John Smith's Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m7f1y
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Somers Isles | 2/1 open 3.50 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 Coral |
| 2 Persian Land | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 Betfred |
| 3 Koodini | 10/1 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 William Hill |
| 4 Sovereigns High | 17/2 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 12/1 William Hill |
| 5 Red Tail | 22/1 open 12.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Crazy Cubana | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 William Hill |
| 7 High Hazard | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Gerry's Darling | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 3/1 open 8.00 | 3/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Navy Light | 11/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Nascent Star | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 Coral |
| 11 Absolute Diamond | 7/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Somers Isles owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Somers Isles (SR:79, 2/1) is the highest-rated runner in this modest Class 5 nursery and has steamed 11% in the market, suggesting stable confidence. The form reads 23 — a place on debut followed by a runner-up effort — showing consistent progression for Andrew Balding (18% strike rate, a top trainer in this sphere), while the class drop of one tier from last run means this is clearly an easier assignment. Carrying 9-9, it has a 3lb weight advantage over top-rated Gerry's Darling (SR:81, 9-2) which offsets the narrow SR gap materially on soft ground. P.J. McDonald (14%) is a reliable booking and the market move from 2/1 confirms this is the yard's intended winner. Each-way alternative: Gerry's Darling. Main danger: Gerry's Darling — Gerry's Darling (SR:81, 11/2) is technically the highest-rated horse in the field, has steamed 14% in the market, holds DistFit:+ confirming proven ability at this trip, and a recent form run of 133 shows genuine improvement into this race off MarkMv:+3 — the weight concession to Somers Isles is the only reason it is not the selection.