Global Home Of Outdoor Advertising Nursery Handicap Stakes · 5f1y
SR 55 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 44 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Tricky Jenny | 8/1 open 4.50 | 17/2 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 9/1 open 5.50 | 17/2 open 5.50 | 9/1 William Hill |
| 2 Calef | 13/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 William Hill |
| 3 Lairy Mary | 4/1 open 12.00 | 4/1 open 8.50 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 7/2 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Stay On Tab | 11/10 | 6/5 open 2.10 | 6/5 open 2.38 | 6/5 open 2.38 | 6/5 open 2.38 | 6/5 open 2.38 | 6/5 Paddy Power |
| 5 Yorkshire Dream | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 Paddy Power |
| 6 North Coates | 16/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Savoy Blue | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Stay On Tab owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Stay On Tab (SR:58, 11/8) is the only horse in the field with a win on its form string — the rightmost digit '1' confirms a recent victory — and it drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) off that winning run, meaning today's grade is easier than where it last scored. It carries a featherweight 8-12, the lowest significant burden in the field, giving a meaningful pounds advantage over Tricky Jenny (9-9) and Calef (9-8). The tongue-tie (HG:t) has been retained from the winning run, suggesting connections are not changing a formula that worked, and a course place (Course:W0P1) at Musselburgh provides additional familiarity. The GoingFit:- is a concern on Good ground, but the market has made it a very short favourite regardless, and no other runner offers a more compelling multi-signal case. Each-way alternative: Lairy Mary. Main danger: Lairy Mary — Lairy Mary (SR:59, 4/1) holds the highest SR in the field, has steamed 25% in the market suggesting informed confidence, and drops a class off a recent run — if its form figures (164624) include a hidden strong effort, it could outclass Stay On Tab on ability terms despite the distance concern.