Follow Matchbook On X Handicap Stakes · 1m0f31y
SR 75 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Great Chieftain | 8/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Ascending Star | 11/4 open 5.00 | 3/1 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 2.63 | 3/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Dovey Moon | 8/1 open 21.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 19.00 | 17/2 open 19.00 | 17/2 open 17.00 | 7/1 open 23.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 4 Burdett Estate | 100/1 open 21.00 | 70/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 100/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Get Outta Here | 4/1 open 9.00 | 4/1 open 12.00 | 4/1 open 10.00 | 4/1 open 10.00 | 4/1 open 10.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Luzon Heights | 11/2 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 8.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Mystic Moment | 20/1 open 7.00 | 20/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 18/1 open 7.50 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Golden Circet | 28/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Ecclefechan | 4/1 open 2.88 | 7/2 open 2.63 | 10/3 open 2.75 | 10/3 open 2.75 | 4/1 open 2.75 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ascending Star owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ascending Star (SR:94, 2/1) is the standout ability leader in this field by a clear margin — 7 SR points ahead of the next-best Get Outta Here (SR:87) and 12 clear of Ecclefechan (SR:82). The 28% market steam is the most decisive market move in the race and signals strong connections confidence. Carrying 9-11 is manageable, and GoingFit:+ confirms this horse has a proven record on good ground. The form string 33-133 shows consistent placing at the top of fields, and a ClassMv:= means no step into the unknown. Trainer Owen Burrows (18% strike rate, 237 runners) and jockey Callum Rodriguez (17%, 709 runners) are a competent combination with above-average conversion rates. Each-way alternative: Ecclefechan. Main danger: Get Outta Here — Get Outta Here (SR:87, 9/2) has steamed in 42% in the market — the second biggest move in the race — and the ClassMv:↓1 drop in class gives it a genuine handicap angle, though DistFit:- and a mark 9lb higher than its last win (MarkMv:+9) are real concerns that cap its threat.