Perth 16:20 RESULTED
Class 4 7 Sep 2026

Monday 7 September www.asp.scot Stellantis Commercial Aftersales Handicap Hurdle Race

www.asp.scot Stellantis Commercial Aftersales Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m4f35y

Official Result

www.asp.scot Stellantis Commercial Aftersales Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Annie Agnew (GB) Mr D McGill · Gerald Stephen Quinn
    11/4
  2. 18/1
  3. 3/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lets Mingle silks
Lets Mingle
Age 6 · 12-1
U-3515
111
98
113
6
12-1
10/1 13/2 10/1
Won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, Lets Mingle arrives here 23 days fresh, carrying 169 lb, and her rating of 113 marks her as the one to beat in this field of ten, though her fifth last time out is the one minor caution.
AI verdict

SR 98 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Follow Charlie silks
Follow Charlie
Age 7 · 12-0
94-411
110
109
107
7
12-0
9/4 2/1 9/4
Follow Charlie won his last two starts and arrives in decent nick 23 days on, with experience of today's trip and going in his favour; the 168 lb burden is a stiff ask, however, and his ranking sixth of ten on our rating suggests he faces better company than his recent wins came against.
AI verdict

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Spit Spot silks
Spit Spot
Age 7 · 11-13
647P-F
109
78
111
7
11-13
16/1 11/1 14/1
Winless in her last five starts and coming off a fall, Spit Spot nonetheless shapes as a leading threat here — she has experience over today's trip and going, our rating of 111 ranks her second in the field, and 57 days off may have freshened her up, though her recent jumping frailties are the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Lowlands silks
Lowlands
Age 7 · 11-11
3-1244
107
108
109
7
11-11
7/2 7/2 10/3
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Bogha Baiste silks
Bogha Baiste
Age 5 · 11-10
P334-4
106
77
106
5
11-10
16/1 12/1 16/1
Bogha Baiste has shown consistency without a win in recent starts, posting back-to-back thirds before two fourths, though a pulled-up effort on the other side of that sequence gives pause; experience on today's going helps, but 67 days off and 164 lb are notable questions.
AI verdict

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

6
Annie Agnew silks
Annie Agnew
Age 6 · 11-7
5P-402
103
97
109
6
11-7
7/2 5/1 3/1
Placed last time out and carrying 161 lb into this, Annie Agnew has run over today's trip and going and rates 6 lb above her official mark — a compelling case for a big run — though she remains winless in her last five starts, which is the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Garrick Painter silks
Garrick Painter
Age 6 · 11-7
/1-06S
103
88
99
6
11-7
7/1 11/4 7/1
Garrick Painter slipped up last time out and was sixth two starts back, making him hard to fancy ranked eighth of ten on our figures, though he does bring going experience and a win four starts back to the table.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Kinbara Firstdraft silks
Kinbara Firstdraft
Age 7 · 11-4
574546
100
73
108
7
11-4
40/1 33/1 40/1
Winless in his last six starts, Kinbara Firstdraft has at least shown some consistency hitting fourth twice in that sequence, and he has experience over today's trip and going; however, 158 lb is a stiff ask for a horse yet to land a race.
AI verdict

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Hawkseye View silks
Hawkseye View
Age 7 · 10-8
41F04-
90
67
94
7
10-8
40/1 10/1 40/1
A lengthy absence of 149 days and a run of one win in his last five starts, including a fall, make Hawkseye View hard to fancy here, ranked ninth of ten on our figures, though he has experience of today's distance and going and did score four starts back.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Tigress Lilly silks
Tigress Lilly
Age 5 · 10-6
00-665
88
69
92
5
10-6
18/1 20/1 12/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, Tigress Lilly faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's going before and returns after 57 days off, but consistency has been elusive and 146 lb is no help.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lets Mingle 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 Paddy Power
2 Follow Charlie 9/4 5/2 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 Paddy Power
3 Spit Spot 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 Bet365
4 Lowlands 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 9.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 Bet365
5 Bogha Baiste 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 Bet365
6 Annie Agnew 7/2 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.50 7/2 Bet365
7 Garrick Painter 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 3.75 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 4.50 7/1 open 4.50 7/1 Bet365
8 Kinbara Firstdraft 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Hawkseye View 40/1 open 15.00 66/1 open 11.00 50/1 open 13.00 50/1 open 13.00 50/1 open 13.00 66/1 open 13.00 66/1 Paddy Power
10 Tigress Lilly 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 29.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Follow Charlie

Live signal

Follow Charlie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 R Mike Smith Murray Dodd(5)
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Annie Agnew

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Gerald Stephen Quinn
✓ Value Signal

Kinbara Firstdraft

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Leonard Kerr
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Follow Charlie
61.1 9/4
2 6. Annie Agnew
58.9 7/2
3 4. Lowlands
57.9 7/2
4 1. Lets Mingle
55.1 10/1
5 7. Garrick Painter
55.0 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lowlands
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 7 · 12-0
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-11
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 11-7
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 11-7
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 12-1
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 7 · 11-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Age 5 · 11-10
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Age 5 · 10-6
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lowlands
Confidence: Speculative

Lowlands (SR:108, 7/2) has steamed in 23% in the market — the most significant move in the field — with Nicky Richards training at a 21% strike rate from only 34 runners, indicating a tight, selective operation that sends horses out ready to win. Danny McMenamin rides, a capable jumps jockey at 15%. Course form of W1P1 at Perth is a real positive on a track where specialists thrive, and while DistFit is unproven at this exact trip, his GoingFit is moderate (not poor) on good ground. His form of 3-1244 shows a recent win followed by placed efforts, suggesting consistent competence at this class level, and a MarkMv of +6 is a modest impost that the weight (11-11) can absorb. The combination of market confidence, a sharp yard, and course familiarity makes this the strongest multi-signal case in the race. Each-way alternative: Follow Charlie. Main danger: Follow Charlie — Follow Charlie (SR:109, 2/1) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and has course form of W2P2 at Perth — course specialists are always dangerous here — and his form of 94-411 shows two consecutive wins last time out, suggesting a horse in peak form.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Follow Charlie (SR:109, 2/1) holds a superior Speed Rating, stronger course record (W2P2 vs W1P1), and is the clear market leader at less than half Lowlands' price — the form lines simply favour the…
  • Lowlands' last four runs show a sequence of 2-4-4 after the win, a slide toward mid-pack finishes that suggests the yard may be working back to form rather than peaking for today.
  • MarkMv of +6 means Lowlands is running off a 6lb higher mark than when last assessed; combined with top weight comparison against rivals like Annie Agnew (11-7) and Garrick Painter (11-7), the handic…
  • Nicky Richards operates from only 34 runners — a selective yard signal cuts both ways; the 23% market move is meaningful but Follow Charlie's trainer R Mike Smith runs from 148 runners at 9%, implyin…
Shortlist Lowlands, Follow Charlie, Annie Agnew
Each-way: Follow Charlie Danger: Follow Charlie

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m4f35y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Perth Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade