Class 5 16 May 2026

Last Saturday QuinnBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase (Arc Summer Chase Series Qualifier)

QuinnBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase (Arc Summer Chase Series Qualifier) · 2m4f189y

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  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Annie Nail Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Independent Jimmy
Age 7 · 12-0
21236-
81
101
7
12-0
5/1 7/2 5/1
Got off the mark over hurdles at Bangor (2m4f) in September; placed twice when sent chasing after but only sixth in 2m handicap at Musselburgh when last seen in November; could bounce back after a break though.

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Ironica De Thaix
Age 8 · 12-0
3/PPP-
62
8
12-0
28/1 16/1 28/1
Lightly raced 8yo who has been pulled up on his last three outings, cheekpieces tried in 2m Warwick handicap chase 23 days ago; hard to warm to.

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
King Of The Story silks
King Of The Story
Age 10 · 11-1
P1PP4-
73
109
10
11-1
SP 5/1 11/2
Has four wins over fences, including over C&D; encouraging fourth at Fontwell (2m3f, good) on his return last month following a five-month break but he's 2lb higher than his last winning mark.

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Quickasican
Age 9 · 11-8
8PF2-P
65
102
9
11-8
22/1 12/1 22/1
Lightly raced 9yo who was pulled up in 2m4f handicap chase at Hexham two weeks ago; not proving easy to catch right.

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Universal Secret
Age 9 · 11-4
/PP12-
75
102
9
11-4
11/4
In excellent form over fences since undergoing a second breathing operation, scoring at Wincanton (2m4f) in February before a clear second of seven over that C&D last month; up 2lb but that form is working out well so he's a big player.

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
King Of Cong
Age 8 · 11-2
430PP-
80
103
8
11-2
11/1 20/1 11/1
Still to score over fences and has been pulled up in 3m handicap chases at Hexham on his last two runs; tried in different headgear.

SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Annie Nail
Age 9 · 10-8
6312-3
91
100
9
10-8
17/2 FCST 8/1
Resumed winning ways at Fakenham (2m7f) in April but she made mistakes when a remote third of five in 2m5f handicap chase there 12 days ago; needs to get back on track.

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Rockvale
Age 7 · 10-8
69/86-
72
99
7
10-8
4/1 6/1 10/3
Placed in points but yet to make the frame in six starts under rules, a well-held sixth in 3m handicap chase at Bangor last month; easy to look elsewhere.

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Sawpit Samantha
Age 8 · 10-2
/0P38-
78
96
8
10-2
18/1 28/1 16/1
0-17 and she beat only one in 2m4f Warwick handicap chase in March; a change of headgear is adopted now.

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Independent Jimmy 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 Coral
2 Ironica De Thaix 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
2 King Of The Story 11/2 11/2 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 11/2 11/2 Bet365
4 Quickasican 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 Coral
7 Universal Secret 11/4 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 11/4 Bet365
8 King Of Cong 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 Bet365
9 Annie Nail 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 17/2 8/1 open 9.50 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 Bet365
10 Rockvale 4/1 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.50 10/3 open 7.50 4/1 Bet365
11 Sawpit Samantha 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Universal Secret

Speculative

Universal Secret owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Helen Nelmes Dylan Johnston
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Annie Nail

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

17/2 · Tracey Leeson
✓ Value Signal

Ironica De Thaix

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Venetia Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Universal Secret
54.1 11/4
2 9. Annie Nail
53.1 17/2
3 1. Independent Jimmy
50.0 5/1
4 8. King Of Cong
48.9 11/1
5 10. Rockvale
48.3 4/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Annie Nail
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 9 · 11-4
11/4
★☆☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Age 7 · 10-8
4/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 7 · 12-0
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 9 · 10-8
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 8 · 11-2
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Age 8 · 10-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Annie Nail
Confidence: Medium

Annie Nail leads the field with SR 91 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-8 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Annie Nail, Independent Jimmy, King Of Cong, Sawpit Samantha, Universal Secret
Each-way: Independent Jimmy Danger: King Of Cong

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m4f189y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Uttoxeter Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade