Chester 14:00 RESULTED
Class 4 19 Sep 2026

Last Saturday Vault Money Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Vault Money Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m6f17y

Official Result

Vault Money Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rhodes Runner (IRE) Jason Watson · Ralph Beckett
    5/1
  2. 6/5F
  3. 100/30
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 9 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Impulsive Spirit silks
Impulsive Spirit
Age 2 · 9-9
18
82
88
82OR
2
9-9
9/4 31/19 9/4
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Havana Flash silks
Havana Flash
Age 2 · 9-2
827
76
86
76OR
2
9-2
15/8 31/19 11/10
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Independent Roze silks
Independent Roze
Age 2 · 9-2
559
49
28
49OR
2
9-2
50/1 80/1 50/1
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

4
Mollisha silks
Mollisha
Age 2 · 9-2
3
155
2
9-2
7/2 9/2 9/4
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Novah silks
Novah
Age 2 · 9-2
84
127
2
9-2
100/1 100/1 80/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Red Ashley silks
Red Ashley
Age 2 · 9-2
129
2
9-2
28/1 33/1 18/1
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Rhodes Runner silks
Rhodes Runner
Age 2 · 9-2
324642
71
80
71OR
2
9-2
10/3 9/4 11/4
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Trust In Far silks
Trust In Far
Age 2 · 9-2
907608
38
19
38OR
2
9-2
100/1 100/1 80/1
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
AI verdict

SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Impulsive Spirit 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.75 11/4 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.75 11/4 William Hill
2 Havana Flash 15/8 7/4 open 2.63 11/10 open 2.75 11/10 open 2.75 13/8 open 2.75 7/4 15/8 Bet365
3 Independent Roze 50/1 open 81.00 50/1 open 101.00 50/1 open 81.00 50/1 open 81.00 50/1 open 81.00 50/1 open 81.00 50/1 Bet365
4 Mollisha 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 9/4 open 6.00 9/4 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 Bet365
5 Novah 100/1 90/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 100/1 Bet365
6 Red Ashley 28/1 open 34.00 30/1 open 101.00 18/1 open 51.00 18/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 34.00 30/1 Paddy Power
7 Rhodes Runner 10/3 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.50 4/1 William Hill
8 Trust In Far 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 80/1 open 101.00 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Mollisha

Live signal

Mollisha owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Brian Ellison Joanna Mason
89% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Impulsive Spirit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · David Evans
✓ Value Signal

Red Ashley

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Lisa Williamson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Mollisha
70.2 7/2
2 1. Impulsive Spirit
59.0 9/4
3 2. Havana Flash
58.5 15/8
4 6. Red Ashley
53.9 28/1
5 7. Rhodes Runner
53.0 10/3
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Mollisha
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-2
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mollisha
Confidence: Speculative

Mollisha's SR of 155 towers over the next-best rated runners (Red Ashley SR:129, Novah SR:127) by a substantial margin — this is an exceptional ability edge in a Class 4 novice. The market has moved 15% in her favour since opening, confirming professional confidence in her debut third on a same-class mark. Brian Ellison (10%, 1,187 runners) is a steady handler and Joanna Mason (12%, 1,671 runners) is an experienced booking. The sole concern is one run only (Form:3), leaving ground and trip unproven, but in a field this weak on ratings the class differential is decisive. Each-way alternative: Havana Flash. Main danger: Red Ashley — Red Ashley (SR:129) is a debutante for Lisa Williamson who has steamed 37% in the market — that is the strongest market move in the field and suggests connections expect a bold showing on her first start, and she carries only 9-2 against Mollisha's 9-2, removing any weight advantage for the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Mollisha's sole run was a debut third (Form:3) with 56 days since — a significant gap for a 2yo whose fitness and progression off that single run are entirely unproven.
  • Chester's tight, turning track is notoriously unforgiving for horses without course experience; Mollisha has never raced here and her SR may reflect a more galloping-track performance.
  • At 4/1, Mollisha is only the third-best price in the market behind Havana Flash (7/4) and Rhodes Runner (11/4), suggesting the market does not fully endorse the SR advantage — punters may be reading…
  • Red Ashley (SR:129) has moved in 37% in the market on a first start, indicating significant stable confidence from the same yard that already has one runner in this race, representing a live rival wh…
Shortlist Mollisha, Havana Flash, Red Ashley
Each-way: Havana Flash Danger: Red Ashley

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m6f17y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Chester Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade