Ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (gbb Race) · 6f
SR 82 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Heathcliff | 22/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Kind of Blue | 13/8 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 13/8 open 2.38 | 13/8 open 2.38 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 13/8 open 2.38 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 3 Mitbaahy | 7/1 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Montassib | 9/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Spy Chief | 15/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 6 Wise Approach | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 15/8 open 2.75 | 15/8 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.63 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Kind of Blue owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Kind of Blue (SR:121, 11/8) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 10 SR points clear of the next-best Wise Approach (SR:111) and 13 ahead of Montassib (SR:108). The market has backed this up with a 14% inward move, confirming stable confidence. James Doyle (21% career strike rate) is the obvious yard number-one booking from the Fanshawe stable, while stablemate Heathcliff draws Daniel Muscutt at a far lower level. The combination of DistFit:+, ClassMv:↓1 (dropping a tier easier), and MarkMv:-3 (running off a mark 3lb below last win) all align in favour of a performance here, and the 5-year-old's Course:W1P1 at Kempton shows familiarity with the track. Each-way alternative: Montassib. Main danger: Wise Approach — Wise Approach (SR:111, 9/4) carries the lightest weight at 9-3, is trained by the in-form Charlie Appleby yard (33% career strike rate) with William Buick aboard (25%), and the ClassMv:↓1 plus MarkMv:-2 give it a legitimate chance if the market drift is explained by the going uncertainty rather than fitness concerns.