Wolverhampton (AW) 15:51 RESULTED
Class 5 2 Oct 2026

Yesterday Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 6f20y

Official Result

Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Phoenix Moon (IRE) Rob Hornby · Denis Coakley
    22/1
  2. 7/1
  3. 11/2
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Big race Sun 4 Oct Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ParisLongchamp · 15:05

Gowran Park

13:21–17:20 · 8 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

13:31–17:55 · 9 races

Hexham

13:38–17:08 · 7 races

Ascot

13:50–16:45 · 6 races

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16:05–20:15 · 9 races

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17:00–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Arishka's Dream silks
Arishka's Dream
Age 3 · 9-11
122887
70
67
78
3
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 7/1 15/2
Arishka's Dream arrives with a win six starts back and two seconds after it, and our rating of 78 puts him third of ten, with his official 70 looking workable; he has run over today's trip and going, but he's been beaten in his last three, finishing seventh last time out, and returns after 45 days off.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Fordham Flyer silks
Fordham Flyer
Age 3 · 9-11
724-9
70
36
63
3
9-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 20/1 33/1
Fordham Flyer is hard to fancy: he was beaten into ninth last time out, returns after 169 days off, and comes from a yard 0/21 lately, though a second three starts back shows some ability and he has run over today's trip. Our figures have him last of ten.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

3
Queen Sana silks
Queen Sana
Age 3 · 9-11
262471
70
74
78
3
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 2/1 6/1
Queen Sana is a leading danger, having won last time out and returned just 24 days later with experience of today's trip and going; our rating of 78 ranks her second of ten. The main risk is a stable struggling for form, at one winner from twenty in the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Early Release silks
Early Release
Age 4 · 9-11
167156
69
40
70
4
9-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 16/1 33/1
Early Release has won twice in his last six, including a victory three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, but he was a sixth last time out and a fifth before that. A cold-running stable and 137 lb from stall nine temper the appeal, though our rating of 70 sits him sixth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

5
Campenaerts silks
Campenaerts
Age 3 · 9-9
-69782
68
74
81
3
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 3/1 5/2
Campenaerts bounced back with a second last time out after a run of modest finishes, and has run over today's trip and going before, while 37 days off gives him a fresh edge. Our rating of 80 tops the field of ten, though he is yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Shaw Park silks
Shaw Park
Age 7 · 9-7
308435
65
68
74
7
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 12/1 13/2
Shaw Park is a leading danger, back quickly after eight days and fifth last time, with a third two starts back and experience of both today's trip and the going; our rating of 74 sits well above his official 65. The main risk is a yard going 0/25 over the last 14 days.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Lamlash Bay silks
Lamlash Bay
Age 3 · 9-6
451591
65
73
71
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 4/1 9/2
Lamlash Bay won last time out, 18 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before, but he was ninth two starts back and the yard is 0/37 in the last 14 days. Carrying 132 lb from draw 4, he sits fifth of ten on our rating of 71.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Far Too Fizzy silks
Far Too Fizzy
Age 3 · 9-4
402354
63
71
68
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 6/1 4/1
Far Too Fizzy has been consistent without a win, finishing fourth last time out and third three starts back, and he's fresh enough after 11 days, having run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 130 lb off 63 and drawn three, he looks more of a mid-division type, with our rating of 68 ranking him seventh of ten.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Phoenix Moon silks
Phoenix Moon
Age 5 · 9-1
423886
59
36
65
5
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 FCST 16/1
Phoenix Moon is winless in her last six, with a sixth last time out and two eighths before that, so she is hard to fancy; she has run over today's trip and going, though, and a second and a third sit further back in her form. Our figures rank her eighth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

10
Montpellier Green silks
Montpellier Green
Age 4 · 8-8
8900-8
52
47
64
4
8-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 10/1 16/1
Montpellier Green is winless in his last five, finishing eighth last time out and ninth four starts back, and he returns after 84 days off, so he is hard to fancy. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going, and he runs from stall one off 120 lb.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Arishka's Dream 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 8/1 Bet365
2 Fordham Flyer 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
3 Queen Sana 6/1 open 3.00 6/1 open 3.25 6/1 open 3.50 6/1 open 3.50 6/1 open 3.50 6/1 open 3.50 6/1 Bet365
4 Early Release 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 Bet365
5 Campenaerts 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 Bet365
6 Shaw Park 7/1 open 15.00 13/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 Bet365
7 Lamlash Bay 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 5/1 Bet365
8 Far Too Fizzy 5/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
9 Phoenix Moon 20/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 18/1 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 Bet365
10 Montpellier Green 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Far Too Fizzy

Speculative

Far Too Fizzy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 David Loughnane Jack Doughty
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Campenaerts

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Jonathan Portman
✓ Value Signal

Early Release

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · David Evans
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Far Too Fizzy
51.6 5/1
2 5. Campenaerts
50.6 5/2
3 3. Queen Sana
48.9 6/1
4 6. Shaw Park
48.5 7/1
5 7. Lamlash Bay
48.3 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Campenaerts
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-9
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-6
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-4
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-11
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 7 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 3 · 9-11
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 8-8
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾 —

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Age 5 · 9-1
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 36 🐾 —

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Campenaerts
Confidence: Speculative

Campenaerts (SR:74, 11/4) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Queen Sana and carries the second-lightest weight at 9-9, giving it a tangible lbs advantage over most rivals. The MarkMv:-4 signals it is running off a mark 4lb lower than its last win — a clear handicapper's gift — and the course form (W1P2) at Wolverhampton is a meaningful advantage on a track where familiarity counts. The 6% market shortening suggests steady professional support rather than panic money, aligning with the connections case. The one genuine concern is DistFit:- at this 6f20y trip, but the mark reduction and weight relief provide material compensation, and the recent form string (-69782) shows progressive improvement in finishing positions. Each-way alternative: Queen Sana. Main danger: Queen Sana — Queen Sana (SR:74, 9/2) matches Campenaerts on ability, has a proven DistFit:+ at this trip and won last time out (form ending in 1), so Billy Loughnane — one of the busiest and most effective apprentices in Britain — could exploit that course-and-distance fitness even if the market drift to 9/2 from a shorter morning price is a mild concern.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:- confirms Campenaerts has no proven form at 6f20y — its course win and places may have come at a different trip, making the trip a genuine unknown rather than a minor caveat.
  • Queen Sana (SR:74, 9/2) won most recently just 24 days ago off a mark 3lb higher, carries the same weight class but arrives in sharper form — Campenaerts' last win is older and the -69782 string incl…
  • Far Too Fizzy (SR:71, 9/2) is taking 5lb from Campenaerts, has been heavily supported (in 26%) and ran just 11 days ago suggesting peak fitness — Campenaerts at 37 days since last run may not be at o…
  • Apprentice jockey Olivia Tubb (5lb claim, 12% strike rate on limited rides) is less experienced than Billy Loughnane (18%, 3090 rides) on the joint-top rival, a meaningful edge in a tight sprint fini…
Shortlist Campenaerts, Queen Sana, Lamlash Bay, Far Too Fizzy
Each-way: Queen Sana Danger: Queen Sana

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f20y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade