Dundalk (AW) 19:00 RESULTED
2 Oct 2026

Last Friday Michael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap

Michael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap · 7f

Official Result

Michael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Snapequus (IRE) J M Sheridan · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    9/4F
  2. 10/1
  3. 13/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 2 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tio Joao silks
Tio Joao
Age 2 · 10-3
675
75
60
70
2
10-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
17/2 7/1 8/1
Quickly turned out just 11 days after a fifth last time out, Tio Joao has run over today's trip and going before, and his 70 rating ranks him fourth of nine. The main risk is that he is winless in his last three, with a seventh and a sixth before that.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.

2
Someday Somewhere silks
Someday Somewhere
Age 2 · 9-9
34457
67
69
75
2
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 11/2
Someday Somewhere is yet to win in her last five, but she was third five starts back and has been fourth twice since, so she's rarely far away, and she has run over today's trip. Our 75 rating tops the field of nine, though a seventh last time out is the one blot.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Scarlet Dream silks
Scarlet Dream
Age 2 · 9-8
7945
66
55
72
2
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 12/1 11/1
Scarlet Dream is a fair threat on our figures, having finished fifth last time out and fourth two starts back, and she is fresh from a quick 11-day turnaround, with experience of today's trip and going. Yet to win in her last four, her main risk is a yard that is out of form, with just two winners from 42 lately.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

4
Jisir silks
Jisir
Age 2 · 9-5
000
63
48
63
2
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 9/1 14/1
Jisir is winless in his last three, unplaced each time, and returns after 33 days off, which doesn't scream sharpness. He has run over today's trip and sits on an official 63 from stall three, but carrying 131 lb leaves plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
New Mexico silks
New Mexico
Age 2 · 9-3
5679
61
56
70
2
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 10/1 8/1
New Mexico is a leading danger on our figures, with a rating of 70 well clear of his official 61, and he's fresh enough after 15 days off and has run over today's trip. The risk is clear, though: he's yet to win and has finished ninth last time out, sliding through the field in his last four.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Snapequus silks
Snapequus
Age 2 · 9-3
007
61
61
59
2
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 4/1 2/1
Snapequus is winless in his last three, finishing seventh last time out after two unplaced efforts, and that makes him hard to fancy off 129 lb from stall four. He has run over today's trip and is back after 23 days, but our figures rank him seventh of nine.
AI verdict

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Mutamarid Lsk silks
Mutamarid Lsk
Age 2 · 8-12
800
56
39
46
2
8-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 14/1 10/1
Winless in his last three, Mutamarid Lsk was unplaced last time out and two starts back, with an eighth three starts back, and he returns after 54 days off. He has run over today's trip and runs from stall six off 124 lb, but our figures rank him ninth of nine, so he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
Little Diva silks
Little Diva
Age 2 · 8-11
59060
55
30
55
2
8-11
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 20/1 40/1
Little Diva is winless in her last five, with nothing better than a fifth five starts back and unplaced last time out, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 15 days, but 123 lb from stall two does little to lift her.
AI verdict

SR 30 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Littlepacer silks
Littlepacer
Age 2 · 8-9
8003
53
67
65
2
8-9
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 6/5 2/1
Littlepacer was third last time out, but she is winless in her last four and was unplaced in the two runs before that. She has run over today's trip and returns after 58 days off, while 121 lb from stall one asks for a step up.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tio Joao 17/2 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 Bet365
2 Someday Somewhere 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 Bet365
3 Scarlet Dream 12/1 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Jisir 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
5 New Mexico 9/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
6 Snapequus 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 6.00 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 2/1 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 Bet365
7 Mutamarid Lsk 12/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
8 Little Diva 40/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 Paddy Power
9 Littlepacer 2/1 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.25 5/2 open 2.20 5/2 open 2.20 9/4 open 2.20 9/4 open 2.20 5/2 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Littlepacer

Speculative

Littlepacer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 J. P. Murtagh Jessica Maye(7)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Someday Somewhere

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Stephen Thorne
✓ Value Signal

Little Diva

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · T G McCourt
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Littlepacer
52.8 2/1
2 2. Someday Somewhere
51.2 6/1
3 6. Snapequus
46.2 5/2
4 1. Tio Joao
46.0 17/2
5 5. New Mexico
45.6 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Someday Somewhere
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 2 · 8-9
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-3
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 10-3
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.

5
Age 2 · 9-3
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-8
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

7
Age 2 · 8-12
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾 —

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Age 2 · 9-5
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Someday Somewhere
Confidence: Speculative

Someday Somewhere (SR:69, 9/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries a manageable 9-9, giving it a meaningful SR advantage over Snapequus (SR:61) and Littlepacer (SR:67). Crucially, it is the only runner showing clear market confidence with an 8% inward move, a positive signal in a race where several rivals are drifting. Trainer Stephen Thorne runs at 12% and jockey Jack Kearney at 9% — workmanlike but solid. The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are a shared concern across most of the field, so they level the playing field rather than isolate a weakness. The form string 34457 shows consistent placing without a win, but this AW handicap conditions suit a horse reaching its mark, and the SR edge plus market move tips the balance. Each-way alternative: Snapequus. Main danger: Snapequus — Snapequus (SR:61, 4/1) is trained by the in-form Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard (16% strike rate) and has shortened 6% in the market, with a recent form line of 007 suggesting significant improvement last time — the 7 finish at Dundalk AW gives it course familiarity that Someday Somewhere lacks.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 34457 shows five consecutive runs without a win — this horse has had every opportunity to break through and keeps finding something to beat it, raising doubts about its ability to convert…
  • Snapequus (4/1 favourite, SR:61) is trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien at 16% strike rate — significantly superior to Thorne's 12% — and is also moving in 6%, representing a sharper yard with a live m…
  • 28 days since last run is notably longer than most rivals (Tio Joao 11 days, Scarlet Dream 11 days, New Mexico 15 days) — could be ring-rusty on a surface where recent racecourse fitness often matter…
  • Littlepacer (SR:67) at 13/8 is almost value-priced despite being only 2 SR points below and is trained by J.P. Murtagh (11%), a higher-profile yard — the market has drifted Littlepacer but the traine…
Shortlist Someday Somewhere, Snapequus, Littlepacer
Each-way: Snapequus Danger: Snapequus

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting