Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle · 2m4f40y
SR 89 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 95 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 97 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 103 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Slane Hill | 18/1 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Come On The Lads | 10/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Plunkett Street | 33/1 | 25/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 25/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 4 The Friday Man | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Arctic Flame | 17/2 open 21.00 | 13/2 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 17.00 | 13/2 open 17.00 | 7/1 open 15.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 6 In For The Night | 9/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Katie Daniels | 14/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Nelson Muntz | 15/2 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Jackmoon | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Ripsnorter | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 11 Positive Thinker | 40/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 12 Brucejack | 28/1 open 19.00 | 30/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 30/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Bop Wont Stop | 25/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Paradise Lost | 9/2 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 Paddy Power |
| 15 Ocean Murphy | 5/2 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 6.50 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 3/1 Paddy Power |
| 16 Lucy Wang | 14/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ocean Murphy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 97 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 90 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Come On The Lads (SR:104, 15/2) is the most compelling case in the field when signals are stacked. The Mkt:in38% move is the loudest single market signal in the race — Gavin Cromwell's yard (11% strike rate, 3,182 runners of experience) clearly fancies this, and Keith Donoghue at 13% wins is a quality booking. Running off a mark only 1lb above last win (MarkMv:+1), which is essentially the same mark — not penalised. Carries 11-10, which is lighter than the top two weights and gives a real lbs edge. GoingFit:~ is moderate rather than ideal on good ground, but the headgear change (p) and the strong stable confidence override that moderate concern. Form 51-799 shows a win and a fifth from recent starts — the 799 sequence is mixed but context of the market move suggests connections see today as the right opportunity. Each-way alternative: Ocean Murphy. Main danger: Ocean Murphy — Ocean Murphy (SR:114, the highest in the field, 7/2 and steaming in 14%) carries only 10-7 — a significant weight concession from Come On The Lads — has GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, a form string ending in two consecutive wins (9121), and a young improving 4yo profile that could see the ability edge tell over 2m4f if the distance suits.