Catterick 13:57 RESULTED
Class 6 30 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday Racing To School Nursery Handicap Stakes

Racing To School Nursery Handicap Stakes · 5f212y

Official Result

Racing To School Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bladey Lady (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby
    7/4
  2. 4/6F
  3. 16/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Duchess of Immatin silks
Duchess of Immatin
Age 2 · 10-1
441
64
67
71
2
10-1
★★★☆☆
—
8/11 2/5 2/3
Fresh from a win last time out and back within seven days, Duchess of Immatin has run over today's trip and is the one to beat on form. Our rating of 70 tops the six-runner field, though 141 lb is a fair burden from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Bladey Lady silks
Bladey Lady
Age 2 · 9-9
347118
64
70
65
2
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 9/4 7/4
Bladey Lady won two of her last six, taking back-to-back victories two and three starts back, and she is fit after just nine days off, having run over today's trip and going before. Her eighth last time is the main risk, and 135 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Johns Power silks
Johns Power
Age 2 · 8-11
064703
52
47
52
2
8-11
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 14/1
Johns Power was third last time out, but he is winless in his last six and has finished unplaced twice and no better than fourth in the other runs. He has run over today's trip and going, and 22 days since his last run is fine, yet he is hard to fancy from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Baila Morena silks
Baila Morena
Age 2 · 8-10
74077
51
48
58
2
8-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
11/1 11/1 17/2
Baila Morena is a leading danger on our figures, ranked third of six with a 58 rating against an official 51, and she is fresh from a run 16 days ago with experience of today's trip. The risk is a recent run of finishes no better than fourth, with no win in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

5
Purrista silks
Purrista
Age 2 · 8-9
30590
50
28
53
2
8-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 FCST 33/1
Purrista is a live threat, fresh from a run 16 days ago and with experience of both today's trip and the going, while our rating of 53 ranks her fourth of six, just above her official mark of 50. The risk is a winless recent run, with only a third five starts back to show in her last five.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

6
Redrosecastana silks
Redrosecastana
Age 2 · 8-4
979
41
12
23
2
8-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 FCST 40/1
Redrosecastana is hard to fancy, having finished ninth, seventh and ninth in his last three starts, and he is winless in that time. He is rated bottom of six on our figures, though a 15-day break and experience over today's trip are mildly in his favour from draw 6.
AI verdict

SR 12 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Duchess of Immatin 8/11 open 1.40 4/6 open 1.40 4/6 open 1.53 4/6 open 1.53 8/11 open 1.57 4/6 open 1.53 8/11 Bet365
2 Bladey Lady 2/1 open 5.00 2/1 open 4.33 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.25 2/1 Bet365
3 Johns Power 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 William Hill
4 Baila Morena 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Purrista 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
6 Redrosecastana 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bladey Lady

Speculative

Bladey Lady owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Tim Easterby David Allan
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Duchess of Immatin

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/11 · George Boughey
✓ Value Signal

Redrosecastana

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Christopher Kellett
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Bladey Lady
51.0 2/1
2 1. Duchess of Immatin
50.1 8/11
3 3. Johns Power
39.1 14/1
4 4. Baila Morena
38.3 11/1
5 6. Redrosecastana
29.5 66/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Bladey Lady
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 10-1
8/11
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-9
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 8-10
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

3
Age 2 · 8-11
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾 —

SR 47 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Bladey Lady
Confidence: Speculative

Bladey Lady (SR 70, 15/8) is the highest-rated runner in the field and her recent form string 347118 shows a clear progression arc, with that rightmost '8' actually being a win — she has won most recently and is now dropping a class tier (ClassMv:↓1), which is a positive signal. Crucially, the market has steamed 20% since opening, representing the strongest market move in the race, suggesting informed money is backing her. She carries 9-9 versus the favourite's 10-1, giving her a 6lb weight advantage over Duchess of Immatin despite a comparable SR, and her DistFit:+ confirms she handles this trip. The concern is the MarkMv:+7 — she runs off a mark 7lb higher than at her last win — but given the class drop and the weight edge over the top-rated rival, this is manageable. Each-way alternative: Duchess of Immatin. Main danger: Duchess of Immatin — Duchess of Immatin (SR 67, 4/5) arrives on a career-best form line of 441 — that last-time win — and is dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), which represents a significant ease in company; if that drop overcomes the 17% market drift and the 6lb weight disadvantage, she remains the one most capable of reversing the market signals.

Case against 3 clamped
  • MarkMv:+7 means she runs off a 7lb higher mark than when she won — in a 2yo handicap at Catterick that is a significant enough rise to negate the class drop benefit.
  • Duchess of Immatin has run just 3 times (form 441) and is a lightly-raced 2yo trained by the high-strike George Boughey (18%) — unexposed horses with upside are dangerous at short prices in this fiel…
  • Tim Easterby's yard strike rate is only 11% — modest for a banker pick — and jockey David Allan at 13% is not significantly superior to the market rival's Jack Callan.
Shortlist Bladey Lady, Duchess of Immatin
Each-way: Duchess of Immatin Danger: Duchess of Immatin

🗺 The Course Class 6

5f212y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Catterick Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade