Class 5 16 May 2026

Last Saturday Somersby Handicap Hurdle

Somersby Handicap Hurdle · 2m3f207y

1248-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Voting open
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
AI rates Saint Vic Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Saint Vic Non-Runner
Age 7 · 10-6
37/7-2
82
100
7
10-6
SP
0-11 over hurdles but ran a sound race last time on second run back from a break when clear second over 2m7f here; drops back in trip but a possible.
1
Kingdom Of Stars
Age 5 · 12-0
PU63P-
67
102
5
12-0
12/1 5/1 11/1
2m AW Flat winner for Tom Ward; unexposed as a hurdler, best run when 13l third in a Hereford novice in March (2m3f, good; wore a hood); wasn't suited by the drop back to 2m when pulled up on handicap debut last time; cheekpieces now tried again (no improvement with them on the Flat).

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Nitty Gritty
Age 6 · 12-0
7P5P-2
75
100
6
12-0
11/1 6/1 10/1
Ex-Irish maiden hurdle winner; best two runs for Mark Walford have been in 2m3f handicaps, including last week when second at Kelso (good; visor back on and retained); each-way chance.

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Fighting Falcon
Age 5 · 11-13
95P33-
65
93
5
11-13
7/2 9/1 10/3
Ex-Irish; best run over hurdles when 6.5l-fifth in a Limerick handicap last December (2m, heavy); has since finished third in two British points (2m5f/3m); quite interesting back over hurdles on stable debut.

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Victoria Milano
Age 8 · 11-12
3/F8P-
71
100
8
11-12
14/1 9/1 12/1
Won two novice hurdles (2m3f/2m) for Alistair Ralph in 2023-24; rather disappointing since, including on her three starts for this yard after wind surgery last season (pulled up over fences last time); bit to prove.

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Good Boy Griff
Age 5 · 11-11
95542-
75
102
5
11-11
13/8 5/2 3/2
Showed improved form on his handicap debut when a short-head second to a previous winner at Bangor last time (2m3f, good); chance on that run.

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Whenthemusicstops
Age 5 · 11-10
/4252-
74
98
5
11-10
20/1 9/1 16/1
Unexposed; second in two maiden hurdles (beaten 43l last time) but best effort when fifth in a Perth maiden in October (2m4f, soft); improvement likely on handicap debut with a tongue-tie tried; chance.

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Legendary Day
Age 8 · 11-7
3/46F-
73
98
8
11-7
40/1 18/1 28/1
Chase/hurdle winner who won on the AW at Lingfield in February 2025; hasn't been in top form on his last couple of runs over hurdles; on a fair mark now.

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Sumatran Tiger
Age 9 · 11-5
4/429-
76
97
9
11-5
20/1 9/1 18/1
Six-time Flat winner; second in a mares' novice hurdle at Huntingdon in November (2m3f, good) but well beaten on handicap debut at Doncaster last time (2m3f, good to soft); returns having had wind surgery, but with a bit to prove.

SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Eskimo Sam
Age 7 · 10-9
98/56-
72
98
7
10-9
14/1 11/1 12/1
Ex-Tom Lacey; well beaten in two handicaps for present yard following a long absence; needs to improve.

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Stay Hopeful
Age 6 · 10-8
/1899-
69
83
6
10-8
5/1 9/1 9/2
Won an Irish point in April 2025 (3m, good to yielding); three ordinary runs over 2m over hurdles; likely to improve markedly for step up in trip and cheekpieces on h'cap debut; a possible.

SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Earlofbrackenstown
Age 7 · 10-3
5PP0P-
79
96
7
10-3
33/1 22/1 28/1
Modest form over hurdles and in a chase for Philip Kirby; needs to take a big step forward on this stable debut.

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Scrumpyjack
Age 5 · 10-2
0/P00-
57
75
5
10-2
40/1 14/1 33/1
Poor form in three runs over hurdles, including when back after a wind op last time; blinkers tried on handicap debut; stiff task from 10lb out of the weights

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Saint Vic
1 Kingdom Of Stars 12/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Nitty Gritty 11/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 Bet365
3 Fighting Falcon 7/2 open 11.00 10/3 open 11.00 10/3 open 11.00 7/2 open 11.00 7/2 open 10.00 7/2 Bet365
4 Victoria Milano 14/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Good Boy Griff 13/8 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.50 13/8 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.50 6/4 open 3.50 7/4 William Hill
6 Whenthemusicstops 20/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 10.00 20/1 Bet365
7 Legendary Day 40/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 19.00 40/1 Bet365
8 Sumatran Tiger 20/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 Bet365
9 Eskimo Sam 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Stay Hopeful 5/1 open 11.00 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 Bet365
12 Earlofbrackenstown 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
13 Scrumpyjack 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 15.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Good Boy Griff

Speculative

Good Boy Griff owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Gary Hanmer Sean Bowen
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Stay Hopeful

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Henry Oliver
✓ Value Signal

Earlofbrackenstown

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Jessica Bedi
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Good Boy Griff
54.2 13/8
2 10. Stay Hopeful
49.1 5/1
3 2. Nitty Gritty
47.8 11/1
4 3. Fighting Falcon
46.8 7/2
5 9. Eskimo Sam
43.9 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Saint Vic
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 5 · 11-11
13/8
★☆☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 5 · 11-13
7/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Age 6 · 10-8
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 12-0
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 5 · 12-0
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Age 8 · 11-12
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 7 · 10-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 11-10
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 9 · 11-5
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Saint Vic
Confidence: Medium

Saint Vic leads the field with SR 82 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-6 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Saint Vic, Earlofbrackenstown, Sumatran Tiger, Nitty Gritty, Good Boy Griff
Each-way: Earlofbrackenstown Danger: Sumatran Tiger

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m3f207y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Uttoxeter Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade