Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Beginners Steeplechase · 2m2f54y
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 81 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Captain Ryan Matt | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Daydream Nation | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Ndaawi | 13/8 open 2.75 | 6/4 open 2.63 | 6/4 open 2.63 | 6/4 open 2.63 | 6/4 open 2.63 | 6/4 open 3.00 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Ocastle Des Mottes | 7/4 open 4.33 | 7/4 open 4.50 | 13/8 open 4.00 | 13/8 open 4.00 | 7/4 open 4.33 | 7/4 open 3.25 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Polepatrick | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 6 William Tell | 12/1 open 26.00 | 12/1 open 26.00 | 11/1 open 26.00 | 11/1 open 26.00 | 11/1 open 26.00 | 12/1 open 29.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Feet On The Ground | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 open 126.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Mongibello | 8/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 5.00 | 15/2 open 5.00 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ndaawi owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (78) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 87 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ocastle Des Mottes (SR:121, 9/4) is trained by W P Mullins (21% career strike rate, 1319 runners) with Paul Townend aboard at a remarkable 29% career strike rate — the strongest connections pairing in this field by some margin. The market has moved aggressively in its favour, shortening 20% since opening, which is a significant steamer signal that the powerful Mullins yard is confident. While the SR of 121 is modest, this is a beginners' steeplechase at €7,800 prize money where raw ability ratings are compressed and form over fences at this novice level is limited across the board — connections quality and market intelligence become decisive differentiators. The form string 5/4-P2 shows a horse returning from a break that has run into a place recently, and Townend at 29% does not ride casual entries. Each-way alternative: Ndaawi. Main danger: Ndaawi — Ndaawi carries the highest SR in the field at 141 — well clear of any rival — trained by Gordon Elliott (15%, 1781 runners) with proven GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and despite drifting 14% in the market the underlying ability level means any step forward from its last run (which featured first-time hood 'p') could make it unbeatable.