Wolverhampton (AW) 16:25 RESULTED
Class 4 2 Oct 2026

Yesterday Nuvo Audit Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Nuvo Audit Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f51y

Official Result

Nuvo Audit Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Quiet Summer (GER) Daniel Muscutt · Andrew Balding
    100/30
  2. Second Elsass (IRE)
    7/4F
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Nolton Cross silks
Nolton Cross
Age 7 · 10-2
895255
85
87
91
7
10-2
★★★☆☆
—
3/1
Nolton Cross is fit after 10 days off and has run over today's trip and going, while a second three starts back shows he can get involved, and our rating of 91 ranks him second of five. The risk is he's yet to win in his last six starts and has finished fifth in his last two.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Model Yuko silks
Model Yuko
Age 4 · 10-1
138-76
84
76
88
4
10-1
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 5/1 17/2
Model Yuko makes plenty of appeal as a leading danger: she has won on her last-five form line, has run on today's going before, and our rating of 88 ranks her third of five. The risk is a tailing-off sequence of sixth, seventh and eighth finishes, plus 68 days off the track.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Elsass silks
Elsass
Age 4 · 10-1
037737
84
90
93
4
10-1
★★★☆☆
—
6/4 3/1 3/2
Fresh after 15 days, Elsass has run over today's trip and on this going, and his thirds two and five starts back show he can get involved. Our 92 makes him the top-rated runner, while 141 lb off an official 84 is the one reservation despite a seventh last time.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Last Verse silks
Last Verse
Age 3 · 9-7
813912
82
91
85
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 7/2 13/2
Last Verse looks a serious threat, having finished second last time out, and a winner two starts back, with 25 days since that run and experience of today's trip and going. The main risk is a 133 lb burden, though our rating of 85 sits a few pounds above his official 82.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Quiet Summer silks
Quiet Summer
Age 3 · 9-4
423
79
82
72
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 3/2 3/1
Quiet Summer has been consistent, finishing third last time out, with a second and a fourth before that, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in that spell. Carrying 130 lb off 79, he looks held, and our rating of 72 ranks him last of five.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Nolton Cross 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 Bet365
2 Model Yuko 10/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 10/1 Bet365
3 Elsass 6/4 open 4.50 6/4 open 5.00 6/4 open 4.33 13/8 open 4.33 13/8 open 4.33 6/4 open 4.00 13/8 Ladbrokes
4 Last Verse 7/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 4.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 Bet365
5 Quiet Summer 10/3 open 2.63 3/1 open 2.50 10/3 open 2.88 10/3 open 2.88 10/3 open 2.88 10/3 open 2.88 10/3 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Elsass

Speculative

Elsass owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Charlie Johnston Rob Hornby
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Quiet Summer

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Andrew Balding
✓ Value Signal

Model Yuko

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/1 · Roger Varian
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Elsass
54.0 6/4
2 5. Quiet Summer
53.4 10/3
3 1. Nolton Cross
51.9 3/1
4 4. Last Verse
51.3 7/1
5 2. Model Yuko
49.7 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Nolton Cross
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 10-1
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 10-2
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-7
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-1
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Nolton Cross
Confidence: Speculative

Nolton Cross (SR:87, 11/4) carries an 18% market steam — the sharpest inward move in this field — and boasts a remarkable Course:W4P7 record at Wolverhampton, making it a proven track specialist. The drop of one class (ClassMv:↓1) combined with a mark 4lb lower than last win (MarkMv:-4) puts connections in a position to strike, and Hugo Palmer's booking of David Probert (both solid 13% strikers) underlines this is a serious intended run. The SR:87 leads only Elsass (SR:90) and Last Verse (SR:91) on raw ability, but the weight of 10-2 is offset by the class drop and the course dominance that no other runner comes close to matching. Each-way alternative: Elsass. Main danger: Elsass — Elsass (SR:90, 9/4) has steamed 28% in the market — the joint-largest inward move — carries a GoingFit:+ on today's going bucket, and holds the highest SR in the field, meaning if the DistFit:- concern at this trip proves unfounded in handicap company, it is the most likely winner.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Elsass (SR:90) and Last Verse (SR:91) both carry superior raw ability ratings and Elsass is steaming in even harder at 28% — the market is moving more decisively against Nolton Cross on relative SR.
  • Recent form reads 895255 — Nolton Cross has not won in its last six starts and finished 5th, 5th twice recently, suggesting the horse may be in a frustrating spell of near-misses rather than building…
  • Quiet Summer (3/1) is the second-shortest price despite only 3 career runs, indicating market confidence in a lightly-raced improver that could easily outpace a 7-year-old carrying 10-2 in a pace sce…
  • Nolton Cross is on a 10-day turnaround — while not extreme, combined with the weight of 10-2 (top weight in the race) this risks the horse not fully recovering from its last effort and being disadvan…
Shortlist Nolton Cross, Elsass, Last Verse
Each-way: Elsass Danger: Elsass

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m4f51y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade