Class 2 16 May 2026

Last Saturday Darley EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Darley EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f

548-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Voting open
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
AI rates Shabab Al Ahli Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Superior Choice Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-10
4-1
73
3
9-10
SP
1
Chasing Time
Age 3 · 9-10
13
71
91
3
9-10
14/1 6/1 14/1
4-5 when winning a three-runner maiden at Wolverhampton (1m4f, AW) on last month's debut; only third in Southwell novice (1m4f, AW) since and improvement is necessary, but he retains potential and is not ruled out in first-time cheekpieces; one of two for top stable.

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Shabab Al Ahli
Age 3 · 9-10
14
84
102
3
9-10
1/2 4/7 2/5
Easy win at 8-15 on debut at Southwell (1m3f, AW) in February and 1l fourth in Newbury novice (1m2f, good) last month, a race that has worked out extremely well; bred to be suited by this longer trip; leading claims.

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Grilse
Age 3 · 9-4
7
57
75
3
9-4
100/1 40/1 100/1
Half-brother to winners Mindset (7.4f/1m1f; RPR 79) and In A Hurry (76); 50-1 when always behind on debut at Newbury (1m3f, good) four weeks ago; dramatic improvement is necessary.

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Turty Tree
Age 3 · 9-4
2-33
81
97
3
9-4
11/4 10/3 2/1
Runner-up here (1m, good) last October on sole 2yo start and he's run well in third on both outings this season (1m2f/1m3f, good to soft/good); he needs something extra today but can give another good account.

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Koala Rose
Age 3 · 8-13
3-
61
74
3
8-13
11/1 15/2 10/1
Well backed into 11-8 when third on debut at Wolverhampton (9.4f, AW) in December, when she was slowly away and raced wide; plenty to find now taking on males but she could be a big improver for her top yard.

SR 61 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Superior Choice
1 Chasing Time 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 Coral
2 Shabab Al Ahli 1/2 open 1.57 1/2 open 1.62 1/2 open 1.62 2/5 open 1.62 8/15 open 1.62 8/15 Betfred
4 Grilse 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 Bet365
5 Turty Tree 11/4 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.33 11/4 Bet365
6 Koala Rose 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Shabab Al Ahli

Speculative

Shabab Al Ahli owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

1/2 Charlie Appleby Billy Loughnane
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Turty Tree

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Andrew Balding
✓ Value Signal

Grilse

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Brian Meehan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Shabab Al Ahli
54.7 1/2
2 5. Turty Tree
53.7 11/4
3 1. Chasing Time
45.3 14/1
4 6. Koala Rose
42.5 11/1
5 4. Grilse
37.4 100/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Shabab Al Ahli
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-10
1/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 8-13
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 3 · 9-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Shabab Al Ahli
Confidence: Medium

Shabab Al Ahli leads the field with SR 84 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-10 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Shabab Al Ahli, Turty Tree, Superior Choice, Chasing Time, Koala Rose
Each-way: Turty Tree Danger: Superior Choice

🗺 The Course Class 2

1m4f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade