16 May 2026

Last Saturday Wexford Racecourse Mares Maiden Hurdle

Wexford Racecourse Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m4f

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Voting open
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Moonlight Paradise Medium Join free to vote Updated 5 days, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
2
Ersudaly
Age 6 · 11-7
1670F-
75
95
6
11-7
11/1 14/1 11/1
Winner of a point-to-point at the fifth attempt; 22l sixth of eight on rules' debut at Tramore was the best of her four runs over timber; fell at the fifth when in rear on handicap debut at here last time; hood worn that day now left off; could get involved.

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Hunskelper
Age 5 · 11-7
6/90-
71
5
11-7
20/1 12/1 18/1
Some promise in her debut sixth in a Thurles bumper in March last year, but two runs last season were poor; makes stable/hurdling debut now.

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Keep The Head
Age 8 · 11-7
06P9P-
35
88
8
11-7
50/1 40/1 50/1
Hard to fancy on her form to date, even at this modest level; pulled up at Clonmel when last seen in December.

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Lady Fromentro
Age 5 · 11-7
68-
71
87
5
11-7
9/2 10/3 4/1

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Moonlight Paradise
Age 5 · 11-7
1750-
85
97
5
11-7
9/2 11/4 9/2
Point-to-point winner ran her best race under rules on debut at Clonmel (2m4f, yielding) when a 15.5l seventh; below that in two subsequent runs; top-rated and big player for local yard.

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Scathach
Age 6 · 11-7
06F-
74
94
6
11-7
4/1 16/1 7/2
Finished in midfield in a strong Leopardstown maiden on debut; remote sixth behind Bambino Fever at Fairyhouse; made mistakes and fell at two out at Naas last time; not discounted.

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Shing Shang Lily
Age 5 · 11-7
5755-
82
100
5
11-7
9/2 10/3 9/2
Consistent form in defeat, including when fifth of 12 at Clonmel last time (2m4f, good); tongue tie goes on and she's entitled to play a part here.

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
2 Ersudaly 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 Bet365
3 Hunskelper 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365
4 Keep The Head 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
5 Lady Fromentro 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 4/1 open 4.33 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365
7 Moonlight Paradise 9/2 open 4.00 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 3.75 5/1 Coral
9 Scathach 4/1 open 17.00 7/2 open 17.00 7/2 open 17.00 4/1 open 17.00 4/1 open 17.00 4/1 Bet365
10 Shing Shang Lily 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Moonlight Paradise

Speculative

Moonlight Paradise owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Paul Nolan Conor Stone-Walsh
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Scathach

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Ross O'Sullivan
✓ Value Signal

Keep The Head

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Patrick T Foley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Moonlight Paradise
52.0 9/2
2 9. Scathach
51.1 4/1
3 10. Shing Shang Lily
50.0 9/2
4 5. Lady Fromentro
49.2 9/2
5 2. Ersudaly
48.2 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Moonlight Paradise
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 6 · 11-7
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 11-7
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 11-7
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 11-7
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 11-7
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 5 · 11-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Moonlight Paradise
Confidence: Medium

Moonlight Paradise leads the field with SR 85 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Moonlight Paradise, Shing Shang Lily, Ersudaly, Scathach, Hunskelper
Each-way: Shing Shang Lily Danger: Ersudaly

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Wexford Track and setting