Esh Stantec Handicap Stakes · 1m2f42y
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 31 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Prince Achille | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Phaedra | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Pureis King | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 10/1 Coral |
| 4 Token Love | 4/1 open 6.50 | 7/2 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Rory's Gold | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Gemini Man | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 Betfred |
| 7 Yaaser | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Eagles Dream | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Balmoral Boy | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 Betfred |
| 10 Carwyn | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Rugby Union | 6/4 open 3.00 | 6/4 open 3.50 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.50 | 6/4 Bet365 |
| 12 Game Management | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Falaise Blanc | 22/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 14 Rajawail | 125/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Token Love owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Rugby Union (SR:67, 6/4) is the clear class leader in this field — the only runner above SR:62 — and has been significantly backed from opening, shortening 23% into favouritism. The Course:W1P1 record at Newcastle AW is a concrete positive, and the ClassMv:= means connections aren't asking questions they don't have the answers to. The 3yo weight allowance means the 9-4 burden is manageable, and trainer Gemma Tutty's 11% strike rate combined with Joanna Mason's consistent 12% record gives a professional booking that matches the market confidence. The only hesitation is GoingFit:? suggesting limited AW-good data, but on balance the SR gap over rivals is decisive. Each-way alternative: Token Love. Main danger: Token Love — Token Love (SR:62, 9/2) holds the second-highest SR in the field, carries confirmed DistFit:+ at today's 1m2f trip, and Micky Hammond's yard has placed this horse on a mark without a MarkMv flag suggesting the handicapper hasn't caught up — the 62-day gap and tongue-tie addition are the only concerns.