Wolverhampton (AW) 17:30 RESULTED
Class 6 7 Sep 2026

Monday 7 September Cavani Sartorial Nursery Handicap Stakes

Cavani Sartorial Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m5f21y

Official Result

Cavani Sartorial Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lauralynn (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll
    5/1
  2. Second Chianti (GB)
    11/2
  3. 8/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lady Of Hay silks
Lady Of Hay
Age 2 · 9-9
673
65
51
60
2
9-9
10/1 9/2 10/1
Placed third last time out after a pair of disappointing efforts, Lady Of Hay arrives here 16 days fresh with distance experience to call on, though winless in her last three starts and a rating of 60 leaves her with plenty to find against this field.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Lauralynn silks
Lauralynn
Age 2 · 9-8
321732
64
74
74
2
9-8
9/2 11/4 4/1
Lauralynn shaped with real promise when runner-up last time out and third two starts back, and she has experience over today's trip and going, with our rating of 74 marking her as a leading danger; the main concern is that seventh three starts back, which hints at inconsistency.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Calef silks
Calef
Age 2 · 9-8
4344U6
64
54
70
2
9-8
5/1 5/1 4/1
Calef shaped with promise when third five starts back and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround with distance experience in her favour, our rating of 70 marking her out as a genuine threat from stall 3; the worry is she remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.

4
Cavan Lady silks
Cavan Lady
Age 2 · 9-6
344
62
55
65
2
9-6
17/2 4/1 17/2
Cavan Lady has shown a modicum of ability with a third three starts back, yet back-to-back fourths in her last two outings and a 61-day absence leave questions to answer; winless in recent starts and carrying 132 lb from stall 11, she faces a stiff ask to improve here.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sable Island silks
Sable Island
Age 2 · 9-5
337655
61
66
78
2
9-5
6/1 9/1 5/1
Sable Island tops the ratings here and shaped with promise when third five starts back and again six starts back, though she has been winless in her last six starts and must find more from stall six off 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Crystal Kraken silks
Crystal Kraken
Age 2 · 9-5
735223
61
64
69
2
9-5
7/1 7/2 7/1
Crystal Kraken has been knocking hard on the door, finishing second twice and third once in her last four starts, and with experience over today's trip and conditions she arrives primed after just seven days; the risk is she remains yet to win despite her consistent placing.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Chianti silks
Chianti
Age 2 · 9-5
5433
61
59
68
2
9-5
11/2 4/1 9/2
Consistent enough in his last four starts, with back-to-back thirds showing he finds his level without threatening the front, and has run over today's trip before; yet to win in recent starts, though a trainer firing at 30% offers genuine yard support.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Time And Effort silks
Time And Effort
Age 2 · 9-2
4028
58
48
58
2
9-2
12/1 22/1 10/1
Winless in her last four starts, with a second two starts back offering some hope, though a trainer operating at just 5% in the past fortnight is a concern; she has run over today's trip and going before and steps back out after 33 days off.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Trust Havana silks
Trust Havana
Age 2 · 8-9
08676
51
25
49
2
8-9
20/1 40/1 18/1
Winless in her last five starts, Trust Havana has struggled for consistency and our figures rank her last of the field, making her hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and a 21-day break that leaves her fresh.
AI verdict

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

10
Le Ciel Noble silks
Le Ciel Noble
Age 2 · 8-7
654
49
37
50
2
8-7
14/1 14/1 11/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Le Ciel Noble faces a stiff ask here; a 55-day absence adds to the query marks, though he has run over today's trip and carries a manageable 119 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

11
Good Fighter silks
Good Fighter
Age 2 · 8-6
7596
48
39
52
2
8-6
16/1 33/1 14/1
Winless in his last four starts, with finishes no better than fifth in recent starts, Good Fighter is hard to fancy at a rating of 48, though he has run over today's trip and going before and faces 10 rivals from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lady Of Hay 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 5.50 11/1 Paddy Power
2 Lauralynn 9/2 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 Bet365
3 Calef 5/1 4/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 8.50 5/1 Bet365
4 Cavan Lady 17/2 open 7.00 9/1 open 5.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 Paddy Power
5 Sable Island 6/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 10.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 10.00 6/1 Bet365
6 Crystal Kraken 7/1 open 4.50 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 4.50 8/1 open 4.50 8/1 open 4.50 15/2 open 4.50 8/1 Paddy Power
7 Chianti 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 5.00 5/1 5/1 6/1 open 6.00 9/2 6/1 William Hill
8 Time And Effort 12/1 open 26.00 10/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 Bet365
9 Trust Havana 20/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 51.00 18/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 41.00 20/1 open 41.00 25/1 William Hill
10 Le Ciel Noble 14/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
11 Good Fighter 16/1 open 41.00 14/1 open 41.00 14/1 open 41.00 14/1 open 41.00 14/1 open 41.00 14/1 open 34.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Crystal Kraken

Speculative

Crystal Kraken owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/1 Dylan Cunha Jack Doughty
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sable Island

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Chris Dwyer
✓ Value Signal

Trust Havana

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Gary Hanmer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Crystal Kraken
48.3 7/1
2 5. Sable Island
47.4 6/1
3 2. Lauralynn
47.1 9/2
4 7. Chianti
45.1 11/2
5 3. Calef
44.9 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lauralynn
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-8
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-8
5/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.

7
Age 2 · 9-5
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-5
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-5
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-6
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

10
Age 2 · 8-7
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 37 🐾

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

11
Age 2 · 8-6
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

9
Age 2 · 8-9
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 25 🐾

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lauralynn
Confidence: Medium

Lauralynn (SR:74, 3/1) is the clear class standout in this field — her SR of 74 is comfortably the highest, sitting 8 points above the next-best Sable Island (SR:66). Crucially, she carries just 9-8 and holds a DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ advantage, meaning she has a proven winning record at this trip and on this going surface — unique among all 11 runners. Her form string 321732 shows consistent competitiveness, and the market has already moved 12% in her favour, confirming stable confidence. Trainer Declan Carroll at 10% strike rate is modest but the jockey booking and market support suggest this is a yard that believes today's conditions suit. Each-way alternative: Sable Island. Main danger: Sable Island — Sable Island (SR:66, 13/2) has steamed in 43% in the market — the biggest move in the field — and carries a favourable 9-5 weight, suggesting connections believe the class drop (↓1) and fresh legs after 21 days unlocks a better performance, even if the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- readings are concerns to manage.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Lauralynn's form string 321732 shows a 7th last time out, suggesting a dip in form at the most recent start — not the upward trajectory you want heading into today.
  • Trainer Declan Carroll's 10% strike rate and jockey Zak Wheatley's 9% win rate are both below-par metrics for a horse sent off 3/1 favourite in a competitive 11-runner 2yo AW field.
  • Crystal Kraken (SR:64, 9/2) raced just 7 days ago and arrives race-fit with strong recent fitness, while Sable Island has drifted in 43% suggesting sharper market intelligence behind a rival with onl…
  • At 3/1 in an 11-runner juvenile AW race, the price leaves little margin for error — the SR advantage of 8 points over Sable Island is meaningful but not dominant enough to fully justify favouritism a…
Shortlist Lauralynn, Sable Island, Crystal Kraken
Each-way: Sable Island Danger: Sable Island

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m5f21y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade