Bath 16:02 RESULTED
Class 4 29 Sep 2026

Last Tuesday Sw Hire Handicap Stakes

Sw Hire Handicap Stakes · 5f10y

Official Result

Sw Hire Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Forager (GB) Jack Mitchell · Simon Pearce
    18/1
  2. 7/2J
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Toolatetonegotiate silks
Toolatetonegotiate
Age 4 · 9-12
321082
79
73
81
4
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 FCST 15/2
Toolatetonegotiate returns in fair order on 26 days' rest and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but her recent form is patchy — a runner-up last time out sits alongside an eighth two starts back, and the 138 lb burden from stall 10 is no help.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Aces Wild silks
Aces Wild
Age 7 · 9-12
611310
79
77
80
7
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 14/1 9/1
Aces Wild has winning form to his name, scoring three times in his last six starts, and has run over today's trip and going before, but an unplaced effort last time out and 138 lb from stall 12 give connections pause for thought.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Jax Edge silks
Jax Edge
Age 6 · 9-10
617823
77
76
84
6
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 11/2 6/1
Jax Edge shaped with real promise when third last time out and second two starts back, and she arrives here fit on 21 days' rest, carrying 136 lb from stall 3 over a trip and going she has experience of; the main risk is that eighth three starts back hints her form can dip sharply.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Forager silks
Forager
Age 4 · 9-10
16-974
77
60
84
4
9-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 16/1 14/1
Forager shaped with plenty of promise when fourth last time out after a win five starts back, and she has experience over today's trip and going to call upon; the concern is that her recent form either side of that victory makes her consistency the key question.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Alondra silks
Alondra
Age 4 · 9-9
335841
76
69
82
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 13/2 7/1
A winner last time out and she has run over today's distance and going before, giving her solid claims here; the main concern is that her trainer has yet to strike in recent weeks.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Brave Nation silks
Brave Nation
Age 6 · 9-9
7-4316
76
74
86
6
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 10/1 11/1
Brave Nation won two starts back and shaped with promise when third three starts back, giving him a lively recent profile over today's trip and going; carrying 135 lb from stall five, the top-rated runner here, his latest sixth is the sole blot on an otherwise solid recent record.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
South Shore silks
South Shore
Age 5 · 9-8
112221
75
84
79
5
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 9/4 11/4
South Shore arrives in decent nick — a winner last time out and placed in three of the four starts before that — though carrying 134 lb and our rating suggesting he sits just mid-division in this field of twelve gives reason for pause.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Maharajas Express silks
Maharajas Express
Age 6 · 9-5
618221
72
82
79
6
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 10/3 7/2
Maharajas Express won last time out and has placed in two of his three most recent starts, giving him strong recent form, but a struggling trainer posting just 1 from 23 over the past fortnight tempers confidence; has run over today's trip and going, and carries 131 lb from stall 8.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Coyy silks
Coyy
Age 3 · 9-5
374104
73
69
78
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 12/1 17/2
Coyy has shown only glimpses of ability in recent starts, with a win three starts back offset by an unplaced effort and a fourth last time out, and a trainer strike-rate of just 3% over the past fortnight makes him hard to fancy at these weights, despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Correspondence silks
Correspondence
Age 4 · 9-0
631267
67
69
70
4
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 14/1 12/1
Seventh last time out and sixth two starts back, Correspondence has tumbled down the order in recent runs and ranks 11th of 12 on our figures; a 68-day absence adds to the concern, though he has distance and going experience and draws from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Carefree Dream silks
Carefree Dream
Age 3 · 8-13
522464
67
65
78
3
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 9/1 12/1
Winless in her last six starts, with a fourth last time out after 52 days away, Carefree Dream faces a stiff ask from stall nine on a rating of 67, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a second four starts back shows she can threaten.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Kodicall silks
Kodicall
Age 3 · 8-6
52518
59
44
64
3
8-6
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 20/1 33/1
Ranked last on our figures and carrying 118 lb from stall 11, Kodicall is hard to fancy off an official mark of 59 despite his win two starts back; that eighth last time out is the more recent story, and he faces a stiff task here.
AI verdict

SR 44 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Toolatetonegotiate 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 15/2 9/1 Coral
2 Aces Wild 12/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Jax Edge 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 13/2 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 13/2 Coral
4 Forager 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
5 Alondra 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 William Hill
6 Brave Nation 11/1 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 William Hill
7 South Shore 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 10/3 Coral
8 Maharajas Express 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365
9 Coyy 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 15.00 17/2 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
10 Correspondence 14/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
11 Carefree Dream 16/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 18/1 William Hill
12 Kodicall 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

South Shore

Speculative

South Shore owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Robert Cowell Tom Marquand
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Maharajas Express

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Ian Williams
✓ Value Signal

Kodicall

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · J. S. Moore
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. South Shore
54.3 3/1
2 8. Maharajas Express
52.1 4/1
3 3. Jax Edge
51.3 6/1
4 1. Toolatetonegotiate
47.8 17/2
5 6. Brave Nation
47.6 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Maharajas Express
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 5 · 9-8
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 6 · 9-5
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 9-10
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-12
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 9-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 9-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-10
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Age 3 · 8-13
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Maharajas Express
Confidence: Speculative

Maharajas Express (SR:82, 4/1, 9-5) carries the lightest weight among the two highest-rated horses and brings a strong recent form line of 618221 — two consecutive wins — at Class 4 level (ClassMv:=), meaning he faces exactly the same tier he has been winning in. Course form of W1P2 at Bath is a meaningful positive on a specialist track, and jockey David Probert's 13% career strike rate from 2,328 rides is a reliable booking. The market drift of 15% is a mild concern, but the weight advantage over South Shore (9-8 vs 9-5, a 3lb edge) and the proven ability over the top-rated rival on a mark 5lb lower than his last win (MarkMv:+4) still presents a compelling case. South Shore's DistFit:- at this trip and the class rise (↑1) make Maharajas Express the more dependable option at a workable price. Each-way alternative: Aces Wild. Main danger: South Shore — South Shore carries the highest SR in the field (84) with a strong 112221 form line and Tom Marquand in the saddle, and while the class rise and DistFit:- are real concerns, raw ability can overcome a trip query in a sprint if the pace sets up right.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Maharajas Express has drifted 15% in the market despite being well-fancied; with South Shore also drifting 18%, money has not followed the form case for either, suggesting market insiders are lukewar…
  • His MarkMv:+4 means he runs off a 4lb higher mark than his last win — both consecutive wins came on a lower rating, so this is his first test proving he can win at this new ceiling.
  • Jax Edge (Course:W3P5) has three course wins at Bath versus Maharajas Express's one, giving a rival with deep Bath specialist credentials a significant edge on this notoriously track-specialist circu…
  • Aces Wild has been hammered in from 11/1 territory with a 42% market move — strong late market support for a rival in the same race undercuts the value case and suggests a threat the primary analyst…
Shortlist Maharajas Express, South Shore, Aces Wild, Jax Edge
Each-way: Aces Wild Danger: South Shore

🗺 The Course Class 4

5f10y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Bath Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade