Class 4 16 May 2026

Last Saturday Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap

Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap · 5f

1648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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  • 16 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Brazilian Belle Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Muker
Age 8 · 9-11
0539-8
73
91
8
9-11
12/1 18/1 9/1

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Changeofmind silks
Changeofmind
Age 6 · 9-9
9395-0
76
88
6
9-9
18/1 FCST 16/1

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Counsel
Age 8 · 9-10
14-716
73
90
8
9-10
33/1 18/1 33/1
Won on AW in December (6f) and March (5f) but ran poorly at Wolverhampton four weeks ago; 0-13 on turf and others have more compelling profiles.

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Castan
Age 6 · 9-8
-22814
77
88
6
9-8
12/1 15/2 12/1
25-1 winner of a division of this race 12 months ago; arrives in form following a success at Southwell and a creditable fourth of eight at Ripon; should be in the thick of things again.

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Right And Exact
Age 4 · 9-7
122-8
74
85
4
9-7
17/2 9/1 8/1
Unexposed after just four runs; consistent form in 5f novices last term and made an encouraging reappearance/handicap debut at Musselburgh (5f, good to soft) five weeks ago, fading having had the worst of the draw; remains open to improvement and high on the list.

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Pixie Diva
Age 4 · 9-6
7-6128
76
92
4
9-6
4/1 13/2 7/2
Only eighth of 17 when favourite at Ascot two weeks ago, although far from disgraced; still relatively lightly raced and just 1lb higher than for 5f Newcastle win in March; not ruled out.

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Al Hussar
Age 4 · 9-6
03-343
76
92
4
9-6
15/2 11/2 15/2
Placed on both his runs over C&D and he looks to be coming to the boil, beaten less than 1l when third at Musselburgh 17 days ago; blinkers are back on for the first time this season; might be the answer.

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Tiriac
Age 6 · 9-6
131-97
77
90
6
9-6
20/1 22/1 18/1
Slowly away and never a threat both starts this year; dropped only 1lb and others make more appeal; one of three runners for Paul Midgley.

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Emerald Harmony
Age 5 · 9-6
23-273
77
91
5
9-6
11/1 8/1 17/2
Twice a 5f winner in Ireland for Johnny Murtagh, and she has made a solid start for her new yard, close third of seven at Beverley on latest outing; bubbling under and one of the likelier candidates.

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Curious Rover
Age 5 · 9-5
098-74
69
89
5
9-5
9/1 12/1 17/2
Second to Castan in a division of this race in 2025; led for a long way when fourth of eight at Musselburgh 17 days ago; 6lb below his last winning mark; has plenty in his favour.

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Law Of Average
Age 5 · 9-5
6979-1
75
92
5
9-5
SP FCST 12/1
Front-runner who has won five times from 21 attempts, bouncing right back to form when making all at Bath (5f, firm) last month; back up 4lb but still well treated on 2024 form which included a C&D success.

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Call To Action
Age 5 · 9-5
0041-2
78
93
5
9-5
17/2 10/1 17/2
Lightly raced 5yo; ended 2025 with a win and he showed himself better than ever when a close second of eight at Pontefract (5f, good) on reappearance; still of interest despite a 2lb rise in the weights.

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Equity Law
Age 5 · 9-4
88-633
75
91
5
9-4
11/2
Back to his last winning mark and arrives after a close third of ten over C&D two weeks ago; runner-up in a division of this race last year; in the mix once more.

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Brazilian Belle
Age 4 · 9-2
7-3116
84
90
4
9-2
18/1 16/1 18/1
In good form on the AW early this year, winning over 5f at Southwell and Wolverhampton, but she was well held behind Castan back at Southwell last time and could be vulnerable off her current mark.

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Tees Aggregates
Age 4 · 9-0
17-594
72
90
4
9-0
22/1 12/1 18/1
Doesn't always look the easiest of rides and he reared at the start and was slowly away prior to finishing fourth of six at Bath last Thursday; failed to beat a rival the time before; others look safer.

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

16
South Parade
Age 5 · 9-0
079-00
78
88
5
9-0
28/1 28/1 22/1
On a dangerous mark but she doesn't look in much form, last of 17 at Musselburgh on latest outing; needs to rediscover her spark.

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Muker 12/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 9/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365
1 Changeofmind 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 Bet365
2 Counsel 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
3 Castan 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 Bet365
4 Right And Exact 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
5 Pixie Diva 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 4/1 Bet365
6 Al Hussar 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 Bet365
7 Tiriac 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 Bet365
8 Emerald Harmony 11/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 open 9.00 11/1 Bet365
9 Curious Rover 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
10 Law Of Average 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365
11 Call To Action 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
13 Equity Law 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 11/2 Bet365
14 Brazilian Belle 18/1 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 Coral
15 Tees Aggregates 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
16 South Parade 28/1 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pixie Diva

Speculative

Pixie Diva owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 George Scott Callum Rodriguez
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Equity Law

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Counsel

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Michael Appleby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Pixie Diva
52.8 4/1
2 13. Equity Law
52.4 11/2
3 4. Right And Exact
51.0 17/2
4 11. Call To Action
47.5 17/2
5 10. Law Of Average
47.4 -
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Brazilian Belle
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 9-6
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 5 · 9-4
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-6
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-7
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 5 · 9-5
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-5
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 5 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 8 · 9-11
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 6 · 9-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 6 · 9-9
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 4 · 9-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-6
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Brazilian Belle
Confidence: Medium

Brazilian Belle leads the field with SR 84 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-2 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Brazilian Belle, Call To Action, South Parade, Castan, Tiriac
Each-way: Call To Action Danger: South Parade

🗺 The Course Class 4

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
16 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade