El Fontenaro arrives on the back of a win last time out, and a runner-up finish two starts back, with experience of today's distance and going working in her favour; the 67-day absence is the one query, but 141 lb from stall 2 keeps conditions straightforward.
Form last 6-40221
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
65SR60RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Jordan Breeze ranks as the top-rated runner in this field and has experience of both today's trip and going conditions, while his official mark of 57 leaves room to outrun his rating; the concern is a return from 87 days off following a run of below-par efforts that has included three poor finishes in his last three starts.
Form last 6221067
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR65RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last six starts, Carrigans Grove nevertheless catches the eye on a our rating of 64 that ranks her second in a field of 20, and she has experience of today's distance and going; the concern is that 73 days off the track leaves fitness an open question.
Form last 6840070
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR64RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts but has placed twice in that sequence — second two starts back and second four starts back — Simmering Seas has distance and going experience to call on, though 140 lb from stall 14 are factors to weigh up here.
Form last 6602424
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR61RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in his last five starts, Three Sixteen returns after a 114-day break carrying 140 lb from stall 12, and while he has run over today's trip before, a modest official rating of 56 and patchy recent form make progress hard to foresee.
Form last 6050-60
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR52RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Brains has shown consistent placing ability, finishing third in each of his last two starts, though he remains yet to win in recent starts and a sixth on three runs back is a concern; the experience over today's distance and going helps, and 138 lb from stall 11 is his lot.
Form last 6575633
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR61RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Surpass And Shine has run over today's trip and going, carries a workable 138 lb from stall 3, and our rating of 64 puts him third among the field — yet winless in his last five starts remains the obvious concern.
Form last 600-000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR64RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last three starts and absent for 244 days, Cash On Black faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and draws stall five, but an official rating of 55 and our figure of 51 rank him well down the field.
Form last 66-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR51RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last five starts and returning after 80 days off, Verified does bring experience of today's trip and conditions, and a second two starts back offers a crumb of encouragement; however, he remains without a win in recent starts and faces a stiff task off 136 lb.
Form last 6-00020
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR62RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Pansy Poe has run over today's distance and going before and a 37-day break may have freshened her, though her recent string of unplaced efforts and a speed rating of 62 from stall eight suggest she faces a stiff task to break into contention here.
Form last 60960-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR53RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last four starts and returning from a 163-day absence, Aboveheronsky faces a stiff ask, though she has run over today's trip and going before and her rating of 55 offers some encouragement from stall nine.
Form last 63/990
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR55RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in her last six starts, Ukiyo does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and her rating edges above her official mark, but 49 days off the track and a middle-to-wide draw from stall 13 under 134 lb make this a tough ask.
Form last 6203846
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR56RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last five starts, with a string of mid-field finishes and only a third last time out to show, Akashaa is a tough one to fancy from stall 20 carrying 127 lb, though she has run over today's trip and returns on a reasonable 19-day break.
Form last 66-6683
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR49RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Linger For Longer does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and her rating of 56 suggests she holds more ability than her official mark of 43 implies, though she faces a stiff task from the bottom of the weights off stall one.
Form last 60-0400
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR56RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Sceitimini at least returns quickly seven days after his latest outing and has run over today's trip and going before, though carrying 127 lb from stall 15 and ranked 11 of 20 on our assessment leaves him with plenty to find.
Form last 6-50057
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR54RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last five starts and yet to show the consistency to trouble the judge, Alandownunder does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, though 67 days off the track and an official mark of 44 leave her with plenty to prove from stall 4 carrying 126 lb.
Form last 69-0990
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR51RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 16 of 20 on our figures, Bright Image faces a stiff task here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and the 124 lb burden is at least manageable; 102 days off the track adds a further question mark.
Form last 65/0440
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR49RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked last of the 20 runners on our figures, Hastily faces a stiff task here, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a fresh 13-day break.
Form last 6-00090
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
15SR37RPR35OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 15 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 18 of 20 on our figures, Run Forrest Run has been consistently off the pace, with an eighth two starts back his best recent showing; 90 days off the track adds further doubt, though he has run over today's distance and going before.
Form last 680-780
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
21SR49RPR32OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Sand Art has been unplaced in four of his last six starts, and his sole recent win two starts back now looks an isolated highlight; he has run over today's trip, and a seven-day turnaround at least confirms fitness.
Form last 6770019
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR46RPR42OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
El Fontenaro owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Jarlath P FaheyR. P. Whelan
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Simmering Seas
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Daniel James Murphy✓ Value Signal
Alandownunder
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Kieran P Cotter◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Simmering Seas tops the composite score at SR 60 trading at 5/1. Composite ranks the field on SR + market + form + connections + distance/going fit — the pick is the best cross-signal case, not just the best SR.
ShortlistSimmering Seas, El Fontenaro, Carrigans Grove, Brains, Verified