16 May 2026

Last Saturday Forth Mountain Trails Mares Handicap Hurdle

Forth Mountain Trails Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m4f

1548-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Voting open
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Last Note Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Lily Milan
Age 7 · 10-3
44586-
94
113
7
10-3
SP FCST 18/1
First reserve; point-to-point winner showed signs of ability in bumpers but her maiden hurdle runs were below that.

SR 94 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Born Bright
Age 7 · 11-12
F4114-
31
115
7
11-12
18/1 14/1 18/1
Dual hurdles winner was in good form over fences last summer, winning twice; has won after a break before, so she's in the mix on return.

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Two Pair
Age 6 · 11-9
/2551-
91
113
6
11-9
11/2
Built on promising bumper and hurdle runs to score at Bellewstown last time after four months off (2m1f, yielding); kept on well that day; player on handicap debut for local trainer.

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Joshua's Daylami
Age 7 · 11-8
45188/
77
112
7
11-8
16/1 11/1 14/1
Won a weak 2m7f heavy ground Punchestown maiden in February last year; struggled on handicap debut at Cork when last seen; best watched on return from over a year off.

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Roxhill Roise
Age 8 · 11-8
/807P-
45
111
8
11-8
25/1 16/1 22/1

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Crystal Gold
Age 5 · 11-7
/3U45-
85
114
5
11-7
10/1 8/1 9/1
Definite ability in both completed maiden hurdles at Punchestown (2m4f, soft to heavy) when third of 24 and when fourth of 17 at Clonmel (2m1f, heavy); below her best at Cork back from a break and tongue tie goes on now.

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
One Night Standard
Age 7 · 11-5
/8347-
80
112
7
11-5
22/1 12/1 20/1
Dual hurdles winner for Gavin Cromwell; had been running some okay races over fences in her final runs for her former yard; back down to last winning mark now back over timber.

SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Game And Glory silks
Game And Glory
Age 10 · 11-2
9P4FP-
78
10
11-2
SP FCST 50/1

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Kimy
Age 6 · 11-2
30093-
92
115
6
11-2
8/1 15/2 7/1
Record of 1-24 is off-putting; returned to scene of her win when breaking a poor run of form at Tramore (2m1f, good to yielding), finishing third of 16; ran on well that day, but she needs to repeat it.

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Malikanna
Age 5 · 11-2
70F92-
87
113
5
11-2
3/1 11/2 3/1
Left moderate bumper and maiden form behind when second at Limerick (2m, soft), outpaced before keeping on well; on that evidence, this step up in trip can help; 5lb rise is perhaps harsh, but she's a player.

SR 87 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Fair Damsel
Age 8 · 11-0
30/60-
74
114
8
11-0
50/1 40/1 50/1
A tailed off finish in a Tramore handicap last time was not the greatest stable debut; best watched for the moment.

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Simple Things
Age 4 · 10-13
37862-
94
116
4
10-13
9/2 7/2 9/2

SR 94 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Morell River
Age 6 · 10-12
/4518-
97
115
6
10-12
17/2 16/1 15/2
Off the mark off 6lb lower over C&D in October (2m4f, yielding); struggled on heavy ground at Gowran (2m4f) the following month; improved with racing last season, so may need this but not dismissed.

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Miss Lia
Age 6 · 10-10
522P2-
96
115
6
10-10
10/1 15/2 9/1
Easy winner of a Tramore maiden hurdle in 2024 (2m5f, good to yielding); some good runs in defeat last season, with multiple runner-up finishes up to 2m7f on different ground types (including over C&D); bounced back from a poor run at Fairyhouse when filling the second spot once again at Downpatrick (2m6f, yielding to soft) in March.

SR 96 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Last Note
Age 6 · 10-9
63295-
101
113
6
10-9
11/1

SR 101 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Lily Milan 20/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 20/1 Bet365
1 Born Bright 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
2 Two Pair 11/2 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 11/2 6/1 Coral
3 Joshua's Daylami 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
4 Roxhill Roise 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Crystal Gold 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365
6 One Night Standard 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
7 Game And Glory 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
7 Kimy 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 15/2 15/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 8.50 8/1 Bet365
8 Malikanna 3/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 10/3 open 7.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 Coral
9 Fair Damsel 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
11 Simple Things 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 Bet365
12 Morell River 17/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 17/2 Bet365
13 Miss Lia 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 Bet365
14 Last Note 11/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Last Note

Speculative

Last Note owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/1 Cian Collins Danny Gilligan
61% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Two Pair

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Paul Nolan
✓ Value Signal

One Night Standard

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Conor O'Dwyer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 14. Last Note
55.8 11/1
2 2. Two Pair
55.8 11/2
3 8. Malikanna
55.7 3/1
4 13. Miss Lia
54.9 10/1
5 11. Simple Things
54.0 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Last Note
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 5 · 11-2
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 10-13
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 11-9
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 11-2
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 6 · 10-12
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 11-7
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Age 6 · 10-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 6 · 10-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 7 · 11-8
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 7 · 11-12
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 31 🐾

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Last Note
Confidence: Medium

Last Note leads the field with SR 101 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Last Note, Morell River, Miss Lia, Lily Milan, Simple Things
Each-way: Morell River Danger: Miss Lia

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Wexford Track and setting