Dundalk (AW) 19:30 RESULTED
Class 1 2 Oct 2026

Yesterday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed)

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed) · 7f

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Joga Bonito (GB) W. J. Lee · P. Twomey
    11/2
  2. 6/4F
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Aachen silks
Aachen
Age 2 · 9-5
3
—
67
70
2
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 12/1 7/1
Aachen filed a third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but he's been off 48 days, is yet to win in his recent form and carries 131 lb from stall four. Rated 70 and ranked 11 of 11 on our figures, he's hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Duidin silks
Duidin
Age 2 · 9-5
3811
87
74
88
2
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 10/1 28/1
Duidin arrives with back-to-back wins, last time out and two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, but a 95-day break raises fitness doubts. Our rating of 88 ranks him eighth of 11, and he carries 131 lb from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Equus Victor silks
Equus Victor
Age 2 · 9-5
541
90
63
82
2
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 18/1 25/1
Equus Victor won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but that came after a fourth and a fifth, and 131 lb off an official 90 looks a lot to carry. Our rating of 82 ranks him tenth of 11, so he is hard to fancy from stall 3.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Joga Bonito silks
Joga Bonito
Age 2 · 9-5
42312
93
105
101
2
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 4/1 5/1
Joga Bonito arrives in cracking form, runner-up last time out, a winner two starts back, and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip before. Our rating of 101 ranks him second of 11, but 131 lb off an official 93 is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
One Number silks
One Number
Age 2 · 9-5
203517
97
97
97
2
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 9/1 10/1
One Number won two starts back and has a third and a second in his last six, but he was only seventh last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 131 lb from stall eight, his 97 rating ranks fifth of eleven, which fits a midfield profile.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Salt Lake silks
Salt Lake
Age 2 · 9-5
21
—
103
95
2
9-5
★★★★☆
—
2/1 11/4 2/1
Salt Lake arrives in good heart, winning last time out after a second two starts back, and he's fresh enough off a 15-day break while having run over today's trip. Carrying 131 lb from draw 5, he's ranked sixth of 11 on our rating, which suggests the weight could stretch him.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
South Dakota silks
South Dakota
Age 2 · 9-5
44331
98
108
99
2
9-5
★★★★☆
—
10/3 4/1 10/3
South Dakota won last time out and was third on each of the two starts before that, so he arrives in solid form after 32 days off, and he has run over today's trip. Carrying 131 lb from stall 11, the main risk is that the weight leaves him little margin against his rivals.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Zoar silks
Zoar
Age 2 · 9-5
213
89
69
84
2
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 18/1 33/1
Zoar's recent form reads well, with a third last time out, a win two starts back and a second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip. However, our rating of 84 ranks him ninth of 11, and carrying 131 lb off an official mark of 89 makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Dee's Funny Girl silks
Dee's Funny Girl
Age 2 · 9-0
1626
99
106
103
2
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 11/2
Dee's Funny Girl showed she can win with a victory four starts back and a second two runs ago, and she has run over today's trip before. Our top-rated runner at 103 is the one to beat, though a sixth last time out and 40 days off are small reservations from draw 9.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Fighting Tears silks
Fighting Tears
Age 2 · 9-0
16
—
69
90
2
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 40/1
Fighting Tears followed a win two starts back with a sixth last time out just 11 days ago, so she's fit and has run over today's trip. Carrying 126 lb from stall 10, she looks a midfield sort, ranked seventh of 11 on our rating.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Nicely silks
Nicely
Age 2 · 9-0
21614
94
97
99
2
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 16/1 7/1
Nicely has two wins in her last five starts, including a victory two starts back, and she returned a fourth last time out, while having run over today's trip before. Our rating of 98 backs her as a leading danger, though the main risk is that she hasn't won since that effort.
AI verdict

SR 97 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Aachen 15/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 19.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 15/2 Bet365
2 Duidin 28/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 11.00 28/1 open 11.00 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 13.00 33/1 Paddy Power
3 Equus Victor 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 Paddy Power
4 Joga Bonito 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 5/1 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
5 One Number 10/1 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 11/1 Paddy Power
6 Salt Lake 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 Bet365
7 South Dakota 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 Bet365
8 Zoar 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Dee's Funny Girl 6/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 7/1 Paddy Power
10 Fighting Tears 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365
11 Nicely 8/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 19.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 7/1 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 8/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Joga Bonito

Speculative

Joga Bonito owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 P. Twomey W. J. Lee
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Salt Lake

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Robson De Aguiar
✓ Value Signal

Zoar

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Joga Bonito
59.2 5/1
2 6. Salt Lake
58.8 2/1
3 7. South Dakota
57.1 10/3
4 9. Dee's Funny Girl
56.9 6/1
5 11. Nicely
53.0 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
South Dakota
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 2 · 9-5
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 103 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 2 · 9-5
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 108 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-5
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾 —

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 2 · 9-0
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-5
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 2 · 9-0
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-5
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
South Dakota
Confidence: Speculative

South Dakota (SR:108, 7/2) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and brings a confirmed going preference (GoingFit:+) on today's Good ground — the only runner in the field with that explicit confirmation. The form string 44331 shows a progressive juvenile peaking at the right time, the last run a win at the same class (ClassMv:=), and the market has moved in sharply by 22%, the second-largest move in the field. Aidan O'Brien's yard (22% strike rate from 1,316 runners) sends Wayne Lordan (16% career strike rate, 950 runners), the stronger booking versus stablemate Aachen's Declan McDonogh (9%, 1,274) — a clear signal that South Dakota is the yard's number one. DistFit:~ is the only mild caution at 7f, but the going edge and market confidence override that concern. Each-way alternative: Salt Lake. Main danger: Salt Lake — Salt Lake (SR:103, 11/4 favourite) carries a 21 form of two runs — a win and a place — with a 9% market move in since opening, and at the industry's current market leader price it is clearly respected as the most likely winner by the layers despite the small sample of experience.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:~ flags a genuine query at 7f — South Dakota's two wins came at shorter trips, and stretching to this distance on an AW oval like Dundalk could expose a stamina limitation against rivals alre…
  • Salt Lake (SR:103, 11/4) is the market leader despite a lower SR, has run just twice with a win and a runner-up, and the market has installed it shorter than South Dakota — suggesting shrewd money di…
  • Joga Bonito (SR:105) brings Patrick Twomey's 24% strike rate — higher than O'Brien's 22% — with W.J. Lee aboard (15%) and a MarkMv:+14 move, making it a well-backed market rival that finished second…
  • The form string 44331 shows South Dakota only recently broke its duck after back-to-back fourths; last win was at the same class but may simply reflect a weak race rather than genuine progression, wi…
Shortlist South Dakota, Salt Lake, Joga Bonito, One Number
Each-way: Salt Lake Danger: Salt Lake

🗺 The Course Class 1

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade