Won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, Lets Mingle arrives here 23 days fresh, carrying 169 lb, and her rating of 113 marks her as the one to beat in this field of ten, though her fifth last time out is the one minor caution.
Form last 6U-3515
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
98SR113RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Follow Charlie won his last two starts and arrives in decent nick 23 days on, with experience of today's trip and going in his favour; the 168 lb burden is a stiff ask, however, and his ranking sixth of ten on our rating suggests he faces better company than his recent wins came against.
Form last 694-411
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
109SR107RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts and coming off a fall, Spit Spot nonetheless shapes as a leading threat here — she has experience over today's trip and going, our rating of 111 ranks her second in the field, and 57 days off may have freshened her up, though her recent jumping frailties are the obvious concern.
Form last 6647P-F
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
78SR111RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Bogha Baiste has shown consistency without a win in recent starts, posting back-to-back thirds before two fourths, though a pulled-up effort on the other side of that sequence gives pause; experience on today's going helps, but 67 days off and 164 lb are notable questions.
Form last 6P334-4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
77SR106RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Placed last time out and carrying 161 lb into this, Annie Agnew has run over today's trip and going and rates 6 lb above her official mark — a compelling case for a big run — though she remains winless in her last five starts, which is the key concern.
Form last 65P-402
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR109RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Garrick Painter slipped up last time out and was sixth two starts back, making him hard to fancy ranked eighth of ten on our figures, though he does bring going experience and a win four starts back to the table.
Form last 6/1-06S
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR99RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Kinbara Firstdraft has at least shown some consistency hitting fourth twice in that sequence, and he has experience over today's trip and going; however, 158 lb is a stiff ask for a horse yet to land a race.
Form last 6574546
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
73SR108RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
A lengthy absence of 149 days and a run of one win in his last five starts, including a fall, make Hawkseye View hard to fancy here, ranked ninth of ten on our figures, though he has experience of today's distance and going and did score four starts back.
Form last 641F04-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR94RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, Tigress Lilly faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's going before and returns after 57 days off, but consistency has been elusive and 146 lb is no help.
Form last 600-665
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR92RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Follow Charlie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4R Mike SmithMurray Dodd(5)
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Annie Agnew
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Gerald Stephen Quinn✓ Value Signal
Kinbara Firstdraft
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Leonard Kerr◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Lowlands (SR:108, 7/2) has steamed in 23% in the market — the most significant move in the field — with Nicky Richards training at a 21% strike rate from only 34 runners, indicating a tight, selective operation that sends horses out ready to win. Danny McMenamin rides, a capable jumps jockey at 15%. Course form of W1P1 at Perth is a real positive on a track where specialists thrive, and while DistFit is unproven at this exact trip, his GoingFit is moderate (not poor) on good ground. His form of 3-1244 shows a recent win followed by placed efforts, suggesting consistent competence at this class level, and a MarkMv of +6 is a modest impost that the weight (11-11) can absorb. The combination of market confidence, a sharp yard, and course familiarity makes this the strongest multi-signal case in the race.
Each-way alternative: Follow Charlie.
Main danger: Follow Charlie — Follow Charlie (SR:109, 2/1) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and has course form of W2P2 at Perth — course specialists are always dangerous here — and his form of 94-411 shows two consecutive wins last time out, suggesting a horse in peak form.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Follow Charlie (SR:109, 2/1) holds a superior Speed Rating, stronger course record (W2P2 vs W1P1), and is the clear market leader at less than half Lowlands' price — the form lines simply favour the…
Lowlands' last four runs show a sequence of 2-4-4 after the win, a slide toward mid-pack finishes that suggests the yard may be working back to form rather than peaking for today.
MarkMv of +6 means Lowlands is running off a 6lb higher mark than when last assessed; combined with top weight comparison against rivals like Annie Agnew (11-7) and Garrick Painter (11-7), the handic…
Nicky Richards operates from only 34 runners — a selective yard signal cuts both ways; the 23% market move is meaningful but Follow Charlie's trainer R Mike Smith runs from 148 runners at 9%, implyin…