Turners British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race) · 1m
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 126 suggests ability but 300/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 126 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Catonahottinroof | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Flower Show | 2/5 open 1.57 | 2/5 open 1.44 | 2/5 open 1.44 | 2/5 open 1.44 | 2/5 open 1.50 | 2/5 open 1.44 | 2/5 Bet365 |
| 3 Gainful | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Give Me A Bow | 300/1 | 250/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 250/1 open 201.00 | 250/1 | 300/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Lily Pink | 11/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Miss You Nights | 100/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Zhuri | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Flower Show owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Flower Show (SR 159, 2/5) is the standout on every meaningful metric. Her SR of 159 is a full 9 points clear of the next-best Zhuri (SR 150) and 22 points clear of Lily Pink (SR 145), placing her firmly in top-class territory on a scale where 160+ is elite. She drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) from her debut third, meaning she faces an easier task than when she last ran, and Charlie Appleby's 33% yard strike rate is the strongest in the field — a powerful top-end stable sending a filly here clearly expecting a win. The market has tightened 8% since opening (Mkt:in8%), confirming professional money is backing her at 2/5, not fading from her. Billy Loughnane, with an 18% career strike rate from over 3,000 rides, is a reliable partner and a positive booking from the Appleby operation. Each-way alternative: Zhuri. Main danger: Zhuri — Zhuri (SR 150) carries the Gosden brand and a top-yard 24% strike rate, and while she has drifted 27% in the market — suggesting she is not the stable's #1 choice — a debutant from this operation with an SR of 150 cannot be entirely dismissed if she shows raw ability on the day.