Par Inn Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m0f167y
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Edelak | 6/5 open 1.83 | 11/10 open 2.00 | 6/5 open 1.91 | 6/5 open 1.91 | 5/4 open 1.91 | 5/4 open 1.83 | 5/4 William Hill |
| 2 War Correspondent | 16/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Arctic Voyage | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Ellerton | 3/1 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Arctic Voyage owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (69) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Edelak (SR:129, 10/11) is the class leader in this small field, carrying top-weight at 12-0 but boasting the most consistent recent form — a 2111F1 sequence shows five finishes in the frame from six starts with only a mid-sequence fall to explain. Crucially, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability over today's exact trip and going conditions, and the Dan/Harry Skelton combination (21%/27% strike rates from substantial sample sizes of 1,234 and 713 runners respectively) is one of the most reliable in British jumping. The MarkMv:+6 is a mild negative — running 6lb higher than the last win — but in a four-runner Class 3 field where the next-best SR is Arctic Voyage at 125, the SR gap and superior connections overcome that concern. The weight burden at 12-0 on Good ground is manageable and does not constitute the soft-ground penalty that would flip the verdict. Each-way alternative: Arctic Voyage. Main danger: Arctic Voyage — Arctic Voyage (SR:125, 11/4) carries 8lb less than Edelak, boasts an outstanding course record of W2P3 at Newton Abbot, and DistFit:+ / GoingFit:+ confirm equal suitability to today's conditions — at 11/4 with a trainer strike rate of 16% from a small but active yard, the weight-for-SR trade-off makes this the one most likely to overturn the favourite.