Sedgefield 15:15 RESULTED
Class 4 29 Sep 2026

Last Tuesday Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 2m5f28y

Official Result

Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tanking Along (IRE) Brian Hughes · Patrick Neville
    3/1
  2. 9/4
  3. 8/1
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Passengerontheship silks
Passengerontheship
Age 7 · 12-0
111572
108
106
107
7
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
13/8 18/13 3/2
Passengerontheship shaped with plenty of promise when second last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before, bringing solid recent form into this; the main risk is whether 168 lb blunts his finishing effort.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Tanking Along silks
Tanking Along
Age 7 · 11-12
63-225
106
105
110
7
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 9/4 3/1
Tanking Along has been knocking on the door in recent starts, with a second two runs back and a second three starts back keeping him competitive at this level, and he has run over today's trip and going before; winless in his last five, the weight burden of 166 lb is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Thank You Blue silks
Thank You Blue
Age 9 · 11-11
-43222
105
113
116
9
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 7/4 32/17
Consistent to a fault, Thank You Blue has filled the runner-up spot three times in his last five starts, most recently just 20 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 165 lb, he rates the one to beat here, even if a win remains elusive.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Four Decades silks
Four Decades
Age 5 · 10-9
64-886
89
91
102
5
10-9
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 13/2 6/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked fourth of four on our rating, Four Decades faces a stiff ask carrying 149 lb, though she has experience of today's going and a 25-day break could have her fresh — the concern is her recent string of modest finishes.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Passengerontheship 13/8 open 2.38 6/4 open 2.63 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.50 6/4 13/8 13/8 Bet365
2 Tanking Along 7/2 open 4.33 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.50 7/2 Bet365
3 Thank You Blue 2/1 open 2.88 15/8 open 3.25 2/1 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 Bet365
4 Four Decades 7/1 open 9.00 13/2 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Thank You Blue

Live signal

Thank You Blue owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Jennie Candlish I. J. Power
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Passengerontheship

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · Sam England
✓ Value Signal

Four Decades

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

7/1 · Tom Ellis
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Thank You Blue
63.3 2/1
2 1. Passengerontheship
61.5 13/8
3 2. Tanking Along
59.7 7/2
4 4. Four Decades
55.3 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Passengerontheship
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 12-0
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 11-11
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾 —

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 7 · 11-12
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾 —

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 10-9
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Passengerontheship
Confidence: Speculative

Passengerontheship (SR 106, 2/1) carries top-weight at 12-0 but holds the decisive edge on both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only runner proven at this distance and on good ground. The recent form string 111572 shows three consecutive wins in the sequence before a blip, and with Sam England running his own horse (trainer-jockey combination), there is tight yard control. The 21% market drift is the one concern, but in a four-runner field with no credible rival combining both distance and going fitness, this drift is more likely a trading artefact than a genuine negative signal. The weight burden of 12-0 is real but the class (4, £4,700) is modest enough that SR 106 comfortably handles it. Each-way alternative: Thank You Blue. Main danger: Thank You Blue — Thank You Blue (SR 113, 7/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field, has outstanding course form (W3P5), a 6% market move in, and carries only 11-11 — a 3lb advantage over Passengerontheship — though GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are genuine doubts that prevent it being the primary pick.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Market drifted out 21% with a +10 mark move — in a tiny 4-runner field that level of drift is harder to dismiss as noise; it suggests stable or market confidence is genuinely absent today.
  • Thank You Blue holds a significantly higher SR (113 vs 106) and is the market mover (in 6%), has Course W3P5 at Sedgefield and is trading shorter — the SR gap is meaningful at this class level.
  • Form string 111572 shows the three wins came before a blip at 5th and 2nd, but the most recent run was just 7 days ago — a quick turnaround under top-weight 12-0 against fresher rivals risks fatigue.
  • Jonathan England's jockey strike rate of 15% from 379 rides is modest, and as a conditional/lower-tier rider taking 12-0 against Brian Hughes (19%, 957 rides) on Tanking Along represents a meaningful…
Shortlist Passengerontheship, Thank You Blue, Tanking Along
Each-way: Thank You Blue Danger: Thank You Blue

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m5f28y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Sedgefield Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade