Desert Falcon arrives here on the back of a string of disappointing efforts, yet that second five starts back shows the talent is there, and he brings strong experience of today's distance and going alongside a competitive 138 lb burden from stall eight — the main concern is finding that form again after three successive poor runs.
Form last 62-0996
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR101RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Super Soldier has experience over today's trip and returns quickly on seven days' rest, but four consecutive unplaced efforts since a fourth five starts back make him hard to fancy from stall 14 carrying 138 lb, and he remains winless in recent starts.
Form last 64-0000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR95RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Mirabeau has been out of the nick in his last two starts, though a second three starts back and a win four starts back show he retains ability; he has run over today's trip and going, and at 138 lb from stall 16, the weight ask is the chief query.
Form last 6-01200
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR98RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Deep Havana arrives here in fine nick — a winner last time out and placed in four of the five starts before that, he has run over today's trip and returns after a 22-day break looking primed, carrying 138 lb from stall 11.
Form last 6622221
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
101SR102RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Toyotomi won four starts back and was third five starts back, giving him some form to cling to, but unplaced and sixth in his last two runs cloud the picture; has run over today's trip and going, and 137 lb is a stern enough burden to consider.
Form last 6631060
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR97RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Commanche Falls showed clear ability when finishing third two starts back, and our rating of 102 — highest among the 25 runners — marks him out as a leading contender; yet to win in recent starts, and that eighth last time out raises a fitness question he must answer.
Form last 6207038
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR102RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Brazilian Rose faces a stiff task here; she has experience of today's distance and going, but returning just one day after her last run and carrying 134 lb from stall 21 makes it very hard to fancy her chances.
Form last 6569070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR89RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Station X returns quickly on seven days' rest and has run over today's trip and going before, but his latest start was unplaced and he ranks nineteenth of twenty-five on our figures, making him very hard to fancy despite two wins in his last six starts.
Form last 6641310
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR90RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Lord Roxby returns after 22 days carrying 133 lb from stall two, and a winner three starts back gives him a recent form boost; however, an unplaced effort last time and a trainer firing at just 4% in the past fortnight are notable drags on confidence.
Form last 6452130
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR91RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 18th of 25 on our figures, I'm Next is hard to fancy on these ratings, and an unplaced effort last time out compounds the concern; his second two starts back offers a crumb of comfort, as does experience of today's trip and going.
Form last 6311620
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR90RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Havana Blue arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and has experience of today's trip and conditions, yet he carries a hefty 133 lb from stall ten and his speed rating of 87 leaves him with ground to find on our ranking of 93 against this field.
Form last 6422211
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR93RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Trilby was a winner two starts back and a placed runner last time out, giving him recent form to work with, though draw 23 and 133 lb are notable factors to weigh, and experience over today's trip and going at least confirms he handles the conditions.
Form last 6310412
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR92RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Veblen Good does at least bring distance and going experience to the table and, fresh enough at 15 days between runs, he arrives with conditions familiar; the concern is a burden of 132 lb from stall 18 for a horse yet to show the finishing kick his profile demands.
Form last 6334407
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR95RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Goldmoyne has been winless in his last six starts and, ranked 22 of 25 on our figures, it is hard to make a strong case for him here; a sixth last time out sums up his recent struggles, though a third three starts back offers a sliver of encouragement.
Form last 6422386
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR89RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rapper's Delight has been well held in his last two outings, though he posted back-to-back seconds three and four starts back, suggesting the ability is there; yet to score in recent starts, he lines up from stall 3 carrying 132 lb with distance and going experience on his side.
Form last 6992288
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
94SR96RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Advertised shaped well for a second two starts back and is fitter for a run 14 days ago, with experience over today's trip and conditions working in his favour; the main risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts and must find more to get his head in front.
Form last 6-29026
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR102RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked well adrift of the field on our figures, Jungle Drums has managed just one win in his last five starts, with consecutive fourth-place finishes latest, and carrying 132 lb from stall 13 does him no favours either; experience over today's trip and going at least means conditions are familiar.
