Class 5 16 May 2026

Last Saturday attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap · 6f2y

948-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Navan

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Voting open
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Watchdog Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Coyy
Age 3 · 9-11
358-01
62
76
3
9-11
4/1 10/3 4/1
Rain-softened ground may have been behind a poor comeback effort, following wind surgery, and he duly overcame traffic issues when winning off 4lb lower at Windsor (5f, good to firm) 12 days ago; could well have more to offer.

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Wise Crack
Age 3 · 9-8
6738-0
62
77
3
9-8
22/1 28/1 20/1
Best effort for John Ryan (from whom he was picked up for 10,000gns) last year came on the AW; poor debut effort for his new yard a month ago and needs to improve a lot on that.

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Concert silks
Concert
Age 3 · 9-9
036-40
61
69
3
9-9
9/2
Ex-Haggas filly who was said to have been unsuited by rain-softened ground when well below market expectations last time (taken out at Doncaster over the weekend after the going eased); should do better.

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Milford Grange
Age 3 · 9-7
3-72
62
75
3
9-7
8/1 11/1 15/2
Bombed when among the favourites on comeback and is best judged on his Ripon second a month ago; hard to know the worth of that, however, with him finishing well held by the favourite having led against the rail; market useful.

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Uncertainty
Age 3 · 9-7
30424-
59
74
3
9-7
28/1
Didn't progress for Richard Hannon prior to being sold for £13,500 last autumn; said to have hung right when last of four on her debut for this yard (1m, Tapeta) and is hard to fancy back from six months off.

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Watchdog
Age 3 · 9-7
11-481
70
78
3
9-7
11/2
Appreciated the drop in class back on turf when well supported at Redcar last month (6f, good to firm; made all); up 4lb and this is stronger but he enters the equation.

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Slot
Age 3 · 9-5
23-5
63
75
3
9-5
50/1 40/1 50/1
Three fair efforts on Tapeta to date (dam won six for the yard on that surface, five over 5f), including from the front on comeback four weeks ago; will need improvement if she's to win off this mark on her turf debut.

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Black Endeavour
Age 3 · 9-4
143-65
63
76
3
9-4
13/2 5/1 6/1
Consistent since handicapping and is back around the mark off which he won a Nottingham nursery last August; hit traffic on the return to 6f last time and is one of the likelier winners.

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Orange Emperor
Age 3 · 9-4
464-25
62
76
3
9-4
8/1 9/1 7/1
Again inclined to pull hard, despite the hood, on his first crack at 7f last time; the return to sprinting should suit on just his second turf start.

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Coyy 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Wise Crack 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 29.00 20/1 open 29.00 22/1 Bet365
3 Concert 9/2 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
5 Milford Grange 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 8/1 Bet365
6 Uncertainty 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 Bet365
7 Watchdog 11/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 Coral
8 Slot 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 Betfred
9 Black Endeavour 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 Bet365
10 Orange Emperor 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Watchdog

Speculative

Watchdog owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Richard & Peter Fahey Oisin Orr
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Concert

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Jack Channon
✓ Value Signal

Uncertainty

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Simon Whitaker
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Watchdog
47.6 11/2
2 3. Concert
45.8 9/2
3 1. Coyy
45.7 4/1
4 10. Orange Emperor
44.5 8/1
5 9. Black Endeavour
44.0 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Watchdog
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-11
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-9
9/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Age 3 · 9-7
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-4
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-4
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Watchdog
Confidence: Medium

Watchdog leads the field with SR 70 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Watchdog, Slot, Black Endeavour, Coyy, Wise Crack
Each-way: Slot Danger: Black Endeavour

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f2y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade