Class 4 16 May 2026

Last Saturday John Parker's Big 50th Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

John Parker's Big 50th Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) · 5f3y

948-Hr decs

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Voting open
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Noble Raider Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Dancingonthestars
Age 2 · 9-7
54
2
9-7
9/1 9/1 17/2
Trainer won this with favourite Kamakameleon last year (second time out; proved useful); this early-foaled 40,000gns half-brother to three winners, including one on 2yo debut, holds sales-race entries later on and is a likely type on paper.

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
El Floridita
Age 2 · 9-7
54
2
9-7
66/1 FCST 50/1
Trainer saddled a rare early 2yo winner recently (second time out; 4% strike-rate with them on turf in recent years); this £50,000 first foal of a French maiden would be an even rarer first-time-out juvenile winner.

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Noble Raider
Age 2 · 9-7
23
78
95
2
9-7
4/5 8/13 8/11
Needed the experience when a clear second on Tapeta debut and improved plenty when third to a better-fancied stablemate at Newmarket a fortnight ago; clearly sets the standard for a trainer who's 2-6 with 2yos here.

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Wolf's Gallop
Age 2 · 9-7
54
2
9-7
28/1
£26,000 yearling, £42,000 breeze-up 2yo who's a rare juvenile runner for his jumps-oriented yard; dam won twice as a 2yo for Ralph Beckett; worth a look in the market.

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Alpha Legend
Age 2 · 9-4
8
43
60
2
9-4
7/2 4/1 7/2
Stamina in his pedigree; among the favourites for a 5f Leicester maiden on debut three weeks ago but looked to need the experience (behind Everatease) and met a bit of traffic late; ought to do better now he's had a run.

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Social Spirit
Age 2 · 9-4
55
2
9-4
22/1 25/1 20/1
Gelded 22,000gns yearling whose half-sister won over 7f as a 2yo (dam stayed middle distances); may ultimately want more of a stamina test.

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Enemy Lines
Age 2 · 9-1
57
2
9-1
11/1 9/1 11/1

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Everatease
Age 2 · 9-1
66
53
69
2
9-1
10/1 17/2 10/1
Market drifter when well held on his Tapeta debut; a better effort at a big price at Leicester last time gave hope but he'll need another decent step forward if he's to take this.

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Wopbopaloomop
Age 2 · 8-13
64
54
69
2
8-13
20/1 18/1 20/1
Disappointing effort as favourite on Redcar debut and didn't fare any better last time (Tapeta), when going hard enough in front in a first-time tongue-tie; needs a deal more now taking on the boys for the first time.

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Dancingonthestars 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 9/1 Bet365
2 El Floridita 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365
3 Noble Raider 4/5 open 1.73 8/11 open 1.62 8/11 open 1.62 4/5 open 1.67 5/6 open 1.62 5/6 Betfred
4 Wolf's Gallop 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 Bet365
5 Alpha Legend 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 Bet365
6 Social Spirit 22/1 open 29.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 Bet365
7 Enemy Lines 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Betfred
8 Everatease 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365
9 Wopbopaloomop 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Noble Raider

Speculative

Noble Raider owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 Kevin Philippart De Foy David Egan
85% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dancingonthestars

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/1 · Dylan Cunha
✓ Value Signal

El Floridita

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Nigel Tinkler
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Noble Raider
53.8 4/5
2 1. Dancingonthestars
44.8 9/1
3 7. Enemy Lines
43.1 11/1
4 5. Alpha Legend
39.9 7/2
5 6. Social Spirit
38.5 22/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Noble Raider
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-7
4/5
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-4
7/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 2 · 9-7
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 2 · 9-1
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Age 2 · 9-1
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 2 · 8-13
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Noble Raider
Confidence: Medium

Noble Raider leads the field with SR 78 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Noble Raider, Enemy Lines, Social Spirit, Dancingonthestars, El Floridita
Each-way: Enemy Lines Danger: Social Spirit

🗺 The Course Class 4

5f3y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade