Placed third last time out after a pair of disappointing efforts, Lady Of Hay arrives here 16 days fresh with distance experience to call on, though winless in her last three starts and a rating of 60 leaves her with plenty to find against this field.
Form last 6673
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR60RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Lauralynn shaped with real promise when runner-up last time out and third two starts back, and she has experience over today's trip and going, with our rating of 74 marking her as a leading danger; the main concern is that seventh three starts back, which hints at inconsistency.
Form last 6321732
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR74RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Calef shaped with promise when third five starts back and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround with distance experience in her favour, our rating of 70 marking her out as a genuine threat from stall 3; the worry is she remains winless in recent starts.
Form last 64344U6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR70RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.
Cavan Lady has shown a modicum of ability with a third three starts back, yet back-to-back fourths in her last two outings and a 61-day absence leave questions to answer; winless in recent starts and carrying 132 lb from stall 11, she faces a stiff ask to improve here.
Form last 6344
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR65RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sable Island tops the ratings here and shaped with promise when third five starts back and again six starts back, though she has been winless in her last six starts and must find more from stall six off 131 lb.
Form last 6337655
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR78RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Crystal Kraken has been knocking hard on the door, finishing second twice and third once in her last four starts, and with experience over today's trip and conditions she arrives primed after just seven days; the risk is she remains yet to win despite her consistent placing.
Form last 6735223
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR69RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent enough in his last four starts, with back-to-back thirds showing he finds his level without threatening the front, and has run over today's trip before; yet to win in recent starts, though a trainer firing at 30% offers genuine yard support.
Form last 65433
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR68RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts, with a second two starts back offering some hope, though a trainer operating at just 5% in the past fortnight is a concern; she has run over today's trip and going before and steps back out after 33 days off.
Form last 64028
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR58RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Trust Havana has struggled for consistency and our figures rank her last of the field, making her hard to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and a 21-day break that leaves her fresh.
Form last 608676
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR49RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Winless in his last three starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Le Ciel Noble faces a stiff ask here; a 55-day absence adds to the query marks, though he has run over today's trip and carries a manageable 119 lb from stall four.
Form last 6654
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR50RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in his last four starts, with finishes no better than fifth in recent starts, Good Fighter is hard to fancy at a rating of 48, though he has run over today's trip and going before and faces 10 rivals from stall two.
Form last 67596
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR52RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Crystal Kraken owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/1Dylan CunhaJack Doughty
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Sable Island
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/1 · Chris Dwyer✓ Value Signal
Trust Havana
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · Gary Hanmer◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Lauralynn (SR:74, 3/1) is the clear class standout in this field — her SR of 74 is comfortably the highest, sitting 8 points above the next-best Sable Island (SR:66). Crucially, she carries just 9-8 and holds a DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ advantage, meaning she has a proven winning record at this trip and on this going surface — unique among all 11 runners. Her form string 321732 shows consistent competitiveness, and the market has already moved 12% in her favour, confirming stable confidence. Trainer Declan Carroll at 10% strike rate is modest but the jockey booking and market support suggest this is a yard that believes today's conditions suit.
Each-way alternative: Sable Island.
Main danger: Sable Island — Sable Island (SR:66, 13/2) has steamed in 43% in the market — the biggest move in the field — and carries a favourable 9-5 weight, suggesting connections believe the class drop (↓1) and fresh legs after 21 days unlocks a better performance, even if the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- readings are concerns to manage.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Lauralynn's form string 321732 shows a 7th last time out, suggesting a dip in form at the most recent start — not the upward trajectory you want heading into today.
Trainer Declan Carroll's 10% strike rate and jockey Zak Wheatley's 9% win rate are both below-par metrics for a horse sent off 3/1 favourite in a competitive 11-runner 2yo AW field.
Crystal Kraken (SR:64, 9/2) raced just 7 days ago and arrives race-fit with strong recent fitness, while Sable Island has drifted in 43% suggesting sharper market intelligence behind a rival with onl…
At 3/1 in an 11-runner juvenile AW race, the price leaves little margin for error — the SR advantage of 8 points over Sable Island is meaningful but not dominant enough to fully justify favouritism a…