Christy 'Frosty' Callaghan Memorial Steeplechase · 2m5f27y
SR 107 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 119 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Itsalladream | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Le Coq Hardi | 12/1 open 5.50 | 12/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 open 5.50 | 12/1 open 5.50 | 14/1 open 5.50 | 12/1 open 5.50 | 14/1 William Hill |
| 3 Soir De Garde | 10/11 open 2.75 | 10/11 open 2.50 | 10/11 open 2.50 | 10/11 open 2.50 | 4/5 open 2.50 | 10/11 open 2.50 | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 4 Chanceawetmorning | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Minella Sixo | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Straight Home | 4/1 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Straight Home owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 107 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 119 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Straight Home (SR 128, 7/2) is the class standout in this field, rating 9 points clear of the next-best Minella Sixo (SR 119) and 10 clear of the two SR-118 horses. The weight advantage is significant — carrying 10-11 versus 11-10 on rivals Soir De Garde and Le Coq Hardi, a 13lb swing that more than offsets any SR gap. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on good ground, DistFit:~ shows a workable distance record, and the /41-32 form string shows consistent recent involvement at the business end of races. While the Mkt:out10% drift is a mild concern, the Mullins yard (26% SR) has booked Brian Hayes rather than the yard's number-one Paul Townend — Townend is riding stablemate Soir De Garde — which signals Soir De Garde is Mullins' primary hope, yet Straight Home's raw SR superiority and weight-in-hand make it the stronger selection on the data. Each-way alternative: Soir De Garde. Main danger: Soir De Garde — Soir De Garde (SR 118, 7/4 favourite) carries the Mullins number-one booking in Paul Townend (38% strike rate), and the yard's market confidence at 7/4 suggests connections regard this horse as their likeliest winner despite its inferior SR — Townend's record at this level on good ground demands respect.