Bath 15:02 RESULTED
Class 6 29 Sep 2026

Last Tuesday Ael Solutions Handicap Stakes

Ael Solutions Handicap Stakes · 1m

Official Result

Ael Solutions Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Chilly Breeze (GB) Silvestre De Sousa · Ian Williams
    17/2
  2. Second Rating (IRE)
    4/1
  3. 3/1
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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Thiscouldbefun silks
Thiscouldbefun
Age 4 · 10-0
030146
65
42
68
4
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 FCST 14/1
Thiscouldbefun won three starts back and showed a third five starts back, though a sixth last time out tempers expectations; she has run over today's trip and going, and 140 lb is a stern test, though draw 3 gives her a reasonable pitch to work from.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

2
Rating silks
Rating
Age 5 · 10-0
535183
65
71
72
5
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 5/1 4/1
Third last time out after a win two starts further back, Rating returns on a quick 16-day turnaround carrying 140 lb from stall 2, with experience of today's trip and going in her favour; the weight burden is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Chilly Breeze silks
Chilly Breeze
Age 4 · 10-0
976220
65
67
66
4
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 17/2 6/1
Chilly Breeze is yet to win in his last six starts, though back-to-back second-place finishes two and three starts back show he can get competitive, and he has run over today's trip and going before; a struggling trainer and a return to the unplaced column last time are the concerns at 140 lb.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Dappled Light silks
Dappled Light
Age 6 · 9-13
112247
64
57
70
6
9-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 11/1 14/1
Dappled Light showed his quality with back-to-back wins four and five starts back, and his second three starts back keeps him firmly in the mix; he returns on a sharp 16-day turnaround with distance and going experience to call on, though a seventh last time out is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Mayberry Moon silks
Mayberry Moon
Age 4 · 9-12
90-457
63
39
75
4
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 40/1
Mayberry Moon has shown steady improvement through his last three starts, creeping from ninth to fourth, and has run over today's distance and going before; drawn in stall one and carrying 138 lb, the main risk is he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

6
Man From Havana silks
Man From Havana
Age 4 · 9-11
757-0
62
34
61
4
9-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 40/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked last on our figures, Man From Havana faces a stiff task here; 111 days off the track adds a fitness query, though he has run over today's trip before and stall four is a neutral enough pitch.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

7
Amarachi silks
Amarachi
Age 4 · 9-11
629612
62
69
66
4
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 7/2 4/1
Placed second last time out and a winner two starts back, Amarachi brings some recent encouragement, though her record also shows a sixth and ninth in the mix; she has run over today's trip and going, and at 137 lb from stall six, the weight is the obvious query against a lightly competitive profile.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Exotic Baby silks
Exotic Baby
Age 3 · 9-10
045709
65
46
81
3
9-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 FCST 25/1
Winless in his last six starts, Exotic Baby nonetheless catches the eye as the top-rated runner in the field, and his experience over today's trip and going gives him a solid foundation; the worry is a trainer operating at just 4% in the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Buckland Belle silks
Buckland Belle
Age 3 · 9-8
213212
63
80
67
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 3/2 7/4
Buckland Belle ran second last time out, but a winner two starts back, and she has experience over today's trip and going; the concern is her trainer's cold spell of 0 from 22 in the past fortnight, which tempers enthusiasm despite the lively recent form.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Blue Hero silks
Blue Hero
Age 8 · 9-8
812127
59
62
63
8
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 13/2 12/1
Blue Hero has winning form in his recent starts — a winner three starts back and a winner five starts back — but seventh last time out is hard to overlook, and ranked 12 of 14 on our figures he faces a stiff ask from stall 14 off a 16-day break.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Afta Party silks
Afta Party
Age 8 · 9-8
989/8-
59
38
68
8
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
80/1 28/1 50/1
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

12
Havana Club silks
Havana Club
Age 4 · 9-5
264138
56
41
63
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 11/1 22/1
Havana Club won three starts back and was third two starts back, giving him a solid recent profile, but he was well beaten last time out and carries 131 lb from stall 8; experience over today's trip and going at least ensures conditions hold no surprises.
AI verdict

SR 41 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Denby's Dream silks
Denby's Dream
Age 3 · 9-4
071666
59
55
63
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 FCST 14/1
Ranked 11 of 14 on our figures, Denby's Dream has finished sixth in three consecutive starts and her overall recent form makes her hard to fancy, though she does hold a win in her last six starts and arrives with distance and going experience under her belt.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Fizzy Bear silks
Fizzy Bear
Age 3 · 9-3
505043
58
60
62
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 7/1 8/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Fizzy Bear faces a stiff ask from stall 10 carrying 129 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before and was third last time out.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Thiscouldbefun 20/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 18/1 20/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 20/1 Bet365
2 Rating 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
3 Chilly Breeze 7/1 open 21.00 13/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 17.00 6/1 open 17.00 13/2 open 17.00 13/2 open 9.50 7/1 Bet365
4 Dappled Light 16/1 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Mayberry Moon 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
6 Man From Havana 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Amarachi 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
8 Exotic Baby 33/1 25/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 Bet365
9 Buckland Belle 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.63 15/8 open 2.62 7/4 open 2.63 15/8 Bet365
10 Blue Hero 14/1 open 7.50 12/1 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
11 Afta Party 80/1 open 29.00 66/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 80/1 Bet365
12 Havana Club 28/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 15.00 28/1 Bet365
13 Denby's Dream 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 18/1 open 17.00 14/1 18/1 Bet365
14 Fizzy Bear 9/1 open 8.00 8/1 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Buckland Belle

Speculative

Buckland Belle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Ollie Sangster Tom Marquand
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rating

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Grace Harris
✓ Value Signal

Afta Party

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Kathy Turner
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Buckland Belle
54.9 15/8
2 2. Rating
50.3 9/2
3 7. Amarachi
50.1 4/1
4 3. Chilly Breeze
44.6 7/1
5 14. Fizzy Bear
44.5 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Buckland Belle
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-8
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-11
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 10-0
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 10-0
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 3 · 9-3
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 8 · 9-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

13
Age 3 · 9-4
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾 —

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Buckland Belle
Confidence: Medium

Buckland Belle (SR:80, 13/8) is the standout performer in this field by a clear margin — the next-best SR is 71 (Rating), and she carries only 9-8 despite that superiority. Her form reads 213212, showing relentless consistency, and critically she ticks every key box: DistFit:+ confirms she handles this mile trip, GoingFit:+ confirms she handles good to firm, and Course:W1P1 shows she already knows Bath. Running off MarkMv:+3 is a minor concern but her SR comfortably absorbs it. Tom Marquand (16% career SR) is the highest-profile jockey booking in the race, and Ollie Sangster at 14% strike rate is a yard in solid form. The 13/8 price is short but structurally justified — no comparable rival can match the combination of ability, proven course-and-distance suitability, and trainer-jockey quality. Each-way alternative: Rating. Main danger: Chilly Breeze — Chilly Breeze's 56% market move is the loudest stable-money signal in the race, De Sousa is a top-tier booking, and a drop in class (↓1) could unlock the form — if the DistFit:- proves misleading, she is the most dangerous price in the field at 13/2.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+3 means she runs off a 3lb higher mark than last time — in a competitive 14-runner handicap at 13/8, that erosion of her rating edge is material and leaves less margin for error.
  • Amarachi (SR:69, 9/2) has shown +9 market support (sharpest move in field) and holds Course:W1P1 form at Bath — a well-handicapped rival with significant market confidence could exploit Buckland Bell…
  • At only 3 years old carrying 9-8 in a mixed-age handicap vs older, more experienced rivals (including a 5yo and 8yo with proven course form), physical immaturity under weight could be tested on Bath'…
  • Last run just 7 days ago — the very short turnaround raises a freshness/recovery concern, and if she didn't fully recover from that effort she may not reproduce her peak SR of 80 today.
Shortlist Buckland Belle, Rating, Amarachi, Chilly Breeze
Each-way: Rating Danger: Chilly Breeze

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Bath Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade