Winless in his last six starts, Action's best recent effort was a second six starts back, though he arrives here on a quick enough turnaround of 17 days with experience over today's trip and our rating of 114 marking him the one to beat in this field.
Form last 6207680
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR114RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Back Straight won last time out and was second the start before that, so he arrives in decent nick after a 14-day break, but our rating of 83 leaves him well adrift of the top-rated runners in this field, ranking eleventh of twelve.
Form last 62-1
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR83RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fallacy hasn't run for 109 days and ranks ninth of twelve on our figures, making him hard to fancy at the weights with 131 lb, though he did win last time out and has run over today's trip before.
Form last 696-831
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR85RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A winner two starts back and placed last time out, Latin America arrives here with solid recent form to his name, though 135 days off the track is a concern; he has run over today's trip before and carries 131 lb from stall one.
Form last 6213
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR98RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures with a speed rating that gives little encouragement, Magnum Cor is hard to fancy at the weights despite winning last time out, and 42 days off adds a fitness query to a profile that looks outclassed here.
Form last 641
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR76RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Manton Bay showed his quality when winning three starts back and was runner-up two starts back, but a fifth last time out raises a question mark; he has run over today's trip and going, and his 131 lb burden is no gimme from stall nine.
Form last 6282125
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR101RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Beaten last time out after a second four starts back and a winner five starts back, Mr Vettori has experience over today's trip and going but returns after a 60-day break carrying 131 lb from stall three, making this a cautious reintroduction.
Form last 61-2540
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR98RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Summer Is Tomorrow won two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going, making him a lively threat off an official mark of 104 on a quick 16-day turnaround; the worry is that fourth last time out suggests he may not quite have reproduced that winning effort.
Form last 6692214
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
113SR101RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Caught U Sleeping arrives on the back of a fourth and two thirds and has experience over today's trip and going, so the conditions pose no fears; the main concern is a trainer firing at just 4% in the last fortnight.
Form last 6812334
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR102RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Second last time out offers encouragement, though she has struggled in her three starts before that, and 8 days may be a quick turnaround; has run over today's trip and going, and 126 lb from stall 2 sets the terms for this lightly raced filly to build on that recent revival.
Form last 61-7982
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR91RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Garden Party won two starts back but has finished unplaced on her most recent outing, and our rating of 83 ranks her tenth of twelve here, making her hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip before.
Form last 622-10
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR83RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Summer Is Tomorrow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Joseph Patrick O'BrienJ M Sheridan
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Action
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · Aidan O'Brien✓ Value Signal
Mr Vettori
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Mrs J. Harrington◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Manton Bay (SR 106, 11/2) carries the single most compelling multi-signal case in the field. The market has steamed in 36% — by far the largest move of any runner — which in a Listed heat at this level is a very strong indicator that connections are confident. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground, a key differentiator in a field where most rivals show GoingFit:? or GoingFit:-. Trainer David Marnane (10%) has this horse sharp after just 16 days, the form string 282125 shows consistency at this grade, and while MarkMv:+10 flags a higher mark than at last win, the ground suitability and money behind suggest connections believe the handicapper has not fully caught up. Against the co-rated Action (SR 106), Manton Bay's GoingFit:+ versus Action's GoingFit:- is a decisive edge on today's surface.
Each-way alternative: Caught U Sleeping.
Main danger: Caught U Sleeping — Caught U Sleeping (SR 105, 13/2) carries the lightest weight in the competitive group at 9-3, GoingFit:+ confirms today's good ground suits, Colin Keane (16% career strike rate, 2347 runners) is the standout jockey booking, and a 10-day turnaround for Noel Meade suggests the horse is in a retrieval mission after a modest recent run — the 2lb weight concession from Manton Bay could matter at the line.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+10 means Manton Bay runs off a mark 10lb higher than when last winning — in a Listed-level heat against SR:106 rivals, that rise is material and connections have not yet proven the horse can…
David Marnane's 10% trainer strike rate is the lowest of any handler with a leading contender today; Aidan O'Brien (23%) and Joseph Patrick O'Brien (16%) both saddle live rivals with significantly su…
Summer Is Tomorrow (SR:113, 3/1 market leader) is the highest-rated horse in the field, also fresh at 16 days, and holds a 7-point SR advantage over Manton Bay — the 36% steam into Manton Bay has not…
Manton Bay's form string 282125 shows two wins in six runs with two seconds and a fifth — not a horse that dominates, and the last win came at a lower mark, making a repeat at +10lb against this qual…
ShortlistManton Bay, Caught U Sleeping, Shaihaan, Latin America
Each-way: Caught U SleepingDanger: Caught U Sleeping