Ascot 14:25 RESULTED
Class 2 2 Oct 2026

Yesterday BetMGM EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

BetMGM EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m7f0y

Official Result

BetMGM EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Pink Larkspur (IRE) William Buick · John & Thady Gosden
    7/4F
  2. Second Learning (GB)
    15/8
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Concurrent silks
Concurrent
Age 2 · 9-2
5
—
152
—
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
5/2 11/4 28/15
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Ibtekar silks
Ibtekar
Age 2 · 9-2
—
—
149
—
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 15/2 8/1
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
India's Ridge silks
India's Ridge
Age 2 · 9-2
—
—
144
—
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
14/1 10/1 8/1
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Learning silks
Learning
Age 2 · 9-2
542
85
93
85OR
2
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 3/2 9/4
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Pink Larkspur silks
Pink Larkspur
Age 2 · 9-2
2
—
157
—
2
9-2
★★★★☆
—
15/8 FCST 7/4
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Concurrent 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 Bet365
2 Ibtekar 10/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 10/1 Bet365
3 India's Ridge 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 14/1 Bet365
4 Learning 5/2 open 2.50 9/4 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.75 5/2 Bet365
5 Pink Larkspur 15/8 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.25 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pink Larkspur

High conviction

Pink Larkspur owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 John & Thady Gosden William Buick
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Concurrent

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Andrew Balding
✓ Value Signal

India's Ridge

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Richard Hannon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Pink Larkspur
73.1 15/8
2 1. Concurrent
71.1 5/2
3 2. Ibtekar
68.2 10/1
4 3. India's Ridge
63.8 14/1
5 4. Learning
57.1 5/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Pink Larkspur
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-2
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 157 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 2 · 9-2
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 149 🐾 —

SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾 —

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Pink Larkspur
Confidence: Medium

Pink Larkspur (SR 157, 13/8) is the class standout in this five-runner field, boasting the highest Saturday Rating by 5 points over Concurrent and backed by a 13% market move in — the money is firmly on board. The Gosden/Buick combination operates at elite level (24% and 25% strike rates respectively from substantial sample sizes), and stepping up one class tier (ClassMv:↑1) after a debut second suggests connections believe the 7f trip will unlock improvement. At a price that still offers value relative to her probability, she is the clear selection. Each-way alternative: Ibtekar. Main danger: Concurrent — Concurrent (SR 152, 10/3) is a proven runner with an existing race under her belt and a strong SR, and while she has drifted 11% in the market, the Andrew Balding/Colin Keane booking gives her genuine claims if Pink Larkspur underperforms stepping up in class.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Pink Larkspur's sole form reference is a debut second — she has never won a race, and stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1) for her second career start at Ascot asks her to beat proven horses on a track…
  • Learning (5/2) has drifted sharply out 27% yet still trades shorter than Pink Larkspur's 13/8 in the actual market — suggesting layers are more comfortable opposing Learning than Pink Larkspur, whose…
  • Ibtekar (7/1) has been backed in 15% from a debut run — an unraced or lightly raced rival attracting that level of market support at a yard (Ed Walker, 16% strike rate) with a sharp jockey booking (S…
  • Pink Larkspur's SR of 157 is derived from a single debut effort over likely a shorter or softer surface — at 7f Ascot in October, where the ground can be testing and the straight stiff, there is no e…
Shortlist Pink Larkspur, Concurrent, Ibtekar
Each-way: Ibtekar Danger: Concurrent

🗺 The Course Class 2

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade