Dundalk (AW) 20:30 RESULTED
2 Oct 2026

Last Friday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mallavelly (IRE) G. F. Carroll · G. M. Lyons
    4/1
  2. 10/11F
  3. 25/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sun 4 Oct Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ParisLongchamp · 15:05

Gowran Park

13:21–17:20 · 8 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

13:31–17:55 · 9 races

Hexham

13:38–17:08 · 7 races

Ascot

13:50–16:45 · 6 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:05–20:15 · 9 races

Dundalk (AW)

17:00–20:30 · 8 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 2 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Aviatrice silks
Aviatrice
Age 4 · 10-0
303288
95
92
90
4
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
13/8 31/19 18/13
Aviatrice tops our ranking and arrives fresh after 20 days, having run over today's trip and going before, with a second three starts back and a third four starts back in recent form. The risk is two eighths in her last two outings and she is yet to win in her last six, with 140 lb to carry from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Bear On The Run silks
Bear On The Run
Age 3 · 9-6
51-16
89
95
90
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 32/17 7/2
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Mallavelly silks
Mallavelly
Age 5 · 9-0
723677
81
81
84
5
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 5/1 7/2
Mallavelly has run over today's trip and going, and a second and a third in her last six outings show she can get involved, while our 84 puts her fourth of six and above her official 81. The risk is a poor recent run, with a seventh last time out and another two starts back, and she is yet to win in that spell.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
All The Girls silks
All The Girls
Age 3 · 8-12
063825
81
82
81
3
8-12
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 9/2 11/2
All The Girls is winless in her last six, though a second two starts back and a fifth last time out show she's not without ability, and she has run over today's trip and going. Ranked fifth of six on our figures, she's hard to fancy from stall 1 off 124 lb.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Temperance silks
Temperance
Age 4 · 8-10
607787
77
68
86
4
8-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 12/1 18/1
Temperance has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 86 ranks her third of six, with a speed figure of 81 giving her a case off 122 lb from stall five. The risk is plain, though: she is winless in her last six, with a seventh last time out six days ago.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Glitter And Glory silks
Glitter And Glory
Age 3 · 8-7
523577
71
74
75
3
8-7
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 12/1 7/1
Glitter And Glory is hard to fancy, having finished seventh in each of her last two outings and remaining winless in her last six, with a 42-day break to account for. In her favour, she has run over today's trip and going, and a second and third sit further back in her form.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Aviatrice 13/8 open 2.88 11/8 open 2.63 6/4 open 2.75 6/4 open 2.75 6/4 open 2.75 6/4 open 2.75 13/8 Bet365
2 Bear On The Run 7/2 open 2.88 9/2 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.00 9/2 Paddy Power
3 Mallavelly 9/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
4 All The Girls 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 Bet365
5 Temperance 18/1 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
6 Glitter And Glory 8/1 open 17.00 15/2 open 15.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 8/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Aviatrice

Speculative

Aviatrice owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 David Marnane W. J. Lee
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bear On The Run

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Daniel James Murphy
✓ Value Signal

Temperance

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Miss Kate McGivern
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Aviatrice
57.8 13/8
2 2. Bear On The Run
56.5 7/2
3 3. Mallavelly
53.0 9/2
4 4. All The Girls
52.6 11/2
5 6. Glitter And Glory
49.5 8/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Aviatrice
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 10-0
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-6
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-0
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 8-12
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 8-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 8-10
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Aviatrice
Confidence: Speculative

Aviatrice (SR 92, 7/4) is the class leader in this six-runner field and holds the most compelling course profile with 3 wins and 5 places at Dundalk — a genuine specialist on this track. Both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles this exact conditions profile, and jockey W.J. Lee (15%, 1888 runners) is a meaningful upgrade in experience. The MarkMv:+4 is a mild concern, but a 10-0 topweight is manageable in a small field where rivals are materially weaker on SR. Bear On The Run (SR 95) edges her on raw SR but has drifted 24% in the market with a very short eight-day turnaround — the market is clearly uncomfortable with that runner, and Aviatrice's Dundalk dominance gives her a concrete circuit edge the figures alone don't capture. Each-way alternative: Glitter And Glory. Main danger: Bear On The Run — Bear On The Run holds a 3-point SR advantage (95 vs 92), carries 8lb less than Aviatrice at 9-6, and has course form (W1P1) — if the 24% drift is simply market liquidity noise rather than an insider negative, the weight-adjusted ability edge could be decisive.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 303288 — last three runs show an '8' (likely last or near-last), a '2', and another '8', suggesting a horse in declining form rather than building toward a win.
  • MarkMv:+4 means she runs off a higher mark than last time; combined with carrying top weight 10-0, she is simultaneously penalised and assessed as improving when her recent form says the opposite.
  • Trainer David Marnane strikes at only 10% (688 runners) — a below-par record that reduces confidence the yard has her primed for a winning run today.
  • Glitter And Glory has drifted INTO the market by 35% and brings a course record of W1P4 at Dundalk, representing a live each-way threat that could split Aviatrice and the frame on a circuit where G.…
Shortlist Aviatrice, Bear On The Run, Glitter And Glory, Mallavelly
Each-way: Glitter And Glory Danger: Bear On The Run

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting