Kempton (AW) 20:00 RESULTED
Class 4 30 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)

Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f219y

Official Result

Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Time Thief (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Tom Clover
    12/1
  2. 5/2F
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Fantasy Believer silks
Fantasy Believer
Age 9 · 10-0
0-5047
87
68
98
9
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 17/2 28/1
Without a win in his last five starts, Fantasy Believer still has experience of today's trip and going, and our rating of 98 puts him top of the ten-runner field, 11 lb clear of his official 87. A 53-day break is his one query, carrying 140 lb from draw 7.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

2
Forever Penywern silks
Forever Penywern
Age 4 · 9-13
211-13
86
84
89
4
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 15/2 17/2
Forever Penywern arrives a leading danger, having won three of his last five starts and finishing third last time, with a second and three straight wins before that; he has run over today's trip and our rating of 89 sits above his official 86. The one concern is a 49-day break, so fitness must be taken on trust from stall six under 139 lb.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Tiernan silks
Tiernan
Age 4 · 9-12
021526
85
95
92
4
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 9/2 5/2
Tiernan looks a leading threat, having finished second and first in two of his last five outings before a sixth last time, and he's fresh again after 13 days with experience of today's trip. Our rating of 92 sits well clear of his official 85, though 138 lb from stall one is a stiff burden.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Rastnet silks
Rastnet
Age 4 · 9-10
223740
83
85
90
4
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 10/1 9/1
Rastnet is yet to win in her last six, but two seconds and a third in that spell show she is rarely far away, and she has run over today's trip and going. Our 90 puts her third of ten, though a 40-day absence is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Cape Fear silks
Cape Fear
Age 3 · 9-6
213215
85
96
89
3
9-6
★★★★☆
—
10/3 9/4 10/3
Cape Fear was fifth last time out after a win the run before, and he has two wins and three places in his last six, though the latest dip and 132 lb temper the case. He has run over today's trip, and our rating of 89 ranks him fifth of ten.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Deedaydiva silks
Deedaydiva
Age 3 · 9-5
31-388
84
67
87
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 40/1
Deedaydiva has cooled off with two eighths after a third and a win in the previous runs, and she returns after 50 days off. She has run over today's trip and carries 131 lb from draw 2, while our rating of 87 puts her sixth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Tambora silks
Tambora
Age 3 · 9-5
5-6641
84
84
86
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 11/2 10/1
Tambora won last time out but was beaten in the three runs before that, and he returns after 88 days off; he has run over today's trip and carries 131 lb from draw 10. Our rating of 86 ranks him seventh of ten, so he looks a midfield sort.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Time Thief silks
Time Thief
Age 3 · 9-5
12
84
79
76
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 7/1 8/1
Time Thief arrives in good heart, a winner and then second in his last two starts, and has run over today's trip, but our figures rank him last of ten with a rating of 76 against an official 84. Carrying 131 lb from draw 3, he looks outclassed on paper.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Interstate silks
Interstate
Age 3 · 9-4
2-2213
83
97
85
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 2/1 4/1
Interstate has been in the frame in all five recent runs, including a win two starts back, and he is fresh from a run 12 days ago, having run over today's trip and going. Even so, a weight of 130 lb and our ranking of eighth of ten make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Nicator silks
Nicator
Age 4 · 9-4
22-427
77
59
80
4
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 25/1 33/1
Nicator is hard to fancy after a 7th last time out and an 82-day break, and he is winless in his last five, though three seconds in that spell show he gets involved. He has run over today's trip and is rated 80 by us, ninth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Fantasy Believer 28/1 open 9.50 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 Bet365
2 Forever Penywern 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 Paddy Power
3 Tiernan 5/2 open 7.50 5/2 open 8.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 6.00 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 Bet365
4 Rastnet 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 Paddy Power
5 Cape Fear 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 Bet365
6 Deedaydiva 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 66/1 Coral
7 Tambora 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 Coral
8 Time Thief 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 10.00 9/1 Bet365
9 Interstate 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 Bet365
10 Nicator 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 50/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Interstate

Speculative

Interstate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 John & Thady Gosden William Buick
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cape Fear

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Andrew Balding
✓ Value Signal

Fantasy Believer

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Ed Walker
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Interstate
59.0 4/1
2 5. Cape Fear
57.8 10/3
3 3. Tiernan
55.8 5/2
4 7. Tambora
50.9 10/1
5 4. Rastnet
50.6 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cape Fear
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 9-12
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-6
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 96 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
Age 3 · 9-4
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-13
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-10
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-5
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cape Fear
Confidence: Speculative

Cape Fear (SR:96, 11/4) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with a favourable weight of 9-6, making it the lightest-weighted among the top-rated trio. The Andrew Balding/Oisin Murphy combination is elite — Balding strikes at 18% with 3,029 runners and Murphy at 22% from 2,741 — and the market has shortened 11% since opening, confirming quiet stable confidence. Dropping two class tiers is a major advantage, and DistFit:+ confirms capability at this trip. The +8 mark rise is the one caveat, but the class drop more than compensates on a 3yo with a recent form line of 213215 showing consistent competitiveness. Each-way alternative: Interstate. Main danger: Interstate — Interstate (SR:97, 3/1) holds the highest SR in the field, carries only 9-4 — 2lb less than Cape Fear — has DistFit:+ and the formidable Gosden/Buick booking (24%/25% strike rates), though the 28% market drift is a concern that prevents it topping this analysis.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Interstate (SR:97, 3/1) holds a superior SR, fresher legs at just 12 days since last run, carries 2lb less, and the Gosden/Buick combination (24%/25%) significantly outguns Balding/Murphy in strike r…
  • Tiernan (SR:95, 4/1) has drifted only 22% in vs Cape Fear's 11% in, meaning the market isn't dramatically separating them despite Cape Fear's SR edge — Tiernan's 13-day freshness and identical SR pro…
  • +8 mark rise is not trivial: Cape Fear's most recent run (#5 finish, form digit '5') is the worst placing in the last 6 starts, suggesting the horse may already be struggling at its current mark befo…
  • No course form recorded for Cape Fear at Kempton AW — in a field where Fantasy Believer holds W3P5 course form, the absence of any Kempton data on a 3yo taking a class drop is a meaningful unknown on…
Shortlist Cape Fear, Interstate, Tiernan, Rastnet
Each-way: Interstate Danger: Interstate

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f219y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade