Newcastle (AW) 19:15 RESULTED
Class 6 25 Sep 2026

Today Mwh Handicap Stakes

Mwh Handicap Stakes · 1m0f5y

Official Result

Mwh Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Adelaide Bay (GB) Shane Gray · Daragh Bourke
    20/1
  2. 4/1
  3. 100/30
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Big race Sat 26 Sep Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · 15:40

Worcester

12:55–16:25 · 7 races

Newmarket

13:15–16:45 · 7 races

Listowel

13:40–17:40 · 8 races

Haydock

13:58–17:23 · 7 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:35–20:15 · 8 races

Dundalk (AW)

17:30–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 16 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Travis silks
Travis
Age 5 · 9-9
133300
60
60
71
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 17/2 15/2
Travis shaped with promise when third three starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going gives him every chance from stall 10; the risk is his two most recent runs both ended in unplaced finishes.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Reginald Charles silks
Reginald Charles
Age 6 · 9-9
635263
60
64
72
6
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2
Reginald Charles has shown consistent placing ability in recent starts, finishing third last time out and a second three starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and going — the main risk is that he has been winless in his last six starts and returns after a 56-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Toralou silks
Toralou
Age 5 · 9-8
772674
59
56
70
5
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 14/1
Winless in her last six starts, Toralou nonetheless shaped with promise when second four starts back, and a run 21 days ago leaves her fresh; she has experience of today's distance and going, and our rating of 70 gives her a strong case at 134 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Bajan Bandit silks
Bajan Bandit
Age 6 · 9-8
523201
59
66
64
6
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 11/4 9/2
Bajan Bandit ran to good effect most recently, winning last time out, and he has experience of both today's trip and conditions, making him a solid each-way proposition from stall one; the concern is a rapid six-day turnaround carrying 134 lb.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Sassy Glory silks
Sassy Glory
Age 5 · 9-3
921051
54
60
55
5
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 17/2 7/1
Sassy Glory won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, which counts in her favour, but her form has been inconsistent in recent starts and a ranking of eighth of eleven suggests she faces a stiff ask against stronger company here.
AI verdict

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Adelaide Bay silks
Adelaide Bay
Age 4 · 9-3
252643
54
56
58
4
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 9/2 17/2
Adelaide Bay has shown enough consistency to keep the faith — third last time out and a second four starts back highlight his best — but he remains yet to win in his last six starts, and carrying 129 lb from stall 5 will test his resolve again today.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Barleybrown silks
Barleybrown
Age 6 · 9-3
628522
54
63
57
6
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 FCST 10/3
Barleybrown has placed second three times in his last six starts yet remains winless, and while he has run over today's distance and going before, a fifth and eighth also dot that sequence and he arrives on a quick six-day turnaround carrying 129 lb from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Trais Fluors silks
Trais Fluors
Age 12 · 9-1
850761
52
34
61
12
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 25/1
Trais Fluors bounced back to winning ways last time out, which is the obvious positive, but he has been inconsistent in recent starts and returns after 62 days off carrying 127 lb from stall 9, making his follow-up harder to predict.
AI verdict

SR 34 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Volenti silks
Volenti
Age 7 · 8-11
434335
48
55
55
7
8-11
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 13/2 7/1
Winless in his last six starts, with a string of thirds and fourths telling the story, Volenti is hard to fancy from stall 2 carrying 123 lb, and our rating of 54 ranks him ninth of eleven — though he has run over today's trip and going before, and comes here fit on a six-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Aurora's Doublesix silks
Aurora's Doublesix
Age 4 · 8-9
950588
44
21
35
4
8-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
100/1 80/1 100/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Aurora's Doublesix faces a stiff task here, with back-to-back eighth-place finishes the most recent evidence; experience over today's trip and going, plus a relatively fresh 17-day break, offer slim consolation.
AI verdict

SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.

11
One More Bottle silks
One More Bottle
Age 5 · 8-9
7-0689
44
28
51
5
8-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 28/1 25/1
Winless in his last five starts, One More Bottle has been finishing in the rear throughout his recent outings and ranks tenth of eleven on our figures, making him very hard to fancy despite the fact he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Travis 8/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 Bet365
2 Reginald Charles 7/2 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 Bet365
3 Toralou 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 Paddy Power
4 Bajan Bandit 9/2 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365
5 Sassy Glory 15/2 open 11.00 7/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 Bet365
6 Adelaide Bay 17/2 open 5.50 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 Paddy Power
7 Barleybrown 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 7/2 Bet365
8 Trais Fluors 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 33/1 Paddy Power
9 Volenti 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 7/1 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
10 Aurora's Doublesix 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 Bet365
11 One More Bottle 25/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bajan Bandit

Speculative

Bajan Bandit owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Patrick Morris David Nolan
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Reginald Charles

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Geoff Oldroyd
✓ Value Signal

One More Bottle

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Lizzie Quinlan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Bajan Bandit
52.1 9/2
2 2. Reginald Charles
48.2 7/2
3 7. Barleybrown
47.7 7/2
4 1. Travis
46.4 8/1
5 9. Volenti
45.6 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sassy Glory
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 9-9
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-3
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 9-8
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 7 · 8-11
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-3
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-9
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-3
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sassy Glory
Confidence: Speculative

Sassy Glory (SR:60, 17/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-3 and arrives on the back of a recent win (form reads 921051, last run a win 23 days ago). Most critically, the market has steamed 22% — the strongest inward move in this field by a significant margin — signalling informed money. Course record of W3P5 at Newcastle is outstanding specialist form, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this distance. The GoingFit:- is the one concern, but the weight advantage over rivals, the course specialisation, and the 22% market support combine to make this the clearest multi-signal case in the race. Each-way alternative: Barleybrown. Main danger: Barleybrown — Barleybrown (SR:63, 4/1) is the second-highest SR in the competitive shortlist, carries only 9-3, has an exceptional Course:W4P12 record at Newcastle — the most visits of any runner — and has nudged in 6% in the market, providing a credible multi-signal threat to the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- is a concrete flag — today's AW surface is not Sassy Glory's optimum, and this is Newcastle AW where going nuance matters; rivals Barleybrown (HG:p, Course W4P12) and Bajan Bandit (HG:v) h…
  • Barleybrown at 4/1 has a superior course record (W4P12 vs W3P5), is fresher off just 6 days, trained by the prolific Ruth Carr/Joanna Mason combination, and has drifted only modestly — the market may…
  • Jockey Conor Whiteley (5lb claim, 16% strike rate on just 231 rides) is relatively lightly experienced at this level; the 5lb claim is already baked into the 9-3 weight, so the apprentice's inexperie…
  • The recent form reads 921051 — the win came from a '1' after a '5' and '0', suggesting inconsistency; the two poor efforts within the last six runs raise the question of whether the 23-day-ago win wa…
Shortlist Sassy Glory, Barleybrown, Travis, Reginald Charles
Each-way: Barleybrown Danger: Barleybrown

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m0f5y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade