British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m7f50y
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 121 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 129 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 131 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Amir Lehbab | 6/5 open 3.00 | 5/4 open 3.00 | 1/1 open 3.00 | 1/1 open 3.00 | 5/4 open 3.00 | 5/4 open 3.00 | 5/4 Paddy Power |
| 2 Cagney | 28/1 | 25/1 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Golden Souk | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Gold Key | 10/1 open 4.00 | 8/1 open 4.00 | 9/1 open 4.00 | 9/1 open 4.00 | 9/1 open 4.00 | 9/1 open 4.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Northern Crown | 40/1 open 15.00 | 35/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Rogue Constelation | 5/2 open 5.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 15/8 open 5.00 | 15/8 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Tyrrhenian Thunder | 9/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 17/2 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Black Gin | 80/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Nice Neasy Does It | 100/1 open 126.00 | 80/1 open 201.00 | 40/1 open 151.00 | 40/1 open 151.00 | 80/1 open 151.00 | 80/1 open 151.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Rogue Constelation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Rogue Constelation carries the highest SR in the field at 153 — a clear 5-point edge over Golden Souk (SR 148) — and crucially the market has steamed in 33% from opening, the strongest inbound move among any runner with genuine ability. Trainer Edward Bethell operates at an 18% strike rate from over 1,000 career runners, a solid platform, and Daniel Tudhope at 18% from nearly 1,900 rides is a top-tier booking for the yard's debut runner. Golden Souk's 24% drift is a real concern despite the SR — the market is clearly telling us something is amiss with that one today. The weight is level across all nine runners at 9-7 (except the 9-2 outsiders), so there is no weight-based reason to prefer anything else. Each-way alternative: Golden Souk. Main danger: Amir Lehbab — Despite a low SR of 92, Amir Lehbab has steamed 17% in the market under Oisin Murphy for Andrew Balding (18% strike rate, 2,974 runners) and showed a 3-2 form line, suggesting connections believe the step to 7f50y on soft ground may unlock significant improvement from a horse whose official rating may not yet reflect its true ability.