Grandad Swales Happy 80th Birthday Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase · 2m4f216y
SR 89 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 My Cullen | 17/2 open 17.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Jetty May | 7/2 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 8.50 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 7/2 | 10/3 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Hatos | 17/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Mr McWhinny | 15/8 open 2.25 | 2/1 open 2.20 | 2/1 open 2.20 | 2/1 open 2.20 | 2/1 open 2.25 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 2/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Mcgregors Charge | 9/4 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.63 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 2/1 | 9/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mr McWhinny owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Jetty May (SR:87, 7/2) carries the Paul Nicholls yard stamp — a 17% strike rate from 46 runners is elite-level for a conditional jockeys' handicap chase at Class 5 — and the market has steamed in 21% from opening, signalling informed support. The form string 601-4P reads as mixed but the P (pulled up) is the most recent run and likely explains the 76-day break and gear change to tp (tongue-tie plus cheekpieces); a freshened horse from a top stable with significant money behind it at this level is a compelling package. Crucially, My Cullen (top-weight 12-0) has proven DistFit:- and GoingFit:- making 12st on good ground over 2m4f a near-impossible ask, while Mr McWhinny (SR:90, 2/1, MarkMv:+5) has drifted a concerning 29% from opening and also returns DistFit:-. Jetty May at 7/2 with the Nicholls money behind it is the value call in a weak five-runner field. Each-way alternative: Mcgregors Charge. Main danger: Mr McWhinny — Mr McWhinny holds the joint-highest SR (90) in the field, trainer T Ellis runs at a 19% strike rate from a small yard which suggests careful placing, and despite the market drift and DistFit:- concern, a recent run 19 days ago keeps him race-sharp — if the trip proves less of an issue than the record suggests, he has the raw ability to win.