 61 ranks him second among fourteen here, making him a genuine threat despite carrying 134 lb — the concern is a winless run of six recent starts that includes two unplaced efforts.
Form last 6340908
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR61RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Connecteo arrives on the back of a runner-up finish last time out, has experience of today's distance and going, and our ratings rank him ahead of the entire field here, making him a clear danger; the risk is that he remains winless in his last six starts.
Form last 6824762
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR61RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out suggests he retains some form, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but a fifth two starts back is a concern, and ranked tenth of fourteen on our rating, he faces a stiff ask at 134 lb.
Form last 6321153
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR52RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts but consistency is her calling card, with a second and two thirds among those efforts; she has run over today's trip and returns after 35 days off, though a mark of 49 and a ranking of eleventh of fourteen suggest she faces a stiff ask here.
Form last 6/23-34
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR51RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Chapel Island showed useful placing third two starts back and has experience over today's trip, with our rating of 61 putting him firmly in contention among the 14-runner field; the concern is that he remains yet to win in recent starts, and recapturing that placed form from a mark of 55 will be the test.
Form last 6854438
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR61RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Macinamillion makes little appeal on current form, though he has run over today's trip before and returns on a reasonable 29-day break.
Form last 60/0-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
17SR49RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 17 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Winless in her last six starts, Zitkala Sa arrives here on a quick nine-day turnaround with experience over today's trip and conditions, but her recent string of unplaced efforts and a modest official mark of 50 suggest she faces a stiff task from a midfield ranking.
Form last 6036890
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR59RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 12 of 14 on our ratings, My Vonnie faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a fifth last time out shows at least some ability to compete, with 41 days between runs leaving fitness a mild query.
Form last 6666005
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR50RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked well below the field on our figures, Chant d'Or makes for a difficult proposition, though he returns on a quick turnaround nine days after his latest outing.
Form last 6000-70
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
16SR35RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 16 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Connova is consistently placed in recent starts but yet to win, and while her finishing record shows a second last time out, her official mark of 47 sits below our rating of 60, suggesting she may be better than her official rating implies.
Form last 6-43342
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR60RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, with two of his most recent four outings yielding unplaced efforts, Highway Sixty One faces a stiff ask here, and our rating ranks him outside the field; a second four starts back offers slim encouragement, but the distance and going experience at least gives him a foothold.
Form last 6452007
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
24SR47RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Wild Berries owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Ross O'SullivanReese Holohan(7)
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Connova
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · Ms Sheila Lavery✓ Value Signal
Zitkala Sa
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · E Sheehy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Wild Berries (SR 63, 7/2) carries the joint-best SR in the field alongside Connova (SR 64) but the decisive factor is the market: Mkt:in15% is the only meaningful steamer in this race, shortening significantly from the open, signalling informed money on a horse whose form-string (-07001) shows a last-time-out win. At 10-0 it is top-weight, but in a 17-runner Class-level handicap worth €6,000 on an AW surface at Dundalk, the weight penalty is manageable when the underlying ability leads the field. Trainer Ross O'Sullivan at 10% strike rate is solid and jockey Reese Holohan has the booking. The MarkMv:+9 means it runs off a higher mark than when winning, which is the main risk, but the market has absorbed that and still piled in.
Each-way alternative: Connova.
Main danger: Connova — Connova holds the field's top SR (64) at a featherweight 8-11, is the market favourite at 11/4, and a consistent form-string (-43342) shows it is always competitive at this level — the only concern is a modest DistFit:? and GoingFit:? leaving genuine uncertainty on today's conditions.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Runs off a mark 9lb higher than when winning (MarkMv:+9) — a steep single-race rise in a competitive 17-runner handicap where every pound matters on AW.
Top weight of 10-0 in a 17-runner field gives significant pull to rivals like Connova (SR:64, 8-11) who carry 19lb less and is actually the joint-highest SR horse at a shorter price.
Connova at 11/4 carries a marginally superior SR (64 vs 63), is drifting only mildly (out8%), and is lighter in the weights — the market steaming on Wild Berries may be overstated relative to the val…
Jockey Reese Holohan holds a 7-pound claim but rides at only 11% strike rate — in a wide-open 17-runner field, rider experience managing a top-weight draw could be tested.