Newton Abbot 15:00 RESULTED
Class 4 7 Sep 2026

Monday 7 September St. Austell Brewery Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

St. Austell Brewery Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m0f75y

Official Result

St. Austell Brewery Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Juggernaut (FR) Chad Bament · Anthony Honeyball
    100/30
  2. 11/4
  3. 7/4F
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Melton Mossy silks
Melton Mossy
Age 7 · 12-0
1761-5
109
84
104
7
12-0
11/1 9/1 10/1
Melton Mossy landed a winner two starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a clear threat at the head of our ratings; the main concern is whether 108 days off the track has left him short of peak fitness.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Saint Polo silks
Saint Polo
Age 6 · 11-9
3-7111
104
110
102
6
11-9
11/8 6/5 5/4
Saint Polo arrives in superb nick, winning three of his last five starts including a hat-trick earlier in that sequence, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 163 lb is the one query, but his form trajectory makes him hard to oppose.
AI verdict

SR 110 backed by market confidence at 11/8 — a genuine contender.

3
Juggernaut silks
Juggernaut
Age 7 · 11-2
22-343
97
96
100
7
11-2
4/1 32/17 4/1
Juggernaut has been knocking at the door with two seconds and two thirds in recent starts, and at 13 days he arrives fresh over a trip and going he has already experienced; the concern is that he remains yet to win, and converting that consistency into a win is the test.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Most Wanted silks
Most Wanted
Age 8 · 10-6
9-1372
87
95
93
8
10-6
13/2
Most Wanted arrives here in cracking heart after finishing second last time out and a winner four starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going stands him in good stead; the main concern is that seventh two starts back hints he can blow hot and cold.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Miss Denver silks
Miss Denver
Age 6 · 10-5
343222
86
95
85
6
10-5
3/1 7/2 3/1
Winless in her last six starts despite a string of placed efforts, Miss Denver has experience over today's trip and conditions but is ranked last on our figures, and at 145 lb she faces a stiff task to finally get her head in front.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Melton Mossy 11/1 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 Bet365
2 Saint Polo 11/8 5/4 open 2.20 5/4 5/4 11/8 open 2.25 5/4 open 2.38 11/8 Bet365
3 Juggernaut 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 2.88 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 Bet365
4 Most Wanted 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 13/2 Bet365
5 Miss Denver 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Saint Polo

Live signal

Saint Polo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Jennie Candlish Luke Scott(3)
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Juggernaut

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Anthony Honeyball
✓ Value Signal

Melton Mossy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

11/1 · Mrs C Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Saint Polo
63.3 11/8
2 3. Juggernaut
58.5 4/1
3 5. Miss Denver
56.0 3/1
4 4. Most Wanted
52.1 13/2
5 1. Melton Mossy
49.4 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Saint Polo
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 11-9
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 backed by market confidence at 11/8 — a genuine contender.

5
Age 6 · 10-5
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 11-2
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 10-6
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Saint Polo
Confidence: High

Saint Polo (SR 110, 11/8) is the class standout in this five-runner field, rated 14 points clear of the next best and carrying a manageable 11-9. The form string 3-7111 shows three consecutive wins heading into today, the most recent just 10 days ago confirming peak fitness. Critically, GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, Course:W1P1 shows he has already won at Newton Abbot, and MarkMv:-2 means he runs off a mark 2lb lower than his last win — a rare combination of class, course familiarity, going suitability, and a favourable handicap mark. Trainer Jennie Candlish (14% career strike rate) and jockey Luke Scott (14%) are both competent operators, and the horse's SR 110 dwarfs the field in what is a very modest Class 4 chase. Each-way alternative: Miss Denver. Main danger: Most Wanted — Most Wanted (SR 95, 7/1) carries the lightest realistic weight at 10-6, has proven DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ advantages, has steamed in 8% in the market, and a visor applied for the first time can sharpen a horse that ran a placed second last time out — the 8lb weight concession from Saint Polo is meaningful over fences.

Case against 4
  • Saint Polo's trainer Jennie Candlish is based in the North; Newton Abbot is a long southern trip, and travelling horses can underperform — no data suggesting she has a strong southern track record.
  • The headgear note 'tp' (tongue-strap/tie) was presumably worn in recent wins; if this is first-time or a change, it adds an unknown variable, but even if consistent, it flags a horse that needs aids…
  • Juggernaut (drifted 10%) and Most Wanted (came in 8%) show market divergence — money is moving away from the pick's main dangers toward one rival (Most Wanted), suggesting bookmakers and informed mon…
  • Three wins from a mark 112 down to 110 in quick succession; the handicapper has been lenient so far, but today he runs off -2 his last winning mark meaning he's still well handicapped — however, rapi…
Shortlist Saint Polo, Miss Denver, Most Wanted
Each-way: Miss Denver Danger: Most Wanted

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m0f75y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade