16 May 2026

Last Saturday Cusack Hotel Group Family Day July 11th Maiden

Cusack Hotel Group Family Day July 11th Maiden · 5f

1448-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Voting open
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Namiid Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Reposado
Age 4 · 10-2
442622
56
72
4
10-2
SP 10/3 7/2
Extended record to 0-15 with a third second placing from last four starts off 69 in a 6f Curragh handicap 12 days ago; should run his race again but 4yo has to give weight away and vulnerable to less exposed sorts back in maiden company.

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Auguste Gusteau
Age 3 · 9-8
6
25
43
3
9-8
40/1 33/1 40/1
20-1 and raced keenly when beaten 6l on debut at Dundalk in February; much more needed dropped back to 6f on turf debut.

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Ennoble
Age 3 · 9-8
5736-
57
76
3
9-8
10/3
Ran to similar RPRs in mid 70s in first three maidens last season at 6f-5f and earned a rating of 78; below best over C&D when last seen in October but soft may not have suited; returns with yard in red hot form and dangerous to dismiss on ground that will suit.

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Keogie
Age 3 · 9-8
203
56
73
3
9-8
15/2 11/2 15/2
Promise in maidens last year at 6f-1m on soft, yielding and heavy ground; rated 76 so place chance on the figures but lacks a recent run, the drop back to 5f is a query and so is this quicker ground.

SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Namiid
Age 3 · 9-8
0324-3
67
87
3
9-8
2/1 9/4 2/1
Top-rated at 85 after nine starts; eight runs last year included a C&D maiden second on yielding and 4.25l third in a 5f listed heat at Cork (5f, good); shaped as though the run was needed at Dundalk last month; cheekpieces go on for return to turf; obvious chance but becoming expensive to follow.

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ragaire
Age 3 · 9-8
000
14
3
9-8
125/1 50/1 125/1
Has looked of little account in three previous starts; Ennoble looks yard's main hope.

SR 0 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Trek Home
Age 3 · 9-8
38
3
9-8
16/1
Home-bred Nando Parrado colt; half-brother to winners Ocean Vision (5f-1m inc 2yo/AW/Listed; RPR 105), Sootability (7f-10.4f inc 2yo; 80) and Khawaater (6f AW 2yo; 69); dam Listed-placed 7f winner (100); yard can ready one; check the market.

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Allirelandmaterial
Age 3 · 9-3
40
3
9-3
10/1 16/1 17/2
Phoenix Of Spain filly; E17,000 yearling; half-sister to Italian winners Wait Forever (7.5f-1m1f inc 2yo/Italian 2,000 Guineas) and Kensington Square (1m-1m2f); dam 7f AW winner (82); market best guide on debut.

SR 40 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Atallah
Age 3 · 9-3
0-89
20
35
3
9-3
125/1 50/1 125/1
Huge odds and no impact in three maidens at 5f-6f on good ground and on the AW; put a line through.

SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Cashel Blue
Age 3 · 9-3
70
45
62
3
9-3
66/1 50/1 66/1
Yard in form but this filly is hard to fancy on the evidence of her first two starts at Cork over 5f and 6f; will qualify for handicaps after this.

SR 45 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Grande Cuvee
Age 3 · 9-3
9
43
60
3
9-3
11/2 17/2 11/2
Keen and weakened into a 10l ninth of 24 on debut at the Curragh (6f, soft) but was sent off at 7-2 so must be thought capable of better; full sister won her maiden here over 6f on good ground; could improve.

SR 43 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Pocket Jacks
Age 3 · 9-3
97-
43
60
3
9-3
25/1 20/1 25/1
Midfield in a pair of Dundalk maidens at 6f-7f at the backend of last year; much more needed on turf debut and seasonal return.

SR 43 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Xerling
Age 3 · 9-3
040-
60
78
3
9-3
9/2 7/1 4/1
Rated 78; standout effort last year a 1.25l fourth of 12 in a Naas fillies' maiden (6f, good); outclassed in 5f Dundalk listed heat when last seen in October; held by Namiid on that form on a line through Ipanema Queen; place chance if fit for return.

SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
You Smiled
Age 3 · 9-3
9
13
27
3
9-3
50/1
Soundly beaten when 25-1 in a Cork maiden (6f, soft) 13 days ago; could improve for better ground but may need a bit more time.

SR 13 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Reposado 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 7/2 4/1 Bet365
2 Auguste Gusteau 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
3 Ennoble 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 10/3 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 Bet365
4 Keogie 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 Bet365
5 Namiid 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 Bet365
6 Ragaire 125/1 open 81.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 81.00 125/1 open 81.00 125/1 Bet365
7 Trek Home 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 16/1 Bet365
8 Allirelandmaterial 10/1 open 19.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 9/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 19.00 10/1 Bet365
9 Atallah 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 Bet365
10 Cashel Blue 66/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 66/1 Bet365
11 Grande Cuvee 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 William Hill
12 Pocket Jacks 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
13 Xerling 9/2 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 9/2 Bet365
14 You Smiled 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Namiid

Speculative

Namiid owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 J P Murtagh Ben Coen
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Xerling

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Miss Natalia Lupini
✓ Value Signal

Cashel Blue

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · K J Condon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Namiid
51.4 2/1
2 13. Xerling
45.5 9/2
3 3. Ennoble
44.7 10/3
4 4. Keogie
43.8 15/2
5 8. Allirelandmaterial
42.4 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Namiid
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-8
2/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-8
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 9-3
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-3
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-8
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-3
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-8
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 38 🐾

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Namiid
Confidence: Medium

Namiid leads the field with SR 67 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-8 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Namiid, Xerling, Ennoble, Reposado, Keogie
Each-way: Xerling Danger: Ennoble

🗺 The Course Race conditions

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Navan Track and setting