16 May 2026

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Book Your Summer BBQ On June 7th Maiden · 1m2f40y

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Voting open
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Genchev Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Genchev
Age 3 · 9-8
354-2
75
90
3
9-8
5/4 4/5 11/10
Encouraging third behind Daytona on debut in 1m Listed race at Naas (good) last July; finished the season rated 83 after 3l fourth of 12 at Tipperary (1m1f, gd-yld); kept on nicely for a 2.25l second behind race-fit odds on rival over C&D (gd-yld) last month; now rated 87 and the one to beat.

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Mr Ballynonty
Age 3 · 9-8
43
3
9-8
22/1 11/1 18/1
Ten Sovereigns gelding; E34,000 foal; half-brother to US winners Six Cider (1m turf) and Lime Beach (8.5f dirt); dam 7f 2yo Group 3 winner (stayed 1m4f; RPR 113); worth market check for in form stable.

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Nosmokewithoutfire
Age 3 · 9-8
0-
2
15
3
9-8
150/1 50/1 125/1
80-1 and tailed of on debut at Naas (7f, yld-sft); hard to fancy on that evidence.

SR 2 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Reynir
Age 3 · 9-8
53
65
81
3
9-8
4/5 6/5 2/3
Okay effort on debut at Gowran (9.5f, soft) but more like it on quicker ground upped to this trip at Cork when a 2.25l third; that form was franked by the fifth Trojan Fighter at Ballinrobe last week; can give Genchev most to think about.

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Strike De Vega
Age 3 · 9-8
0
W J Lee 15%
A Oliver 13%
38
54
3
9-8
25/1 12/1 22/1
Modest effort on debut at Cork when well held behind Almazann; hard to see him turning the tables.

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Tanzanite Diamond
Age 3 · 9-8
43
3
9-8
25/1 12/1 22/1

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Louisiana
Age 3 · 9-3
46
3
9-3
40/1 18/1 33/1
King of Change filly; unsold for E12,000 as a yearling; half-sister to four winners inc Morlock (7f AW 2yo; RPR 83) and Ramadas (Italian 1m/9.5f inc 2yo); dam unraced half-sister to 1m2f Canadian Grade 1 winner; likely to improve for this initial experience; watch.

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Genchev 5/4 open 2.00 11/10 open 1.80 11/10 open 1.80 5/4 open 1.91 6/5 open 1.83 5/4 Bet365
2 Mr Ballynonty 22/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
3 Nosmokewithoutfire 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 81.00 125/1 open 81.00 150/1 Bet365
4 Reynir 4/5 open 2.25 4/6 open 2.20 4/6 open 2.20 4/5 open 2.38 4/6 open 2.25 4/5 Bet365
5 Strike De Vega 25/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 Bet365
6 Tanzanite Diamond 25/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 Bet365
7 Louisiana 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Genchev

Speculative

Genchev owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/4 G M Lyons Gary Carroll
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Reynir

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/5 · J P Murtagh
✓ Value Signal

Tanzanite Diamond

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Adrian McGuinness
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Genchev
52.7 5/4
2 4. Reynir
50.9 4/5
3 6. Tanzanite Diamond
33.3 25/1
4 2. Mr Ballynonty
33.3 22/1
5 7. Louisiana
32.3 40/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Genchev
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-8
4/5
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 3 · 9-8
5/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Genchev
Confidence: Medium

Genchev leads the field with SR 75 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-8 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Genchev, Reynir, Louisiana, Mr Ballynonty, Tanzanite Diamond
Each-way: Reynir Danger: Louisiana

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m2f40y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Navan Track and setting