Lee "Bazza" Jenkinson Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase · 3m0f41y
SR 91 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Valette | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Super Citizen | 12/1 open 6.50 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Deadheat | 9/1 open 5.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Lights Are Green | 8/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Uncle Al | 5/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Ballydangan | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Croagh Patrick | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Stay Hopeful | 5/6 open 2.38 | 4/5 open 2.00 | 5/6 open 2.10 | 5/6 open 2.10 | 10/11 open 2.20 | 5/6 open 2.10 | 10/11 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Stay Hopeful owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ballydangan (SR 69, 17/2) is the most compelling case despite a modest SR, driven by two overlapping signals that carry genuine weight: a Course:W2P4 record at Hexham showing proven track specialist ability, and a market move of Mkt:in33% — the sharpest steam in this field by a wide margin, suggesting informed money is backing it emphatically. The MarkMv:-4 mark drop aids the case, and while GoingFit:- is a concern, good ground is not as extreme a variant as soft/heavy. At 17/2 with 33% market support, the connections signal is too strong to ignore in a weak Class 5 field of seven. Each-way alternative: Uncle Al. Main danger: Uncle Al — Uncle Al (SR 78, 11/2) holds DistFit:+ at today's 3m trip, has Course:W0P1 at Hexham, GoingFit:~ suggests moderate ground tolerance, and jockey Paul O'Brien's 15% career strike rate gives genuine competence in the saddle — a form line of P163U2 shows a placed effort recently and the price represents fair value.