Form last 6-05144
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR90RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Eternal Sunshine faces a stiff ask here, and an unplaced effort last time does little to encourage confidence, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a win two starts back shows she retains ability on her day.
Form last 6260210
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR87RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out suggests he retains some form, and has run over today's trip and going before, but a struggling trainer at 1/37 in the past fortnight is a concern, and 131 lb is a stiff ask from stall seven.
Form last 6-17103
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR93RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Another Baar faces a stiff task from stall 19 carrying 131 lb, and his recent form offers little encouragement; he has run over today's trip and going before, though our rating of 93 suggests a shade more ability than his official mark implies.
Form last 6006070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR93RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Ranked last of 25 on our figures, We Never Stop arrives winless in his last six starts, with a second three starts back the lone bright spot in a largely disappointing sequence; carrying 130 lb from stall 15 makes it hard to fancy despite the return in 22 days and experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6800207
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR86RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and drawn in stall 24, Tricky Tel arrives on a patchy recent sequence — fifth last time out and unplaced the start before — with his two wins coming further back in his last six starts, making him very hard to fancy at the weights despite having run over today's trip.
Form last 6110205
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR87RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and returning after a 129-day absence, Wicket Keep has the runner-up finish four starts back as his best recent effort, though unplaced on his latest outing and carrying 130 lb from stall 17 are clear negatives; he has run over today's trip and our rating of 94 offers a shade of hope.
Form last 642-460
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR94RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last five starts, Uncle Don does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and his two runner-up finishes show he can get competitive; 40 days off and 130 lb from stall 25 are the checks against him here.
Form last 6-25205
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR92RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Korker arrives on a sharp 14-day turnaround with experience of today's distance and going, and a speed rating of 90 suggests ability, yet his recent string of eighth-place finishes makes it hard to fancy him reversing that trend from stall nine off 130 lb.
Form last 6806488
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
75SR95RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Deep Havana owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/1Hamad Al JehaniJames Doyle
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Toyotomi
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · David O'Meara✓ Value Signal
Lord Roxby
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Nigel Tinkler◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Deep Havana (SR 101, 13/2) is the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin and arrives on the back of a six-run sequence reading 622221 — sustained improvement culminating in a win last time. The market has backed this up emphatically with a 30% inward move from opening prices, James Doyle booking (21% career strike rate, 1177 runners) signals serious intent from the yard, and crucially the DistFit:+ confirms a proven record at 6f. The class rise (↑1) is the one concern, but a SR of 101 in a field where the next best are in the low-to-mid 90s gives a meaningful ability edge, and the weight of 9-12 is shared by three others so there is no punitive penalty. GoingFit:? means soft ground is untested rather than proven against him, but the strong late market move suggests connections are untroubled by the conditions.
Each-way alternative: Desert Falcon.
Main danger: Toyotomi — Toyotomi (SR 99, 4/1) is the most prominent market mover of the shortlist at Mkt:in21% with Oisin Murphy (22% strike rate) booked, and despite a DistFit:- flag and an inconsistent recent form line (631060), the price compression suggests stable confidence that could represent a hidden bounce-back performance in soft ground conditions where fitness from a recent run six days ago may count.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit:? is a concrete red flag in a 25-runner field on soft Ayr ground — Deep Havana has no proven form on this surface and could simply not handle the conditions.
Toyotomi (SR:99, 4/1) is barely 2lbs inferior on ratings, trained by in-form David O'Meara, ridden by Oisin Murphy (22% SR), backed in 21%, and is a live market rival at a significantly shorter price…
13/2 in a 25-runner handicap is short for a horse stepping up in class (↑1) with an unproven going profile — market move notwithstanding, the trainer Hamad Al Jehani has only 244 runners in the sampl…
Havana Blue (SR:91, 10/1) shares a similar name and recent form sequence (422211) but is a course-and-distance proven runner with fresher legs (14 days); in a big-field cavalry charge, Deep Havana ma…