Class 4 16 May 2026

Last Saturday Carlsberg Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Carlsberg Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m3f207y

848-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Voting open
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Beau Quali Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Beau Quali
Age 6 · 11-10
58221-
108
122
6
11-10
11/10 5/4 10/11
A fairly useful winning chaser for Dan Skelton; in excellent form for his current yard too, finally getting off the mark over hurdles in 2m3f novice at Chepstow 22 days ago; the clear form pick.

SR 108 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Final Surprise
Age 5 · 11-10
/755-1
83
103
5
11-10
13/2 13/2 11/2
Fair bumper performer who made a winning start in this sphere in 2m novice here two weeks ago; open to progress but more is needed under a 7lb penalty though.

SR 83 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Chicker
Age 5 · 11-3
11600-
89
5
11-3
4/1 FCST 3/1
Fairly useful form when winning his first two bumpers but well held in Champion Bumper at Cheltenham and Grade 2 bumper at Aintree last two runs; has since had a wind op and remains with potential now going hurdling.

SR 89 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Double Tiger
Age 7 · 11-3
8/52-
88
108
7
11-3
SP 7/1 10/1
Blue Bresil gelding who took a step forward when second of 15 in 2m Wetherby novice hurdle in March; capable of better still back up in trip so not out of things.

SR 88 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Executive Producer
Age 6 · 11-3
3/575-
52
70
6
11-3
150/1 100/1 125/1
Placed in an Irish point but little show in a pair of bumpers and on his hurdling debut in 2m4f Newcastle novice last month.

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Manalishi
Age 7 · 11-3
2/32-
102
119
7
11-3
11/4 9/4 2/1
Runner-up in sole bumper at Chepstow and has shaped with promise on both outings in this sphere, staying on well having stumbled home turn when second of six in 2m5f novice at Market Rasen last month; this son of Malinas has more to offer.

SR 102 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Solo Eclipse
Age 6 · 11-3
26-
86
6
11-3
25/1 18/1 20/1
Spanish Moon gelding; promising debut bumper second at Huntingdon in February but he failed to build on it when sixth in similar event there following month; goes hurdling now.

SR 86 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Emerald Ocean
Age 5 · 10-10
0-
87
5
10-10
100/1 FCST 66/1
12-1 and hooded, last of 12 in bumper here in March; this Blue Bresil mare needs to take a major step forward now going hurdling with a tongue-tie added.

SR 87 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Beau Quali 11/10 open 2.38 evn open 2.38 evn open 2.38 10/11 open 2.25 evn open 2.25 11/10 Bet365
2 Final Surprise 13/2 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.50 11/2 open 8.50 7/1 William Hill
3 Chicker 4/1 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.50 7/2 10/3 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365
4 Double Tiger 11/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Executive Producer 150/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 151.00 125/1 open 151.00 150/1 150/1 150/1 Bet365
6 Manalishi 11/4 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 Bet365
7 Solo Eclipse 25/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
9 Emerald Ocean 100/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 81.00 80/1 80/1 open 67.00 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Beau Quali

Live signal

Beau Quali owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (60) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Christian Williams Sean Bowen
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Manalishi

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Richard Phillips
✓ Value Signal

Solo Eclipse

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Beau Quali
63.1 11/10
2 6. Manalishi
60.5 11/4
3 3. Chicker
55.8 4/1
4 2. Final Surprise
52.6 13/2
5 4. Double Tiger
47.4 -
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Beau Quali
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-10
11/10
★★☆☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 11-3
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 11-3
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 11-10
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Beau Quali
Confidence: Medium

Beau Quali leads the field with SR 108 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-10 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Beau Quali, Manalishi, Chicker, Double Tiger, Emerald Ocean
Each-way: Manalishi Danger: Chicker

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m3f207y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Uttoxeter Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade