Newmarket 15:00 RESULTED
Class 4 19 Sep 2026

Last Saturday Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 6f

Official Result

Turners Parks Group Ltd Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Northcliff (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Jane Chapple-Hyam
    9/2
  2. 7/2
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 9 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Rocking Ends silks
Rocking Ends
Age 6 · 10-0
571550
87
73
94
6
10-0
12/1 7/1 12/1
Rocking Has run over today's trip and going, rates highly on our figures, and comes here fresh off a 14-day break carrying a manageable 140 lb from stall 8; the main concern is a return to form after finishing unplaced last time out.
AI verdict

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

2
Nostrum silks
Nostrum
Age 6 · 9-9
258000
82
80
91
6
9-9
11/2 9/1 9/2
SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Fifty Nifty silks
Fifty Nifty
Age 5 · 9-8
501352
81
87
83
5
9-8
11/2 7/2 11/2
Fifty Nifty showed well with a second last time out and a winner four starts back, but a fifth two starts back tempers confidence; he has run over today's distance and going before, and 134 lb from stall 4 makes this a straightforward each-way puzzle.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Rajaking silks
Rajaking
Age 4 · 9-8
-64313
81
91
86
4
9-8
11/4
Rajaking arrives here in decent heart after winning two starts back and finishing third last time out, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions — the chief concern is whether he can find more from stall three off 134 lb.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Northcliff silks
Northcliff
Age 6 · 9-7
602223
80
82
78
6
9-7
5/1 11/2 4/1
Winless in his last six starts despite a run of placings, Northcliff ranks bottom on our figures here and, carrying 133 lb from stall nine, faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns on a sharp 14-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Buccabay silks
Buccabay
Age 6 · 9-5
523735
78
76
83
6
9-5
14/1 9/1 11/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked seventh of nine on our figures, Buccabay is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's distance and going before and was third two starts back — small consolation for a gelding who has offered little consistency.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Expert Agent silks
Expert Agent
Age 6 · 9-4
216468
77
74
88
6
9-4
14/1 12/1 14/1
Expert Agent shaped well for a long time when fourth three starts back and has the experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but he arrives here on the back of consecutive disappointing finishes and must prove his best form is back.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Explosive Finnish silks
Explosive Finnish
Age 3 · 9-3
322513
78
89
84
3
9-3
4/1 5/2 10/3
Placed third last time out and a winner two starts back, Explosive Finnish arrives on a sharp 13-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour, though fifth three starts back hints at inconsistency and 129 lb is no light burden from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Sir Alfie silks
Sir Alfie
Age 3 · 8-11
908946
72
56
81
3
8-11
66/1 FCST 40/1
Winless in his last six starts, Sir Alfie ranks eighth of nine on our figures and his recent form offers little encouragement; a fourth two starts back provides the sole glimmer, though he has run over today's distance and going before and 35 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Rocking Ends 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Nostrum 11/2 open 21.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 11.00 9/2 open 11.00 11/2 Bet365
3 Fifty Nifty 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 Coral
4 Rajaking 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 Bet365
5 Northcliff 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
6 Buccabay 14/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 Ladbrokes
7 Expert Agent 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Coral
8 Explosive Finnish 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 4/1 Bet365
9 Sir Alfie 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Explosive Finnish

Speculative

Explosive Finnish owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Kevin & Lauren Frost Jack Mitchell
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rajaking

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · T. J. Kent
✓ Value Signal

Sir Alfie

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Charlie Pike
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Explosive Finnish
55.9 4/1
2 4. Rajaking
55.6 11/4
3 5. Northcliff
54.8 5/1
4 3. Fifty Nifty
54.1 11/2
5 2. Nostrum
53.3 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rajaking
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 4 · 9-8
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-3
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 9-7
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-9
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-8
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 10-0
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

6
Age 6 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rajaking
Confidence: Speculative

Rajaking leads the field on SR (91) and carries just 9-8, giving him a meaningful ability edge over Explosive Finnish (SR 89, 9-3) without a prohibitive weight burden. His form string -64313 reads as a horse finding his feet after a break then improving sharply — the last three runs show a third, a win, and a third, all at this class level (ClassMv:=), and his trainer T.J. Kent fires at 17% career strike rate, the best in this field. Harry Davies at 13% is solid enough. The GoingFit:- is a genuine concern on today's good ground, but with no horse in this field boasting a standout going-fit advantage at this trip, his raw SR superiority and recent placed consistency make him the most credible winner. Each-way alternative: Explosive Finnish. Main danger: Explosive Finnish — Explosive Finnish (SR 89, 7/2) carries a favourable 9-3 with confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only runner proven at this trip on today's good ground — and Jack Mitchell's 16% career strike rate is the strongest jockey booking in the field, making him the most dangerous opponent if Rajaking's going concerns materialise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Rajaking has never won at Newmarket (W0P3), suggesting a course quirk may be working against him on this specific track.
  • His HG flag is 't' (turf only / tight track) while today's Newmarket straight demands a galloping action — his placing record here without a win underlines the concern.
  • 28 days since last run is the longest break in the field among the main market principals; his last two efforts were a win followed by a third, so momentum has already slightly dipped.
  • Market is conspicuously absent of any positive move for Rajaking (no Mkt: in flag), while Nostrum has been backed in 44% — suggesting bookmakers and informed money are not bullish on him at 3/1.
Shortlist Rajaking, Explosive Finnish, Fifty Nifty, Nostrum
Each-way: Explosive Finnish Danger: Explosive Finnish

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade