Charlie Boyo won two starts back and finished second last time out, so his recent form reads well, but 80 days off the track is a fitness query and he has been below par in three of his last five starts in recent form.
Form last 65-6912
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR74RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Army Bugler catches the eye on the back of a runner-up finish last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 137 lb from stall two is the chief concern for his supporters.
Form last 6147-62
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR80RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Moe's Legacy has run over today's trip and going, and at 77 on our rating she sits clear of the majority of this field as a genuine threat, though her recent finishes — a pair of fourths in her last two starts — underline that she remains winless and may struggle to convert.
Form last 6252744
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR77RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, HK Fourteen at least has experience of today's trip and conditions, and 31 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; the 136 lb burden and a midfield ranking of sixth of nine, however, make progress hard to foresee.
Form last 6-06846
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR74RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Level Up won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, bringing solid course-fitness having reappeared just 10 days ago; the main risk is that eighth last time out raises a question mark over his consistency.
Form last 6216718
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR76RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Nuevo Slovo nonetheless catches the eye as the top-rated runner in the field, and having run over today's distance and going before, he arrives fit on a 13-day turnaround carrying 133 lb from stall four.
Form last 6-00460
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR80RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts and absent for 375 days, Guilty Verdict faces a stiff ask stepping back in having finished ninth last time out, though he has run over today's trip before and a third two starts back offers a faint crumb of comfort.
Form last 6439-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR69RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Monsieur Patat nonetheless arrives in fair nick at 22 days, has run over today's trip and going, and third last time out adds a sliver of encouragement — but ranked seventh of nine on our figures, he faces a stiff ask at 129 lb from stall eight.
Form last 6-32753
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR70RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of nine on our figures, Savannah Smiles has posted three consecutive finishes of sixth, ninth and fifth in her most recent starts, with a win five starts back offering little reassurance; distance and going experience at least removes one unknown.
Form last 6312695
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR63RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Moe's Legacy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Ronald HarrisJason Watson
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Charlie Boyo
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Clive Cox✓ Value Signal
Savannah Smiles
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Grace Harris◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
HK Fourteen (SR:75, 10/3) has steamed in 52% from opening price — the most dramatic market move in the field and a strong signal of stable/market confidence. The drop of one class (ClassMv:↓1) and a 3lb lower mark than last win (MarkMv:-3) are textbook handicapper's favour, and 9-10 is a competitive weight that gives him a clear edge over topweight Charlie Boyo (9-12, SR:79 but drifting 8%). Two course wins and two places at Bath (Course:W2P2) is the best course record in the field, and DistFit:~ confirms he handles this 5f160y trip. The going is GoingFit:~ which is acceptable, and the class relief combined with market support makes this the clearest multi-signal case on the card.
Each-way alternative: Moe's Legacy.
Main danger: Charlie Boyo — Charlie Boyo (SR:79, the highest in the field) carries top-weight 9-12 but has Clive Cox and Rossa Ryan on board with a GoingFit:+ on today's ground and recent form showing a C+D win in his sequence — if the drift of 8% is simply a weight-related price adjustment rather than a negative signal, his raw SR superiority over HK Fourteen could tell.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads -06846 — four consecutive finishes of 8th, 4th, 6th and 0 (last): no win in recent pattern and last two runs suggest declining trajectory, not a horse finding form.
HG:p (prefers good or better) yet going context at Bath in late September may be softer than ideal — any ease in ground undermines his course record which may have been achieved on better going.
Moe's Legacy (SR:76, Course:W3P8) has a superior Bath record — three wins and eight places — outstripping HK Fourteen's two wins, and runs off the same mark with a fresher recent run 18 days ago vs 3…
52% market steam at 10/3 leaves him only marginally shorter than Charlie Boyo (3/1, SR:79) — the dramatic move may already be fully priced in, offering limited value relative to a rival with a higher…
ShortlistHK Fourteen, Charlie Boyo, Moe's Legacy, Level Up