Lord Mayor's Spooktacular Fireworks Apprentice Handicap Stakes · 1m6f87y
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 64 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Dream Harder | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Spartan Times | 4/1 open 8.50 | 4/1 open 9.00 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 5/1 William Hill |
| 3 Carthusian | 12/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Melon | 11/8 open 3.00 | 11/8 open 2.50 | 1/1 open 2.62 | 1/1 open 2.63 | 6/5 open 2.62 | 5/4 open 2.63 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 5 Zimmerman | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Wiltshire Wonder | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Tabasko | 9/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Talka | 33/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 28/1 open 11.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Bulldog Spirit | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Kindly Queen | 50/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Al Za'ama | 50/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Risk Averse Rebel | 12/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Melon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Tabasko (SR 79, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a favourable 9-9, giving it a 3lb advantage over both Zimmerman and Melon despite its superior rating. The recent form of 4-5221 shows a horse in the process of improving — two consecutive wins lead into today — and Ed Walker's 16% strike rate from 1,532 runners is the strongest trainer record among genuine contenders. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) is another positive, suggesting the handicapper has handed connections an opportunity. The slight market drift to 5% in is modest but confirms the money is not running away from this horse, unlike Zimmerman who has drifted 25% — a significant red flag given Zimmerman's mark has risen 10lb since his last win (MarkMv:+10) and he is stepping UP a class. Each-way alternative: Spartan Times. Main danger: Melon — Melon (SR 74, 2/1) drops three classes — the biggest class relief in the field — has proven soft-ground form (GoingFit:+), and carries only 9-12 off a mark 53lb below its last win, making it a serious class dropper that could prove too good at this level despite 162 days off track.