Newmarket 13:15 RESULTED
Class 1 25 Sep 2026

Today Betway British Ebf Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race)

Betway British Ebf Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) · 1m0f0y

Official Result

Betway British Ebf Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Alobayyah (GB) Tom Marquand · William Haggas
    100/30
  2. Second Lizzana (IRE)
    7/2
  3. 16/1
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Big race Sat 26 Sep Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · 15:40

Worcester

12:55–16:25 · 7 races

Newmarket

13:15–16:45 · 7 races

Listowel

13:40–17:40 · 8 races

Haydock

13:58–17:23 · 7 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:35–20:15 · 8 races

Dundalk (AW)

17:30–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 15 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Alobayyah silks
Alobayyah
Age 4 · 9-4
85-317
96
107
103
4
9-4
★★★★☆
—
5/2 10/3 32/17
Winner two starts back and a third three starts back, Alobayyah has distance and going experience to call on and arrives here fresh after 48 days off; her 130 lb burden is the chief query, but an official mark of 96 looks workable for a filly of her profile.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Arisaig silks
Arisaig
Age 5 · 9-4
-24837
99
104
108
5
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 10/3 5/1
Winless in her last five starts, Arisaig nonetheless showed solid ability when third two runs back, and her experience over today's trip and going gives her every chance from stall one off 130 lb — the chief concern is her below-par seventh last time out.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Crystal Flyer silks
Crystal Flyer
Age 5 · 9-4
-97025
92
72
103
5
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 28/1
Winless in her last five starts, Crystal Flyer did post a second two starts back and returns with experience of today's distance and going, making her a solid threat off a rating of 102 — though 61 days off the track and that fifth last time out are the main concerns.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

4
Song N Dance silks
Song N Dance
Age 4 · 9-4
-22501
86
78
91
4
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 16/1 12/1
Song N Dance won last time out, which is genuinely in her favour, but ranked seventh of nine on our figures she faces a steep ask here, and carrying 130 lb from stall nine compounds the challenge, even with experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Applesandpears silks
Applesandpears
Age 3 · 9-0
-83661
85
80
93
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 10/1 9/1
Applesandpears won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, yet her two starts before that return both yielded a sixth, and her ranking of sixth among nine suggests she faces a stiff ask to follow up carrying 126 lb.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Blingy's Sister silks
Blingy's Sister
Age 3 · 9-0
043260
91
100
102
3
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 9/1 7/1
Winless in recent starts yet her placed efforts — a second and a third in her last six — hint at a filly capable of threatening, and she has run over today's trip and going before; the risk is that two unplaced efforts bookend that form.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Estissa silks
Estissa
Age 3 · 9-0
121334
98
105
94
3
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 3/1 4/1
Estissa shaped with promise when third two starts back and third three starts back, but her fourth last time out is a mild concern; she has run over today's trip and returns on a reasonable 22-day break, though an official rating of 98 versus our figure of 94 suggests she may need to find a little more.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Gilding The Lily silks
Gilding The Lily
Age 3 · 9-0
211
87
90
73
3
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 4/1 15/2
Gilding The Lily arrives in decent nick having won two of her last three starts, and has run over today's trip, but she is ranked last of nine on our figures and faces a stiff task on ratings terms.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Lizzana silks
Lizzana
Age 3 · 9-0
21-123
96
102
81
3
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 10/1 11/2
Rated well below her official mark on our figures and a lengthy 96 days since she last ran, Lizzana is hard to fancy at the bottom of the rankings, though she does bring a third last time out, a win three starts back, and experience over today's trip to the table.
AI verdict

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Alobayyah 5/2 open 5.00 11/4 open 4.33 15/8 open 5.00 15/8 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 Paddy Power
2 Arisaig 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 Betfred
3 Crystal Flyer 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365
4 Song N Dance 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Applesandpears 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 12/1 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Blingy's Sister 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 11.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 Bet365
7 Estissa 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.00 9/2 William Hill
8 Gilding The Lily 12/1 open 5.50 10/1 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.50 12/1 open 5.00 12/1 open 5.50 12/1 Bet365
9 Lizzana 6/1 open 15.00 11/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 17.00 11/2 open 17.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 15.00 6/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Alobayyah

Live signal

Alobayyah owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 William Haggas Tom Marquand
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Arisaig

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Charlie Johnston
✓ Value Signal

Crystal Flyer

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Ben Haslam
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Alobayyah
59.7 5/2
2 2. Arisaig
58.3 5/1
3 9. Lizzana
58.3 6/1
4 7. Estissa
55.6 4/1
5 6. Blingy's Sister
55.2 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Alobayyah
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 9-4
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 107 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 3 · 9-0
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾 —

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-4
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-0
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 102 🐾 —

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-0
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-0
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Alobayyah
Confidence: Speculative

Alobayyah (SR 107, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in this field and carries 9-4 — the same weight as the next-best-rated runners — so there is no weight penalty disadvantage relative to Arisaig at the same SR bracket. William Haggas (23% strike rate, 2053 runners) is the standout training operation here, and Tom Marquand (16%) is a reliable booking. The market has shortened 6% since opening, indicating quiet but real confidence, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over this mile. The GoingFit:- flag is the one genuine concern — she has a poor record on good ground — but at Listed level her SR 107 superiority and Haggas's class edge are compelling enough to overcome that reservation, especially as several rivals carry bigger negatives. Each-way alternative: Lizzana. Main danger: Estissa — Estissa (SR 105, 4/1) has the best recent form consistency in the field with a 121334 string, Oisin Murphy in the saddle (22% career strike rate), and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmed — the only concern is the market drifting 20% and a mark 14lb above her last win, suggesting connections may not be peak-confident.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- is a concrete red flag — Alobayyah has a demonstrably poor record on good ground, exactly the conditions she faces at Newmarket today.
  • Form reads 85-317: a '7' and a '1' followed by a '7' in her last three completed runs suggests inconsistency, and her most recent run was a seventh — not the form of a horse peaking into this race.
  • 48-day absence is a notable layoff for a Listed race; rivals Estissa (22 days), Gilding The Lily (21 days) and Blingy's Sister (22 days) are all race-fit 3yo fillies potentially on improving curves.
  • Estissa (SR 105, 4/1, Oisin Murphy) is only 2lbs behind on ratings, gets a 4lb weight pull as a 3yo carrying 9-0 vs Alobayyah's 9-4, and is trained by the in-form Fanshawe — a compelling rival whose…
Shortlist Alobayyah, Estissa, Lizzana, Gilding The Lily
Each-way: Lizzana Danger: Estissa

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade