Wolverhampton (AW) 20:00 RESULTED
Class 6 29 Sep 2026

Last Tuesday Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 1m142y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kev (GB) Hector Crouch · William Muir & Chris Grassick
    11/8F
  2. 8/1
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Equion silks
Equion
Age 8 · 9-13
654981
53
61
64
8
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 18/13 5/2
Equion won eight days ago and he has run over today's trip and going, giving connections every reason for confidence; carrying 139 lb from stall eight is the one query, but on a rating of 64 he heads the nine-runner field as the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Offiah's Boy silks
Offiah's Boy
Age 5 · 9-9
621350
53
54
53
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 15/2 4/1
Unplaced last time out and ranked seventh of nine on our figures, Offiah's Boy is hard to fancy here, though he does have a third and a win in recent starts and has run over today's distance and going before, giving him at least some relevant experience to draw on.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Cy Twombly silks
Cy Twombly
Age 4 · 9-9
940988
53
53
57
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 11/1 7/1
Given recent finishes that include a fourth in his last six starts, Cy Twombly has shown a flicker of ability at this trip and on this going, and his rating of 57 gives him a solid platform here; the concern is that he has been winless in recent starts and must bounce back sharply from back-to-back eighths just five days ago.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Kev silks
Kev
Age 4 · 9-7
980512
51
62
55
4
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 5/2 9/4
Ran second last time out and was a winner two starts back, Kev arrives here in solid nick after just 16 days, has experience of today's trip and conditions, and carries a manageable 133 lb from stall one; the main risk is that patchy earlier form in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Mythical Isle silks
Mythical Isle
Age 4 · 9-6
491756
50
62
54
4
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 6/1 3/1
Mythical Isle showed he can win, landing a victory four starts back, but his last three outings have yielded a seventh, fifth, and sixth, so he arrives needing to rediscover that form; experience over today's trip and going and a 28-day break at least suggest he arrives ready.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Liberty Bird silks
Liberty Bird
Age 4 · 9-5
-09P79
49
31
52
4
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
10/1 8/1 17/2
Liberty Bird arrives 92 days between runs and winless in her last five starts, including a pull-up, making her hard to fancy ranked eighth of nine on our figures; she has run over today's trip and going before, and stall four is her one neutral plus.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

7
Tortola silks
Tortola
Age 4 · 9-3
020784
47
42
54
4
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 6/1 11/1
Tortola has run over today's trip and going before, and a second five starts back offers some encouragement, though she has been winless in recent starts and her fourth last time out — on just an eight-day turnaround — hints consistency remains elusive at a mark of 47.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

8
Coiled silks
Coiled
Age 4 · 9-2
007395
46
24
46
4
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 22/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked bottom of our figures here, Coiled faces a stiff ask, though he was third three starts back and returns on a quick turnaround of 17 days with distance and going experience to call on.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Belltony silks
Belltony
Age 4 · 9-1
746559
45
28
59
4
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
80/1 33/1 66/1
Belltony rates well above his official mark of 45 on our figures, ranking second of nine in the field, and returns quickly on eight days' rest having run over today's trip and going before — the chief concern is that he has been winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Equion 5/2 open 2.38 11/4 open 2.63 11/4 open 2.50 11/4 open 2.50 11/4 open 2.63 3/1 open 2.50 3/1 Betfred
2 Offiah's Boy 11/2 open 9.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 8.50 11/2 Bet365
3 Cy Twombly 15/2 open 26.00 7/1 open 17.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 Bet365
4 Kev 5/2 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.50 5/2 Bet365
5 Mythical Isle 5/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 8.00 10/3 open 7.50 6/1 Paddy Power
6 Liberty Bird 10/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 11.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 9/1 10/1 Bet365
7 Tortola 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 Bet365
8 Coiled 33/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 Coral
9 Belltony 80/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kev

Speculative

Kev owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 William Muir & Chris Grassick Hector Crouch
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Equion

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Tony Carroll
✓ Value Signal

Belltony

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Richard Price
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Kev
51.2 5/2
2 1. Equion
47.9 5/2
3 2. Offiah's Boy
45.5 11/2
4 5. Mythical Isle
45.1 5/1
5 3. Cy Twombly
43.4 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Mythical Isle
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 8 · 9-13
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Kev
Age 4 · 9-7
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-6
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-9
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-5
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 31 🐾 —

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

7
Age 4 · 9-3
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾 —

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mythical Isle
Confidence: Speculative

Mythical Isle (SR:62, 7/2, 9-6) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Kev and benefits from the lightest weight among the top-rated trio, giving a 1lb edge on Kev and 7lb on Equion. The standout signal is the Mkt:in46% — the sharpest market move in the field by some distance, indicating significant informed support from a relatively open morning price. Course form of W1P4 at Wolverhampton confirms this track suits, and although GoingFit:- is a concern, the artificial surface here moderates true going influence considerably. Trainer Patrick Morris at 8% strike rate is modest, but the market is clearly overriding that reservation. Each-way alternative: Kev. Main danger: Kev — Kev (SR:62, 5/2, 9-7) matches Mythical Isle on SR, carries only 1lb more, and Hector Crouch's 18% strike rate is the strongest jockey statistic among the contenders, making him the most plausible alternative if the market support for Mythical Isle proves misplaced.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Recent form reads 491756 — the last three runs show a slide from 4th to 7th to 6th, a clear downward trajectory heading into tonight's race.
  • 28 days since last run is the longest absence in the top half of the field; Wolverhampton AW at 20:00 in late September can catch a returning horse cold.
  • Jockey Paddy Bradley at 10% strike rate is the weakest booking among the leading contenders — Hector Crouch (18%) on joint-toprated Kev is a clear disadvantage in what could be a tight finish.
  • Trainer Patrick Morris at 8% is materially below the field average; the market move to Mkt:in46% may reflect syndicate/connections money rather than independent professional intelligence.
Shortlist Mythical Isle, Kev, Equion
Each-way: Kev Danger: Kev

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m142y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade