Toolatetonegotiate returns in fair order on 26 days' rest and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but her recent form is patchy — a runner-up last time out sits alongside an eighth two starts back, and the 138 lb burden from stall 10 is no help.
Form last 6321082
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR81RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Aces Wild has winning form to his name, scoring three times in his last six starts, and has run over today's trip and going before, but an unplaced effort last time out and 138 lb from stall 12 give connections pause for thought.
Form last 6611310
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR80RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Jax Edge shaped with real promise when third last time out and second two starts back, and she arrives here fit on 21 days' rest, carrying 136 lb from stall 3 over a trip and going she has experience of; the main risk is that eighth three starts back hints her form can dip sharply.
Form last 6617823
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR84RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Forager shaped with plenty of promise when fourth last time out after a win five starts back, and she has experience over today's trip and going to call upon; the concern is that her recent form either side of that victory makes her consistency the key question.
Form last 616-974
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR84RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
A winner last time out and she has run over today's distance and going before, giving her solid claims here; the main concern is that her trainer has yet to strike in recent weeks.
Form last 6335841
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR82RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Brave Nation won two starts back and shaped with promise when third three starts back, giving him a lively recent profile over today's trip and going; carrying 135 lb from stall five, the top-rated runner here, his latest sixth is the sole blot on an otherwise solid recent record.
Form last 67-4316
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR86RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
South Shore arrives in decent nick — a winner last time out and placed in three of the four starts before that — though carrying 134 lb and our rating suggesting he sits just mid-division in this field of twelve gives reason for pause.
Form last 6112221
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR79RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Maharajas Express won last time out and has placed in two of his three most recent starts, giving him strong recent form, but a struggling trainer posting just 1 from 23 over the past fortnight tempers confidence; has run over today's trip and going, and carries 131 lb from stall 8.
Form last 6618221
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR79RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Coyy has shown only glimpses of ability in recent starts, with a win three starts back offset by an unplaced effort and a fourth last time out, and a trainer strike-rate of just 3% over the past fortnight makes him hard to fancy at these weights, despite experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6374104
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR78RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Seventh last time out and sixth two starts back, Correspondence has tumbled down the order in recent runs and ranks 11th of 12 on our figures; a 68-day absence adds to the concern, though he has distance and going experience and draws from stall one.
Form last 6631267
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR70RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, with a fourth last time out after 52 days away, Carefree Dream faces a stiff ask from stall nine on a rating of 67, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a second four starts back shows she can threaten.
Form last 6522464
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR78RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked last on our figures and carrying 118 lb from stall 11, Kodicall is hard to fancy off an official mark of 59 despite his win two starts back; that eighth last time out is the more recent story, and he faces a stiff task here.
Form last 652518
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR64RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
South Shore owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Robert CowellTom Marquand
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Maharajas Express
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Ian Williams✓ Value Signal
Kodicall
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · J. S. Moore◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Maharajas Express (SR:82, 4/1, 9-5) carries the lightest weight among the two highest-rated horses and brings a strong recent form line of 618221 — two consecutive wins — at Class 4 level (ClassMv:=), meaning he faces exactly the same tier he has been winning in. Course form of W1P2 at Bath is a meaningful positive on a specialist track, and jockey David Probert's 13% career strike rate from 2,328 rides is a reliable booking. The market drift of 15% is a mild concern, but the weight advantage over South Shore (9-8 vs 9-5, a 3lb edge) and the proven ability over the top-rated rival on a mark 5lb lower than his last win (MarkMv:+4) still presents a compelling case. South Shore's DistFit:- at this trip and the class rise (↑1) make Maharajas Express the more dependable option at a workable price.
Each-way alternative: Aces Wild.
Main danger: South Shore — South Shore carries the highest SR in the field (84) with a strong 112221 form line and Tom Marquand in the saddle, and while the class rise and DistFit:- are real concerns, raw ability can overcome a trip query in a sprint if the pace sets up right.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Maharajas Express has drifted 15% in the market despite being well-fancied; with South Shore also drifting 18%, money has not followed the form case for either, suggesting market insiders are lukewar…
His MarkMv:+4 means he runs off a 4lb higher mark than his last win — both consecutive wins came on a lower rating, so this is his first test proving he can win at this new ceiling.
Jax Edge (Course:W3P5) has three course wins at Bath versus Maharajas Express's one, giving a rival with deep Bath specialist credentials a significant edge on this notoriously track-specialist circu…
Aces Wild has been hammered in from 11/1 territory with a 42% market move — strong late market support for a rival in the same race undercuts the value case and suggests a threat the primary analyst…
ShortlistMaharajas Express, South Shore, Aces Wild, Jax Edge