Class 4 16 May 2026

Last Saturday Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap

Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 6f2y

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Voting open
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Supreme King Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lord Bertie
Age 6 · 9-10
2310-6
81
97
6
9-10
7/1 13/2 7/1
Four wins have come on good to soft/soft ground later in the year and he wants a good test over this trip on good ground; turned in a solid comeback effort over C&D in March but there's little room for error off this mark and he has his quirks.

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Coachello
Age 8 · 9-9
03-556
72
95
8
9-9
33/1 20/1 33/1
Long time since he won on turf and isn't as good now but remains consistent; returns from three months off but he can go well fresh; down to a career-low mark but he'd have preferred plenty of rain.

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Gallant
Age 4 · 9-8
0-6260
73
96
4
9-8
11/1 10/1 11/1
Wins for Andrew Balding came on Polytrack, latterly off this mark over 1m last summer; a slow start did for him down to 5f last time and, while he doesn't always look the easiest and can lug left, he's capable if things fall his way.

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Havana Rum
Age 6 · 9-7
4136-2
80
95
6
9-7
6/1 11/2 6/1
String of solid efforts for Ethan Tindall, including two wins, in the past nine months; on a career-high mark, having been nudged up another 2lb, but there was nothing wrong with his comeback effort at Pontefract early last month (5f); has to be considered.

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Lorna B
Age 4 · 9-6
61125-
82
94
4
9-6
5/1 5/1 4/1
Won her first two starts in handicaps last summer and had excuses off her revised mark latterly; a surprise maiden win on comeback last spring gives hope as she returns from eight months off and she remains low mileage.

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
HK Fourteen
Age 6 · 9-4
23105-
79
95
6
9-4
11/1 10/1 11/1
Proven winner who found another burst of improvement for cheekpieces going on last autumn; generally kept to 5f and no headgear as he returns from six months off; also has to prove this sort of mark is within range.

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Novello Lad
Age 5 · 9-1
1029-3
82
99
5
9-1
4/1
Started favourite on his first nine starts last year, winning two of them, both off lower marks; hit traffic over an inadequate 5f on his comeback a few weeks ago, which will ensure he's popular once again for a yard also responsible for Cairdeas.

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Supreme King
Age 6 · 9-0
-11535
83
96
6
9-0
14/1 22/1 14/1
C&D winner two years ago who tends to stick to the AW these days; back up in the weights following a hat-trick in the winter and needs to bounce back from a lesser effort when last seen five weeks ago.

SR 83 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Men Of Honour
Age 4 · 8-10
53664-
77
94
4
8-10
16/1
Maiden who was picked up for 12,000gns after a fair effort in a heavy-ground Irish handicap (7f) last autumn; no surprise were he to need this after seven months off and would want to see some market interest before adding him into the mix.

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Cairdeas
Age 4 · 8-7
80460-
81
98
4
8-7
22/1 18/1 22/1
Regressed for William Haggas before sold last summer; the handicapper is easing off so he should be easy enough to place in due course but he's done a lot of his racing over 7f and now returns from an absence; Novello Lad looks his trainer's best shout.

SR 81 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lord Bertie 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 Coral
2 Coachello 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Coral
3 Gallant 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Coral
4 Havana Rum 6/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 Coral
5 Lorna B 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
7 HK Fourteen 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 Bet365
9 Novello Lad 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 Bet365
10 Supreme King 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 Coral
11 Men Of Honour 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
12 Cairdeas 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lord Bertie

Speculative

Lord Bertie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/1 David O'Meara Cian Horgan(5)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lorna B

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Seb Spencer
✓ Value Signal

Coachello

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Mark Loughnane
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Lord Bertie
52.1 7/1
2 5. Lorna B
50.8 5/1
3 9. Novello Lad
50.7 4/1
4 4. Havana Rum
50.3 6/1
5 7. HK Fourteen
50.0 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Supreme King
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 5 · 9-1
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-6
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 6 · 9-10
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-4
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 9-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 8-10
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Supreme King
Confidence: Medium

Supreme King leads the field with SR 83 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-0 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Supreme King, Lorna B, Novello Lad, Lord Bertie, Cairdeas
Each-way: Lorna B Danger: Novello Lad

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f2y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade