Cork 15:55 29 Sep 2026
Class 1 29 Sep 2026

Last Tuesday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed)

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed) · 1m2f90y

off in —
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sun 4 Oct Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ParisLongchamp · 15:05

Cork

13:55–17:25 · 8 races

Bath

14:02–18:07 · 9 races

Ayr

14:08–17:13 · 7 races

Sedgefield

14:15–16:45 · 6 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:30–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Voting open
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Manton Bay Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 4 days, 17 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Action silks
Action
Age 3 · 9-5
207680
109
106
114
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 4/1 9/4
Winless in his last six starts, Action's best recent effort was a second six starts back, though he arrives here on a quick enough turnaround of 17 days with experience over today's trip and our rating of 114 marking him the one to beat in this field.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Back Straight silks
Back Straight
Age 3 · 9-5
2-1
88
80
83
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 12/1 20/1
Back Straight won last time out and was second the start before that, so he arrives in decent nick after a 14-day break, but our rating of 83 leaves him well adrift of the top-rated runners in this field, ranking eleventh of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Fallacy silks
Fallacy
Age 3 · 9-5
96-831
84
64
85
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 40/1 20/1
Fallacy hasn't run for 109 days and ranks ninth of twelve on our figures, making him hard to fancy at the weights with 131 lb, though he did win last time out and has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Latin America silks
Latin America
Age 3 · 9-5
213
95
98
98
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 7/1 17/2
A winner two starts back and placed last time out, Latin America arrives here with solid recent form to his name, though 135 days off the track is a concern; he has run over today's trip before and carries 131 lb from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Magnum Cor silks
Magnum Cor
Age 3 · 9-5
41
95
84
76
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 FCST 8/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures with a speed rating that gives little encouragement, Magnum Cor is hard to fancy at the weights despite winning last time out, and 42 days off adds a fitness query to a profile that looks outclassed here.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Manton Bay silks
Manton Bay
Age 3 · 9-5
282125
97
106
101
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 8/1 9/2
Manton Bay showed his quality when winning three starts back and was runner-up two starts back, but a fifth last time out raises a question mark; he has run over today's trip and going, and his 131 lb burden is no gimme from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Mr Vettori silks
Mr Vettori
Age 3 · 9-5
1-2540
98
88
98
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 14/1 33/1
Beaten last time out after a second four starts back and a winner five starts back, Mr Vettori has experience over today's trip and going but returns after a 60-day break carrying 131 lb from stall three, making this a cautious reintroduction.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Shaihaan silks
Shaihaan
Age 3 · 9-5
-14355
102
103
106
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 5/1 11/2
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Summer Is Tomorrow silks
Summer Is Tomorrow
Age 3 · 9-5
692214
104
113
101
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 11/4 5/1
Summer Is Tomorrow won two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going, making him a lively threat off an official mark of 104 on a quick 16-day turnaround; the worry is that fourth last time out suggests he may not quite have reproduced that winning effort.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Caught U Sleeping silks
Caught U Sleeping
Age 3 · 9-3
812334
102
105
102
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 6/1 13/2
Caught U Sleeping arrives on the back of a fourth and two thirds and has experience over today's trip and going, so the conditions pose no fears; the main concern is a trainer firing at just 4% in the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Alphecca silks
Alphecca
Age 3 · 9-0
1-7982
91
73
91
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 18/1 22/1
Second last time out offers encouragement, though she has struggled in her three starts before that, and 8 days may be a quick turnaround; has run over today's trip and going, and 126 lb from stall 2 sets the terms for this lightly raced filly to build on that recent revival.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Garden Party silks
Garden Party
Age 3 · 9-0
22-10
85
69
83
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 28/1
Garden Party won two starts back but has finished unplaced on her most recent outing, and our rating of 83 ranks her tenth of twelve here, making her hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Action 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 Bet365
2 Back Straight 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
3 Fallacy 25/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 67.00 25/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 51.00 28/1 Paddy Power
4 Latin America 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 9/1 Paddy Power
5 Magnum Cor 9/1 open 9.00 8/1 8/1 8/1 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365
6 Manton Bay 9/2 open 12.00 9/2 open 11.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 Bet365
7 Mr Vettori 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Shaihaan 11/2 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 Paddy Power
9 Summer Is Tomorrow 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 Bet365
10 Caught U Sleeping 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 7/1 Bet365
11 Alphecca 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 Bet365
12 Garden Party 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Summer Is Tomorrow

Live signal

Summer Is Tomorrow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Joseph Patrick O'Brien J M Sheridan
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Action

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Aidan O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Mr Vettori

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Mrs J. Harrington
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Summer Is Tomorrow
61.6 5/1
2 1. Action
61.5 9/4
3 10. Caught U Sleeping
59.6 7/1
4 8. Shaihaan
57.2 11/2
5 6. Manton Bay
56.7 9/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Manton Bay
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-5
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-5
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-5
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾 —

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-5
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 9-3
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾 —

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-5
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾 —

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-5
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Manton Bay
Confidence: Speculative

Manton Bay (SR 106, 11/2) carries the single most compelling multi-signal case in the field. The market has steamed in 36% — by far the largest move of any runner — which in a Listed heat at this level is a very strong indicator that connections are confident. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground, a key differentiator in a field where most rivals show GoingFit:? or GoingFit:-. Trainer David Marnane (10%) has this horse sharp after just 16 days, the form string 282125 shows consistency at this grade, and while MarkMv:+10 flags a higher mark than at last win, the ground suitability and money behind suggest connections believe the handicapper has not fully caught up. Against the co-rated Action (SR 106), Manton Bay's GoingFit:+ versus Action's GoingFit:- is a decisive edge on today's surface. Each-way alternative: Caught U Sleeping. Main danger: Caught U Sleeping — Caught U Sleeping (SR 105, 13/2) carries the lightest weight in the competitive group at 9-3, GoingFit:+ confirms today's good ground suits, Colin Keane (16% career strike rate, 2347 runners) is the standout jockey booking, and a 10-day turnaround for Noel Meade suggests the horse is in a retrieval mission after a modest recent run — the 2lb weight concession from Manton Bay could matter at the line.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+10 means Manton Bay runs off a mark 10lb higher than when last winning — in a Listed-level heat against SR:106 rivals, that rise is material and connections have not yet proven the horse can…
  • David Marnane's 10% trainer strike rate is the lowest of any handler with a leading contender today; Aidan O'Brien (23%) and Joseph Patrick O'Brien (16%) both saddle live rivals with significantly su…
  • Summer Is Tomorrow (SR:113, 3/1 market leader) is the highest-rated horse in the field, also fresh at 16 days, and holds a 7-point SR advantage over Manton Bay — the 36% steam into Manton Bay has not…
  • Manton Bay's form string 282125 shows two wins in six runs with two seconds and a fifth — not a horse that dominates, and the last win came at a lower mark, making a repeat at +10lb against this qual…
Shortlist Manton Bay, Caught U Sleeping, Shaihaan, Latin America
Each-way: Caught U Sleeping Danger: Caught U Sleeping

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m2f90y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Cork Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade